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이번 주 시장은 5주 연속 상승 후 주요 지수가 하락 마감했다. 나스닥에 분배일 5회, S&P500에 1회가 나타났고 여러 돌파 종목이 힘을 잃어 대형 투자자들의 망설임이 드러났다. 나스닥 주봉은 40주선 저항에서 막혔고 10주 이동평균선은 여전히 그 아래에 있다. 진행자는 이 때문에 시장 전체의 상승 추세 확인이 어렵다고 본다. 개별 종목에서는 페이스북(FB)이 컵앤핸들형 베이스를 만들었지만 거래량이 부족하고 매집/분배 등급이 가장 낮다고 지적했다. 알래스카항공(ALK)도 베이스 형성 중이나 기관 매수가 부족하다고 평가했다. 건설 관련주(US콘크리트, 비컨루핑, NVR)는 업종 순위가 크게 올랐고 NVR은 워런 버핏 스크린 조건(이익률·ROE)을 충족한다고 소개됐다. 총기 제조사(스미스앤드웨슨, 스트럼루거)는 뉴욕 관계자의 평판 리스크 발언으로 하락했다. 울타뷰티, 파이브빌로우 등 소매주는 실적 발표 후 돌파를 시도했으나 시장 약세로 막혔다고 정리했다. 블루버팔로, 웨이보 등도 기저 형성 단계로 언급됐다. 다음 주에는 넷플릭스, 페이스북, 알파벳 등 주요 기업 실적이 예정되어 있어 시장 방향을 가늠할 중요한 시점으로 제시됐다. 진행자들은 종목 추천이 아닌 스크린 기준 소개가 목적이라고 밝혔고, 특정 자산의 1~3개월 가격 방향에 대한 명시적 예측은 거의 없었다.
다듬은 글
welcome to another episode of how to make money in stocks with investor's business daily last week we mentioned that we put out the best mutual funds 2016 Awards report and if you haven't taken a look at that be sure to you got the best funds over the last 10 years by all the different categories and also Matt and I are going to do a really fun webinar this next coming Thursday at 4:00 p.m.
that's Pacific time be sure to tune in because we're going to help you navigate the new investors calm alright and on this week's show we're gonna take a look at which stocks make some screens for Bill O'Neil and Warren Buffett's criteria two good names to follow absolutely okay but first let's take a look at the market all of the major indexes were in the red for the week after a five-week rally now after the terrorist attacks in Brussels the market was really fairly resilient which was good to see oil pulled back and we saw the dollar index rise for the week now we have five distribution days on the Nasdaq and we have one on the S&P right and we've seen a number of breakouts kind of struggle and install only physical not really take on that they're just kind of sitting there in a lot of cases and that hesitation is reflected in the weekly chart for the Nasdaq as well it did move higher as Amy you just said for five straight weeks before that streak was broken this week but note how during that time it hit resistance at the 40 week line and how the 10 week moving average still remains below that benchmark now that plus the struggling breakouts that we've seen in some of the leaders shows a lack of enthusiasm among large investors now many stocks continue to trade in a sideways kind of a seesaw way exciting growth things like IBM is not an exciting growth name continue to do well we also have other exciting how much granite construction and construction names that the market gives you you do there this building or construction related names also had a good week and one name that actually had a move that was more of a typical type of breakout was in fee it gapped up March 23rd on volume that was two hundred and ninety percent above average and it added to those games again on Thursday now this was out of a cup-shaped base and it had look in the feel of a more traditional breakout rather than the turn around stalks off of the bottom that we've seen right now speaking of cup-shaped bases one that has been forming one is premium pet food maker Blue Buffalo pet products and it's working now its IPO base and it's deeper than you'd prefer to see it had about a forty seven percent decline within the base but it has shown signs of accumulation in the right side of that pattern and you can see an IBD stock analysis article and video that I did on Blue Buffalo on our site and I also did one on Weibo which is known as the Twitter of China and it's posted five straight quarters of triple digit earnings growth and now it's working on a first stage base and may form a handle which takes a minimum of five days to form all right now Virgin America spiked 13% Wednesday after bloomberg reported that the company is attracting takeover interests but the news was not so good for Nike which slumped as it fell short of views especially in emerging markets now we do have some interesting earnings reports coming up next week including IBD 50 stock kal main foods homebuilder inland our 2014 IPO stock Dave & Buster's and paychecks which is actually near a buy point so those are ones to keep an eye on yes be sure to dust off the watchlist look at look at stocks that might be setting up as we gear up for earnings season now we've mentioned before that our sister company Market Smith has created a number of different stock screens including some that focus on the criteria and the investing strategy of IBD founder Bill O'Neil and Warren Buffett so date today we're gonna take a look at some of the stocks that make those lists and it's kind of fun to run these screens and see what stocks populating it is both of the list so both O'Neil and you know O'Neil and Buffett how can you go wrong with those two names they're a legendary traders okay they have a fundamental criteria that's that's similar but something that's interesting is that a couple of industry groups from both Buffett and O'Neil made these lists now one sector is building and we'll start with a few stocks that are on bills list including us concrete and beacon Roofing bill of course first looks for companies that have really strong fundamentals and USCR u.s.
