저자: 미상 · 외국인
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2022년 경기침체 대비 방법으로 빌 애크먼의 투자 전략을 소개한 영상이다. 영상은 코로나 봉쇄, 연준의 대규모 유동성 공급, 러시아-우크라이나 전쟁으로 인한 공급망 및 에너지 가격 상승을 배경으로 들었다. 인플레이션은 40년래 최고 수준이라고 설명했다. 애크먼은 단순하고 예측 가능한 자유현금흐름을 창출하는 내구성 높은 성장 기업에 투자하는 전략을 강조한다. 이런 기업은 금리나 원자재 가격 변동에 덜 민감하다고 본다. 좋은 기업을 싸게 살 기회는 기업이 일시적으로 어려움을 겪을 때 온다고 주장한다. 공포에 질린 투자자들이 매도할 때가 매수 적기라는 논리다. 애크먼의 포트폴리오는 약 10개 종목으로 구성되며 상위 3개 종목이 전체의 50%를 차지한다고 소개했다. 사업 품질, 내구성, 리스크 관리, 재무구조를 기준으로 종목을 고른다고 설명했다. 영상은 피자 가게처럼 경기 영향을 덜 받는 필수 소비 사업을 예로 들었다. 불황 때 이런 기업을 할인가에 사라고 권했다. 영상 제작자는 2020년 코로나 폭락을 예측해 애크먼이 큰 수익을 냈다는 점을 근거로 그의 판단을 신뢰할 만하다고 제시했다.
다듬은 글
the year 2022 has already seen its fair share of surprises from record high gas and food prices to the recent invasion of ukraine by russia now 2022 is gearing up for another major shock according to billionaire hedge fund manager bill ackman there's an economic storm coming and it's already too late to go back stick around till the end of the video so you can learn what bill ackman thinks is the best way to survive this economic storm hello and welcome to the channel in today's video we'll be looking at a recent interview with bill ackman where you share tips on surviving the coming recession but first make sure to hit the like and subscribe button so you never miss out on any of our latest videos so where were we yeah bill ackman's tips on how to survive the 2022 recession first things first a little back note on bill ackman bill ackman is a 55 year old billionaire investor and hedge fund manager he's also the ceo of pershing square capital management for those of you who don't know ackman made the headlines in 2020 when he made about 2.4 billion dollars from a 28 million dollar bet that the kobe pandemic was going to crash the stock market that's about 70 return on investment this followed a 58 return on investment purchasing square had made the previous year now with solid returns like that you'd want to listen to bill ackman if he talks about a coming market crash just the way he did in the year 2020.
now he's in the news again this time he's betting that the american economy is heading for a recession in 2022 now before we get into details of how to protect your assets in this coming recession let's take a moment to understand what's going on in the global markets right now and why many investors think this is the year we will see another recession it all started with a 2020 covet pandemic as many of you know in a desperate bid to save the people from what was a new virus at the time many governments all over the world ordered lockdowns and travel restrictions of course this helped limit the spread of the virus but it also had another effect one that is very devastating especially when you look back on it from the year 2020.
