저자: EdYardeni · 외국인
요약 보기
인도 유튜버가 Ed Yardeni의 금값 전망을 소개. 인플레이션, 달러 신뢰 하락, 지정학 리스크로 금이 안전자산으로 재부상하며 2028년 10g 가격 3lakh(약 30만 루피)까지 150% 상승 가능하다는 주장. 중앙은행 금 매입(2023~24년 1,000톤 이상), 신규 광산 부족, BRICS 금 기반 통화 논의를 근거로 제시. 과거 금값 상승 수치(2000년 4500→2025년 약 7만)를 인용. 영상은 장기 보유 유리 및 단기 하락 무시를 권유.
다듬은 글
एक टिप्पणी: मूळ मजकूर इंग्रजीत असल्याने तो हिंदीत लिहिण्याऐवजी इंग्रजीतच संपादित करत आहे, जसे सांगितले होते. खाली स्वच्छ केलेला आणि विभागांमध्ये मांडलेला मजकूर आहे.
In India, gold is not just a jewel but a symbol of culture, tradition and security. But now this gold is going to reach the highest price in history, because according to the prediction of economic expert Ed Yardeni, gold prices will increase by as much as 150% in the coming years. That is, by 2028, the price of 10 grams of gold can directly reach Rs 3 lakh, and in the international market, one tola, which is about 31 grams of gold, will go up to US dollars.
Anyone would be shocked to hear Yardeni say that, but there are solid reasons behind this prediction. Rising inflation worldwide, loss of confidence in the dollar, and geopolitical tensions are making gold a safe haven for investment once again.
Ed Yardeni is an experienced economist in the United States. He graduated from Princeton University and has worked for the Federal Reserve and large investment firms. For more than 40 years, he has studied the dynamics of the global economy. Therefore, his prediction is not just an opinion, but an analysis based on experience. In a recent interview, he said that the world is entering a phase of economic uncertainty.
The war in the Middle East, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the China-US tensions have brought instability to global markets. People are afraid, and in such cases, investors turn to gold because gold is a safe haven. Gold reached record highs during the 2008 financial crisis, the 2020 Corona pandemic, and the 2022 war.
History tells us that when uncertainty increases in the world, gold shines. In 2000, the price of gold was only 4,500 per 10 grams. In 2010, it went up to 18,000. In 2013, it went up to 30,000. In 2020, it went up to 50,000. In 2025, it went up to almost 70,000. That is, in the last 25 years, gold has increased by a whopping 15 times.
Now Yardeni says that this increase will be even greater in the next five years, because one of the big reasons is that many countries around the world are now considering alternatives to the dollar. There is talk of creating a currency with a gold backing in the BRICS countries. Countries like China, Russia, and India are storing large amounts of gold.
According to a report by the World Gold Council, central banks around the world purchased a total of more than 1,000 tons of gold in 2023 and 2024. This much gold has not been purchased in the last half century. When central banks buy gold, they send a clear signal to the market that gold is going to become more expensive in the future.
At the same time, volatility in the crypto market, declines in the stock market, and rising interest rates have led investors to turn back to traditional gold. Large investment companies around the world are investing in gold ETFs. The supply of gold, however, is limited. The world's major mines are in Australia, South Africa, and Canada.
But no new mines have been discovered in the last decade. The pace of production has slowed down. Demand is growing and supply is stable. In this equation, price increases are inevitable.
Another factor that affects the price of gold is inflation. When inflation increases, people lose faith in currency. People buy gold because if you keep money in the bank, its value decreases, but gold maintains its value. Inflation is out of control in the US and Europe. In India too, commodity prices are continuously increasing. In such a situation, gold is the only antidote to inflation.
Yardeni says that the price of gold could increase by 150% by 2028. If global tensions increase further, this rate could exceed three lakh.
Now the question is, what impact will this increase have on the Indian public? In India, gold is not just an investment but an emotional affair. Gold has its place in wedding ceremonies, festivals, religious occasions, and more. Therefore, the direct impact of the price increase will be felt in households. Where today a single tola of gold costs between 70,000 and 72,000, if it rises to 3 lakh in a few years, buying jewellery will become difficult for most people.
But on the other hand, those who buy gold as an investment can make huge profits. If someone buys one kilo of gold in 2025 and the price triples by 2028, the value of that investment will increase by millions.
According to Yardeni's prediction, by 2028 the US dollar will weaken and gold will become stronger as a global reserve asset. Gold itself will gain importance compared to the dollar as people see the true value of commodities in gold.
Moreover, options like digital gold, gold ETFs, and sovereign gold bonds have now made it easier for Indian investors to invest in gold without buying physical jewellery. Experts say gold will be a smart investment for the next five years.
At the same time, this growth will also impact the industrial sector. Production in the jewellery sector will decrease as demand falls, but on the other hand, the business of gold loans and finance companies will increase, and when gold becomes more expensive, people will take loans against it. This picture will also change in rural areas, where gold is a means of savings, and when prices rise, many people will profit by selling old jewellery.
If we look at the last 50 years, gold has never lost money on long-term investment. Prices went down for a while, but after a few years they rebounded. That's why experts say to ignore short-term downside risks. Gold has always been profitable in the long term.
But one thing to note is that gold prices do not depend only on global factors; they also depend on exchange rates, taxes, and government policies in India. If the government restricts gold imports or imposes higher taxes, local prices will rise further. Similarly, if the rupee depreciates further against the dollar, gold will become even more expensive in the Indian market. All these factors could come together to take gold to record highs over the next five years.
Importantly, this means the future of gold is now linked not only to tradition but also to the global economy. Ed Yardeni's prediction may seem far-fetched to some, but statistics and history show that gold has always shone during times of inflation and uncertainty. Therefore, if gold prices reach the three-lakh mark in 2028, it would not be a surprise, but a natural consequence of that trend.
The question is, are we ready for that time? Not to buy gold, but to have new ideas for investment, because in the future gold will not only be a piece of jewellery but also a financial instrument. Yardeni says that those who understand gold today will be safest in tomorrow's crisis.
So, let us know how you liked this entire video by commenting, and don't forget to subscribe to our YouTube channel. Thank you.
Comments 0