저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: SoFi는 최근 하락세가 뚜렷하며 단기적으로 약세 신호가 우세하다. 하락 배경 — 최근 며칠간 임원 Form 144 제출이 여러 건 있었고, 실제 매도(코드 S)로 보이는 거래가 언급되어 내부자 매도 우려가 커졌다. 실적은 좋았으나 내부자 매도는 부정적 심리 신호라고 설명. 출연자/진행자 견해 — 짐 크레이머가 SoFi를 긍정 평가했지만 주가가 6.5% 하락해 역지표 효과가 나타나는 것 같다고 언급. 최근 긍정적 기사는 많지만 애널리스트 평가는 드물다. 애널리스트·가치 — 최근 목표가는 $15 수준, 모닝스타 적정가치 $14.50 제시. 시장 전체는 상승했는데 SoFi만 하락해 혼란스럽다고 평가. 옵션·수급 — 풋 거래가 콜보다 크게 늘어 단기 약세 심리가 강해짐. 공매도 잔고는 유통주식의 약 13.23%(약 1,154만 주), 대차 가능 물량은 1,000만 주 이상. 기술적 분석 — 현재가 약 $7.45 부근, 1차 지지 $6.87, 1차 저항 $7.65. 가격 갭이 넓어 변동성이 클 것으로 봄. 기술주 중 상대적으로 부진. 리스크 — 내부자 매도 지속 여부, 크레이머 발언 영향, 높은 변동성, 수익성 달성 전까지 불확실성. 예측 자체는 단기 하락 쪽에 무게.
다듬은 글
what is going on welcome back to trending stocks today want to talk to about SOI I want to go over some of the current data points talking why it's going down as much as it has been and then I'll go over everything else you need to know but first make sure guys hit that Thumbs Up And subscribe always greatly appreciate that and with that said let's get right to it so my last Sofi update video it was roughly around $8 which at that stage the data points the technicals all point point to a breakout but here we are currently at $743 down 80% very low volume so I want to break it down on everything that you need to know for today but 19.1 million shares being traded 50.3 is the average when it comes to news there's been nothing out from Sofi today rather there's been a lot of form 144s being submitted over the last several days so two on November the 2nd and one yesterday afternoon so this is not a good sign because form 144s does show and indicates upcoming sales from insiders so as you can see these are some of the ones that were submitted um the last couple days so on November the 2nd so Chad bordon who is the president of Sofi bank and he did sell 152,000 shares and typically some are for tax purposes and whatever else but this was a transaction code s meaning straight up sell and then there was also this so Webster Aaron or Aaron Webster who is the cro and they sold 215,000 shares and transaction code s so once again not necessarily the best and even this one was submitted yesterday so this is what a form 144 kind of looks like and this is for Stafford web Lauren and ultimately does indicate that they're going to be selling 135,000 shares so this is just many red flags popping up and why no nobody necessarily knows but once again if these were for tax purposes or for whatever else like that'd be somewhat Justified but this is all the transactions that have occurred other than what I just mentioned because it hasn't updated yet but technically this is what you would ideally be satisfied over if there was a sale transaction code F meaning for tax purposes which even Anthony does that so the last being September the 18th he did exercise some of his I guess restricted stock or warrant or whatever else and then he did take some off for tax purposes so kind of normal stuff this is what happens with a lot of companies and everyone else but technically when it is a straight up sale it is transaction code s so these are not good in my opinion so like I said whenever you see Insider selling does show that there's a bad sentiment at foot so I don't know if there's maybe some strategic changes going to be coming in the foreseeable future or not but they did have a very kickass earnings once again so as far as changing up some of the VPS I don't know doesn't really make sense and then as well there was this that was posted or at least came out yesterday which I think is causing a little bit more of a negative issue with Sofi and that is good old Jim Kramer so oddly enough he likes Sofi once again so I'll just quickly play this a couple second snippet on what he does say and probably on why it is aiding in Sofi to Trend down so stop let's buy some let's buy some the stock was down 6 and half% made no sense whatsoever they are turning the corner they are doing everything right I think it goes higher let's go to Allen inid so very short and sweet but ultimately that might also be attributing to why it's been going down so again you have just a negative senent and you have inverse Kramer happening right now so let me know your thoughts on that in the comments below but aside from that though a lot of AR articles have been coming out oddly is very very positive so once again that might be a good thing the fact that a lot of people do see a lot of value with Sofi there hasn't been any recent analyst ratings so the last rating was essentially I believe a couple days back so it looks like right here it was yesterday