저자: DanFitzpatrick · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 진행자는 알리바바·테슬라·JP모건에 대해 명확한 상승/하락 예측을 하지 않으며, 대체로 기술적 관점에서 진입 전략을 설명하는 영상이다. 알리바바(BABA): 소프트뱅크가 약 79억 달러 규모의 알리바바 주식을 매도해 지분율이 32%에서 28%로 낮아졌다는 뉴스를 다룬다. 진행자는 대량 매도 물량을 누군가 받아가고 있다는 점에 주목하며 주가가 약 80달러 부근으로 내려온 지금 매수를 고려할 만한 종목이라고 말한다. 다만 이는 가격 방향에 대한 명시적 예측이라기보다 하락 후 매수 관점에 가깝다. 테슬라(TSLA): CNBC 패널이 생산 목표 달성 가능성을 논의한 내용을 언급하지만, 진행자는 그 견해에 큰 관심이 없다고 밝힌다. 주가는 추세가 뚜렷하지 않고 200일 이동평균선 위에 있으나 50일선은 평탄하며, 20일선 양쪽을 오가고 있어 '우위(Edge)가 없는 종목'이라고 평가한다. 따라서 매수하려면 변동성을 감수하라는 입장이다. 방향 예측은 없고 중립 평가에 가깝다. 금융주·JP모건(JPM): 다른 패널이 연준 금리 인상과 수익률 곡선 평탄화를 근거로 금융주 강세를 주장한 내용을 소개한다. 진행자는 JP모건이 차트상 박스권 상단 부근이라 지금은 좋은 매수 시점이 아니라고 본다. 대신 50일 이동평균선까지 조정받을 때 매수를 고려하는 전략을 제시하며, 가격 알림 설정 방법을 시연한다. 상승 확신은 드러내지 않는다. 출연자 전망 요약: 진행자 본인의 1~3개월 가격 예측은 명시되지 않았다. 시청자에게 자신의 독립적 판단을 할 것을 강조하고, 본인도 틀릴 수 있다고 언급한다. 영상에서 특정 종목의 상승·하락을 단정한 발언은 찾기 어렵다.
다듬은 글
good evening I'm Dan Fitzpatrick at stockmarketmentor.com look right every morning so you can take the stocks that you saw on TV last night okay we're going to start with Alibaba now after the market closed um SoftBank reported that it's selling 7 9 billion worth of um Alibaba stock okay now they own 30% of the company this only takes them down to 28% okay so wow 8 billion bucks knocks him down from 32 to 28% of the company I sure wish I was soft bank anyway so then the question is what's up with this is this the time to sell um Nathan was was yucking it up and I was too actually about how dumb this makes Yahoo look uh cuz they've had big Stakes a big stake in alib bab it's like the one thing that they've done right um this century and uh so what are you going to do with that I don't care about Yahoo what I care about is Alibaba here's the thing to remember they're selling 8 billion bucks worth of stock somebody's buying it and it's not Billy Bob and Jethro um you know portfolio management company okay some big money is buying this stock also not exactly in an uptrend to where you can say soft bank is really taking huge profits I don't know what their cost basis is and don't care they're selling the point is somebody's buying this and this is like big news oh my gosh $8 billion do worth of stock is being sold the stock is down to 80 bucks I think this is a stock that you can be buying here okay then they were also talking on Fast Money about Tesla whether the company's going to be able to to meet its manufacturing goals basically whether they're going to be able to make enough cars to satisfy all the demand it's one thing if everybody wants your product it's quite another if you can actually deliver that product to everybody um so what's up with that I really I mean this honestly I really don't give a rip whether the guy I forget his name um on CNBC says that Tesla can meet their goals or not um Tesla trades the way Tesla trades which is a little bit unpredictable and since this February low it's been kind of one of those by the stock on dips even though the fundamentals stink what I think you got to do with Tesla is look at it in the context of this box or maybe this this one and say no matter which way you cut it this is not a good entry point for the stock if you're a tonian and you want to buy the stock that's great good for you it's above the 200 day moving average I'm just saying from a trend standpoint there is none flat 50-day flat 200 day moving Average stock has been on both sides of the 20-day moving average recently this is a stock where you really have no Edge so if you're going to buy Tesla buy Tesla live and die by the sword now the last thing um Rick Ross or Rich Ross I forget his name um techn technical guy for some company again I forget that too uh was on Fast Money talking about basically he's bullish on financials um the uh the yield curve is flattening um fed's probably going to raise rates and so he's bullish on on financials and was showing you the S&P Financial index so I'm looking at his idea and he was talking about Black Rock and uh finerman noted that like I'm not really sure why you're on to that because it's not really a financial company it's more Market related and so okay that's all all well and good everybody has their opinions uh I'm just looking at the different financials trying to plan my own trade because I don't really care what somebody else thinks I want to know what I think and the only way I can think is by trying to take some independent thought here and I want you to do that I want you to listen to my you know certainly watch my videos hopefully and by the way thank you for doing so because you are now kaua but then I want you to use your own opinion because I don't know everything I get stuff wrong all the time um but I'm doing my best you need to do your best too and this is what you do you go like okay JP Morgan it's a financial company if if the FED starts hiking rates um even one time financials are going to go they're going to go higher JP Morgan not in the best uh not not at the best point to buy you can see the zigzag okay this is really up at the top of the range so what you do is make make your trading setup in advance and that is if the stock falls back to the 50-day moving average you go ahead and consider buying that stock and I'll show you how I do it here on tc2000 and by the I'm I'm showing you this I'm not Hawking tc2000 um I'm just showing you what I do and I get no I have no op no uh Financial upside in this I'm just showing you what I do so I want to be buying this at the 50-day moving average so I'm setting a price alert where the price the moving average in relation to the price history is above basically above um the stock price I want to set that for a month that's it so when the price goes below the 50-day moving average I'm going to get in a little alert and it's going to say buy point then I'm going to look at this and decide whether I want to buy or not that's how I trade this kind of stuff you can use these types of alerts and you're trading software has them to you just have to get in the habit of using them so anyway that's my take on Alibaba esent and JP Morgan um hope it works for you hope you'll try stock market Mentor I'll see you on the other side
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