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결론: 시장은 바닥을 다지는 중이나 인플레이션 확인 전까지 강한 반등은 어렵다고 봄. 시장 흐름: 나스닥 하락 폭이 제한되며 안정 조짐이 보였으나 장 후반 반락. S&P500 -0.23%, 나스닥 -0.09% 수준. 긴축 사이클이 끝나야 매수세가 붙는다는 입장. 금리·연준: 연준은 경기가 여전히 강해 금리를 더 올릴 가능성이 높다고 봄. 장기물(20~30년) 금리 급등이 소비를 억제할 수 있다고 언급. 다음 주 핵심 지표는 근원 PCE 디플레이터이며, 이것이 꺾여야 긴축이 끝난다는 입장. 향후 금리 방향에 대해 상승(인상 지속) 전망. GM·스텔란티스·포드(UAW 파업): 포드가 노조와 관계가 더 좋아 상대적으로 유리하다고 평가. 빅3를 동등 취급한 UAW 위원장 행보는 비합리적이라는 입장. 적정 조건에 합의되면 노동비 부담 증가 없이 주가가 오를 수 있다고 봄. 각 종목 실적 관전 포인트: 신타스(Cintas) 화요일 실적, 캐리어(Carrier)의 VC 인수 관련 기대감, 코스트코 실적(회원 증가·특별배당 가능성), 페이첵스(Paychex) 수요일 실적에서 중소기업 경기 확인, 마이크론(MU) 목요일 실적에서 반도체 재고 소진과 AI 수요 확인, 액센츄어(Accenture) 실적에서 AI 수요 확인, 카맥스(CarMax) 실적에서 고금리 영향 점검, 나이키 실적(중국 시장 점유율 우려, 주가 저평가 언급), 카니발 크루즈 주가 전망 부정적. 개별 추천/의견: 코카콜라 vs 펩시 질문에 펩시코 선호(프리토레이 사업 강점). TFC(트루이스트) 은행주는 저PER·고배당이지만 현 환경에서는 매수 근거 부족. EQT 천연가스 관련 언급(작년 하락 후 회복 미확인). 리스크: 채권 시장 금리 상승, 인플레이션 재가속 가능성, 소비 둔화 신호 여부.
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they have able to make friends I'm just trying to make you a little my job it's not just to entertain you but educate do some teaching call me 1-800-743 CBC or tweet me Jim Cramer okay it might be something to Maybe started something good today right stocks are bouncing NASDAQ where all the damage has been seem to be stabilizing but then the Gloom returned and it all broke down with the doubt only losing 107 points s p declining point two three percent and the NASDAQ dip oh nine percent not bad 0.09 because how bad it's been but a selling respite turned into a buying and to write them and then just no stopping those who won can it continue like this could things finally start picking up as we move toward the end of September like legendary Market historian Larry Williams told us last night it might just come down to our game plan see when we come in on Monday we'll most likely have some concrete something we can deal with maybe sink our teeth into about this UAW strike before today Ford made big inroads with the Union well GM and stalantis have earned its wrath they're not being targeted Civic workouts makes a ton of sense to me that Ford's got a better relationship than you the other Pig automakers with the Union because they've actually been hiring Union people for years while the competitors have been shedding them it always seemed absurd that Sean Fain the UAW president chose to treat the big three equally given the forged paid differential Cuts much more in favor of the unions than the other two and a fortune get a deal done on decent terms meaning no material bump in labor cost beyond the current offer then this charitable Trust stock could start a sustained climb that could be Monday's business Tuesday we have one of the best bombers to small businesses around when we hear from Cintas remember we had them on recently what a story Uniform Rental Service a lot of other stuff too that they run through that system the company grows when there's more Commerce and I bet their numbers will be Stellar since has been able to get new contracts even when business isn't strong I've long been a fan of the stock but let's see if they're finally seeing a Slowdown in either new or existing clients I mean you know what they got a million clients so we ought to know close some services to the show including just last night know that I I think the world of what Dave Gatlin doing carrier he's Reinventing the company it's the most environmentally sound purveyor of heating ventilation air conditioning or HVAC systems so much energy is used for climate control by making this stuff more efficient he's helping his clients become more environmentally friendly while also reducing their electric bill now carrier's got this huge deal on the table currently 12 billion dollar I'm sorry 12 billion Euro acquisition of v-spin climate Solutions that's a merger that could close as soon as the end of the year it's a phenomenal company with a terrific product that uses much less energy to make heat using a special boiler technology let's see what things have to say on Tuesday I like their attitude after the close my favorite retailer Costco reports there are so many things we need to hear from Costco let's figure them out right got to get the growth rate the number of new members including High tier executive members and any expansion overseas we need to see if Costco's got plans for a special dividend maybe a boost in membership fees that always helps bottom line how about how many people are switching from branded products to the premium Kirkland store brand all these will help us get a beat on how things are really going on in this whole country because as much as I love Costco and I love it enough doing it for my travel trust we need to find out whether this company seeing any kind of consumption slowdown because the FED will keep raising rates until the consumer cools now maybe the consumer cools by going more to Costco next paychecks reports Wednesday and it's the payroll processor of choice for small medium-sized businesses which have been holding up incredibly well it's amazing how if you layoffs and bankruptcies we've had while many new businesses are still being formed until Albertson paychecks again start saying business is installed you must accept the fact that more raid hikes are coming it doesn't just go away we don't wait one day and paycheck says things are terrible because things are good like I keep saying business is way too strong for the FED to even think of letting up let alone cutting rates who thinks that well besides all the people in the bond market now as the long drought over in the PC World has the inventory of semiconductor has been worked off and now do we finally have fresh demand coupled with the need for storage related to artificial intelligence only one company can tell you all that and that's move that's right mu Micron memory chip maker I really like bicart I really like it CEO Sanjay Maro to tell us it's straight incredibly up front about the oversupply and chips the whole way I'm going to listen closely to everything he says because so much of text still depends on the personal computer a giant dram user that's what that's where they go well they go oil basically they're in a lot of different things but that's what I think uh and there's still some time left before we get to the bottom of the huge inventory bolts but the Stock's been creeping up we still don't have big demand yet at the PC level we don't have those new PCS that it'll be first quarter 24.