you see all those lockdowns and travel restrictions also affected the global supply chains as a result many businesses and economies were left railing from the effects of the pandemic to save the american economy the federal reserve led by jerome powell printed about 3.5 trillion dollars which it used to buy government securities this drove down interest rates and kept the cash flow coming in for companies who needed it the most it also drove down the cost of lending for many businesses while the intention behind pumping new money in the economy was very harmless the action wasn't without risks especially for the economy a texan congressman ron paul warned the government that going ahead with such a plan would have major consequences for the economy one of his warnings was that too much easy money would create overheated financial bubbles many of which could burst and have a severe emotional impact on people creating such an abundant supply of money would lead to inflation although by the time inflation became a serious issue it was already too late given the fed's mandate of maximizing employment opportunities and stabilizing the commodity prices it had to keep an eye out so it didn't jeopardize the economy in the long run while trying to save it from the kovic pandemic but the fed forgot about those mandates in the heat of the covet pandemic and it wasn't their fault the whole world was in a crisis and everybody was looking on how to soften the blow for everybody else sadly this was not to come without serious consequences for both the us economy and the global economy as a whole fast forward to 2022 a lot of the problems caused by the pandemic still remain global supply chains of essential commodities have remained disrupted and unable to return to pre-pandemic levels this is because last year's unusually cold winter further destabilized global supply chains as expected this shot up the price of fuel so much so that many believe that by january the cost of fuel would be so high that it would reduce the demand for it the fuel price hike led to other disruptions in the global supply chain another area that was majorly affected was the food industry high gas prices mean that the cost of transporting any goods around the world has risen too food prices as well as housing prices have also risen exponentially by january inflation was at its highest in four decades things were already bad enough with the high food and gas prices but they got worse as russia invaded ukraine toward the end of february many western nations in solidarity with ukraine slap russian people their government and their economy with what experts like to call crushing economic sanctions this move isolated both the economy of russia and the russian government as a result europe's biggest oil and gas producer russia had become an isolated economy many companies and brands have paused operations in the country of fear of being hit with the sanctions themselves as a result the russian government has been on the brink of loan default its currency has also dropped to less than a dollar while its stock exchange had been closed for most of march furthermore the us and other european allies were being pressured by their respective governments to stop oil trade with russia the u.s was first about to this public pressure on the 9th of march president joe biden announced that the u.s would no longer import gas from russia other european countries have also made commitments among themselves to reduce the continent's dependence on russian gas and oil this means more bad news for gas prices this is why many investors predict that the american economy will go into recession soon with a 40-year high inflation record many are looking for a way to protect their money in this time of financial uncertainty and for that we turn to bill ackman in its recession-proof investment strategy one thing bill is famous for is finding great businesses at bargain prices of course this means that he makes a few investments every year but he makes sure they are totally worth it he calls it simple predictable free cash flow generative super durable growth companies these are businesses that have a wide range of sustainable competitive advantages they are not capital intensive and they earn high returns on capital these kinds of businesses are more resistant to market movements like interest rates and price of commodities now bill admits that other investors are after these kinds of businesses too so it's hard to find them at an attractive price here is where bill lets in on a secret he says the key to buying such lucrative businesses at fair prices is to watch for periods when such companies are having difficulties for example the management makes costly mistakes or for some reason the investors wrongly estimate the value of the business according to bill this is the right time to buy speaking of rough times there is already sky high inflation and some interest rate hikes around the corner many businesses are about to have that tough time many fear that too many rate hikes could crash the stock market if you follow bill's advice that might not be such a bad thing you see usually in a stock market lots of investors are overwhelmed by fear and so they begin to sell their holdings in many companies so that they can cut their losses many investors will even sell their shares in great companies for less than their actual value for intelligent investors like bill ackman this is a great time to buy lucrative businesses at attractive prices one thing you have to understand is that market booms and market crashes are all part of the economic cycle and they are bound to happen every once in a while however by picking the right strategy you can be one of those investors who get to make money no matter how the market is doing whether the market goes up or down is all good news for your investment portfolio for a better example bill points to his investment portfolio which usually contains about 10 investments with the top three making 50 of the entire portfolio he says by looking at factors like business quality durability risk management and balance sheet strength he can find great companies with a good business model and great leadership at the top a great example of such a business is a pizza store the pizza business is relatively immune to interest rate hikes and commodity prices because it's one of those businesses that have become a part of human life and so even with the price increase many people will still buy pizza or their favorite cup of espresso and those are the kinds of businesses you want to invest in when a recession comes because you can find such companies at media prices and that's all for today guys i hope you enjoyed the video before we go head over to the comment section and tell us what you liked most about bill ackman's strategy for surviving a recession
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