concrete certainly has that it has an annual EPS growth rate of a hundred and twenty nine percent and a seventy three percent return on equity which is more than four times the seventeen percent minimum roee that we look for so it's pretty strong very strong heavy construction names have been featured in ib DS industry themes section of the paper now US concrete is also a name that I have I have gone over many times in the stock market today videos the grip strength and the accumulation distribution rating for these stocks has been robust now as of Thursday the group rank was 25 out of 197 and that is a huge jump from a hundred and fifty six only six weeks ago you want to pay attention to the stocks in a group that moves up like that now the two top gun stocks also make bills list that's Smith and Wesson and Sturm Ruger and they both took a hit on Thursday after a New York official said that they were failing to warn investors about the risk they face due to what he called grave reputational risk that is facing the gun makers and of course gun control is a major political issue but Ruger and Smith & Wesson have been seeing a lot of buying recently now until Thursday as matt said the gun makers were hitting both value and growth lists they have top composite ratings and have both have strong outlooks for the rest of 2016 but the so off on these stocks just illustrates that anything can happen and this is why it's necessary to have a solid game plan and as matt said you know these are more prone to political headwinds yeah they're very news driven for the last several months now you'll also find a couple of retailers on bills list including Alta beauty now like the other names Ulta has the kind of strong fundamentals that bill looks for including a 24% return on equity and a 30 percent annual EPS growth rate and since breaking out in big volume earlier this month it's been trading in a tight range now something to point out here is that none of these names are making a lot of headway so it's good to see these names holding up but it would be nice to see them make bigger gains now also reported strong earnings that rose 27% and after that the stock moved higher on the news but since then it's been kind of in a holding pattern now in a stronger market these names should be moving higher right now five below is another retailer that is on that screen and this is a teen focused discount retailer that tried to break out this week after reporting but like you mentioned it ran into those headwinds and of course we have seen a lot of that in this market we have we've talked about the O'Neil screen so in the next segment we're going to switch over and talk about the buffett screen how would you like an edge that helps you pick winning stocks faster an edge that is proven to outperform the S&P 500 by 76% since inception and that you can take advantage of today without spending a dime more on that in a minute each day our top market team at investor's business daily scans are proprietary stock lists and screens to find superior stocks with the most potential for big gains they analyze these stocks every step of the way to show you basis by points sell signals and the right time to take profits that's about as close to older and investing as you can get introducing leaderboard by investor's business daily for a limited time you can try all of the premium features leaderboard has to offer for a full 14 days at absolutely no cost to you you'll receive unlimited access to all of the time-saving research powerful investing tools in the leaders list cut lists and expert analysis you need to develop a winning investing strategy and it's all 100% free for your first 14 days now that we've seen a few stocks that make the market Smith screen based on Bill O'Neil IBD founder Bill O'Neal's criteria let's take a look at some of the names that make the screen for Warren Buffett now both Bill O'Neil and Warren Buffett have been incredibly successful we've said that before in the stock market but they have taken different approaches so taking a look what's interesting though taking a look at this buffett screen does bring up some names that are on bill screen as well and one of those names is Facebook right now one criteria for making the Buffett's screen is to have profit margins that are among the best within the industry and Facebook certainly has that with a fifty five point six percent annual pre-tax profit margin which is nearly double by the way alphabets still strong thirty-three point one percent profit margin and of course Facebook is the kind of younger innovative fast-growing company that bill looks for as well now as we look at the chart Facebook is an eight-week cup-shaped base but it has one big problem the lack of volume is - it's just not there and this is confirmed by the e accumulation distribution rating which is the weakest possible now the positive is that it is holding steady but as we have found with a lot of other names Facebook just is not making very much headway indeed now in the last segment we mentioned that building related stocks like us concrete and beacon roofing made bills list and a top home builder NVR makes the warren buffett screen the grip ranking is still a very lowly one twelve out of 197 groups that IBD tracks but the leaders in that group are building basis now of course Buffett is famous for liking well-run companies and you can see that with envy ours thirty percent annual EPS growth rate and annual sales growth rate of fifteen percent and a thirty two percent return on equity now notice how tight and VR has been behaving in the last week again it hasn't made a lot of headway but it's holding up pretty well and this is the only home builder that makes the Buffett List there are other home builders that are basing and they may end up breaking out when they report earnings but NVR is the one that showed up on Warren screen and it is B of that growth and the return on equity and other factors now Alaska air is another stock on Warren Buffett's screen in market Smith and it also is an efficiently run company with a 24% annual pre-tax profit margin and a 37% roee now both of those get a passing grade based on Bill O'Neal's cancelling criteria as well and again sounding like a broken record but it really does tell a story this is yet another stock that is basing that has had a lack of volume or professional buying the accumulation distribution rating here is a c-plus the company is due to report earnings April the 21st 21st so next month math is gonna maybe be a big one for determining you know as all these stocks that a lot of big names do to report let's see what that happens with the overall market and we'll see if the big investors remain hesitant or not or they get a little bit busy a stake and start buying because they have Netflix Facebook alphabet you know all the net all the big names reporting that's right so that's a quick look at some names that are on the screens in market Smith for Bill O'Neil and for Warren Buffett and you can check those out and build your own custom screens by taking a free trial of Market Smith which you can do at Market smith.com or by visiting our site investors dot-com / investing show so be sure to tune in to the webinar next Thursday that's with Matt and me to help navigate the new investors comm you can sign up for that at investors comm slash investing show all right and while you're there be sure to check out the best mutual funds 2016 Awards special report and you'll find again all of that an investor's dot-com / investing show okay see you next week everybody
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