they'll be doing search All-Star AI stuff with your PC uh but that's far out maybe we can anticipate it let's see what Sanjay says Thursday morning we get to hear from one of the most consistent companies in Tech Accenture of course that's because Accenture is not really a tech company per se at least it's more of a consultant than companies that want to digitize this remarkable position of a solid handle on artificial intelligence is it overblown or is it truly transformative how quickly can we make money off it or are we going to lose money off it anybody can tell you it's going to be Accenture these guys rarely Miss and when they do it suck tends to sell off hard and then it comes right back over time you say underline business is so strong and people need their help you know to be able to figure out all this Tech stuff Karma reports that turns out these guys are much more and I'd fly sit down one wow they know what they're doing I'm expecting this used car company to put up some great numbers but there's a financing component here that make me worried right they the interest rates have gone higher people buy cars on time so to speak financing and the FEDS are on this right is going to be hurting all these used car dealers in that sense CarMax is the front lines of the fed's attempt to slow the economy so far there's been no meaningful slowdown here in the category even as prices have come down from their highs let's find out if higher rates are finally choking sales or if they continue to be good probably the most controversial story next week is going to be the quarter from Nike now we need to be concerned about how Chinese sales are holding up because For the First time we're actually hearing reports to Chinese sneaker companies are making inroads here I am loaned to knock the stock of 19.
now that it's down 22 percent for the year 40 points from its Highs at the end of the day this is a darn good company and Nike stock could be a buy simply because it's so low for weeks now wall Street's had nothing but good things to say about the cruise lines especially Carnival I get that people are long on money insured on time and the cruise represents the terrific buy it but believe me if this Market is gloomy as next Friday as it was today well I got to tell you you don't want to touch the stock know what Carnival gets any love unless the backdrop of Gloom changes to something a little more bullish finally we get some macro numbers that matter the FED name of the core pce deflator both month over month and year of year this is uh one of their favorite measures I'm going to focus on inflation here because buyers still seem to be reluctant to step up until this tightening Cycle's over and we're now witnessing a classic move toward bonds given that interest rates have gotten to levels that we haven't seen in 17 years people want to lock in with things good ready to return so when you get something like the core PC deflator it needs to not just stop going higher we actually need to see the lower or the fed's not going to be done unfortunately I'm not sure it's there yet the economy is too strong but the breathtaking move higher in rates at the long end of the yield curve you know 20 30 years out May by itself begin to curtail spending something has been stubbornly strong because yes the job market has been so red hot here's the bottom line I think the averages are getting beaten down to the point where it's a lot easier for us to Rally but until we see some signs that the Vets truly beating inflation it's hard to get too excited about this Market although I am mindful that a market as hated as this one can always throw you a hanging curve Arthur in California please Arthur hey Tim how's it going thanks for taking my call absolutely Arthur what's going on so I was looking into buying a stock something steady long term for my for my kids who are really young and I was looking for something that was um recession-proof with great dividends I had my eye on Pepsi or Coca-Cola just wanted to get your cake uh which one you think um what are your thoughts this is tough Coca-Cola had some really good numbers uh it's a little bit cheaper than it has been historically uh PepsiCo Ramona guarda is just taking this Frito-Lay business and put it turbocharged I'm gonna say right now PepsiCo is the winner of those two but the Boku Cubbies but right now rainbow laguarta has got it going how about we go to my home state how about we go to Jason in New Jersey Jason oh yeah Jim oh yeah Jason I'm just a young man from Mays Landing New Jersey I watch the show all the time thank you for what you do I got a bank stock for you multi-year low great PE great EPs and a killer dividend what's your take on TFC all right I absolutely agree with all that but that does not make a a stock go up in this environment unfortunately all the things you said are true but I gotta find a reason to pull the trigger and at this bright moment I just don't have one all right we got to stay focused on inflation next week because it will tell us when this tightening cycle will end and the Gloom will finally lift I think we're closer than you realize I'm still back in Larry Williams on man money tonight after reporting a record quarter last month it's now time to get into Federal Way 4.6 yield I'm hearing more about if the strength could continue from the company's top best and natural gas prices have yet to recover from last year's decline 2.76 so what should you do with a company like eqt which is the largest you won't miss my exclusive and now that we know the FED plans to keep rates higher for longer but could be the long-term impact be on our nation's best deal maker new core I'm talking to the CEO to see if this recent tip could be viable so stay wet Ct's something head to madmoney.cnbc.com
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