with mizuo Dan who does have a 45% success rating gave a $15 price Target and plus while I'm on here does look like the latest Morning Star report did update so it shows a market value for Sofi being $14.50 so making all of this downtrend even that much more confusing and it's not like the broader Market is selling off a lot of heavily shorted stocks are getting massacred today and plus the EV sector but when it comes down to the broader market and the indexes they are green so once again making what's been happening over the last several days very confusing so starting off give yourself a shadow in the comments below did you buy recently did you sell what have you been doing with so far and I'll go over some of the options data and many things like that so starting off $1.19 million in calls being purchased versus 721 th000 inputs so comparing this to previous days the puts definitely have gone up quite significantly meaning people are a little bit more bearish possibly in the short term looking at some of the open interest looking at the calls more specifically it is anticipated to be roughly around between the $8 to $9 range by the end of next week week by looking at puts though it is a large consensus that it is going to be sub $7 by the end of next week so you kind of have conflicting stuff but no matter what when it comes down to options activity it is just merely a sentiment and does not move the stock price so like I said my last update was oddly very positive because a lot of the data points all kind of pointed to that but now things have turned even looking at some of the technicals with it at $745 it is now between this S1 and the pivot which comparing it to other grow stocks it is definitely lagging so as it stands right now $687 is going to be that next strong support and $765 which it kind of bounced off of a little bit today that's going to be the next strong resistance so who knows right now for the rest of the week there's not really any data points to really validate any major movement for Sofi and the broader Market rather we just have to wait until next week but again I think right now Sofi has been really setting the trajectory for a lot of good earnings and the business itself so once again once it does obtain profitability I don't think anyone would have any issues with Sofi whatsoever but again looking on the technical stance there's a lot of wide gaps so that does mean that there's going to be a lot of volatility so you just have to be comfortable with that because as I've said in the past Sofi is trying to innovate one of the oldest sectors known to I guess the stock market essentially so it's not going to be easy by any means so it's going to take time you're going to have a lot of manipulation and just Randomness that happens and you're going to have a lot of people like good old Jim Kramer that keeps saying that he loves Sofi which might cause it to continue to go down but no matter what this definitely does need to get quashed very fast is a lot of The Insider selling or vice versa I know my last update video I actually said this the fact that it would be very advantageous for Anthony notto to buy because typically he likes to buy around the and $5 range which obviously signals that at that price it is a steal of a deal but he's never really bought anything over I believe $6 so once again I think if he decides to buy right now that would be a huge sentiment booster but once again I could be wrong let me know your thoughts on all of this in the comments below I'll go over a couple of more data points showing today number of retail investors are getting in and looking at stochastic a little bit more bearish so red line above the black and it is at 65 which overall is kind of neutral for that so it's not oversold not overbought but technically a bearish sment is starting to form right now and looking on this so short interest isn't really updating but as it stands 13.23% of the free floats being shorted 11.54 million shares overall are being shorted and through the Interactive Broker short availability does indicate that there's more than 10 million shares available to be shorted so once again if Shorts really saw that Sofi was garbage and was going to Trend down they have more than enough ammunition to really just double down but let me know your thoughts on Sofi in the comments below give yourself a shout out have you been buying selling holding what have you been doing don't forget to hit that Thumbs Up And subscribe and with all that said I appreciate all of you watching
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