저자: RayDalio인용/채널진행자미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
Dalio의 인용으로 스태그플레이션 우려 속 자산의 15~50%를 금이나 비트코인에 배분하라는 견해를 소개. 진행자는 비트코인이 1회 저항선(약 116,000~123,000달러) 부근이며 116,000달러 지지선을 강조하고, 조정 시 111,000달러까지 밀릴 수 있다고 봄. 알트코인(XRP, 카르다노, 헤데라 등) 상승과 ETF 기대감을 근거로 강세 지속을 주장. 비트코인이 과거 자산군 대비 장기 수익률이 우위라고 설명.
다듬은 글
Billionaire Ray Dallio says 15% of portfolio in Bitcoin or gold is necessary for the upcoming money devaluation phase. Let's dive in. Hey guys, welcome back to Clockwise Crypto. Hope you guys are moving forward in everything that you do. Diving right into it. Ray Dalio making headlines coming back and saying that investment portfolio should hold a certain percentage in Bitcoin or gold as a hedge.
So, in a new interview with Master Investor podcast, Wilfr Fred, who is the co-chief investment officer of Bridgewwater Associates, says that a proper diversification of investment portfolio should include 50% of either gold or Bitcoin as US debt rises and geopolitical tensions increase. So he he dived in and pretty much given his track record, we pay attention to it.
Of course, it's Ray Dallio, but he warned that a 1970s style uh stackflation may be coming when there's high inflation, high unemployment, low economic growth. Says Bitcoin or gold may be an effective store of value when the US dollar loses value against other currencies such as through money printing.
pretty much showing a great use case for Bitcoin and ultimately for crypto, right? Great use case as well. He's saying right here, the issue is the devalu devaluation of money. He's saying if you have that issue in times when it occurred, which was times and excess debt and geopolitical problems, just go back and study history.
and pretty much doing what we've said before. History may not repeat itself all the time, but it rhymes. So using history, study that, see what may happen. He's saying just go back and study history, study the British pound, study the Dutch gilder, study this, and you will find that all such periods also like the 70s which was gold effective diversifier.
Love what we're seeing here. Love the wisdom that he is giving guys and pretty much showing a great use case for Bitcoin for crypto assets for sure. I know you guys been asking about TA. Let's dive right into it here. So, taking a look here at uh Trading View, see what's going on with Bitcoin. Bitcoin uh pretty much reaching what could be a level of resistance.
Now, this is uncharted territory. I just want to preface that, right? Everyone's asking, "What do you see this? What do you, guys? We've never even been at these price levels before, right? So, it's hard to chart out something where you you have never been never been this high before. So, if you look to the left, there's no there's nothing to the left, guys.
Nothing we can chart or give you an idea of what happens at these price points. It was easier when we were down here cuz we've been at these levels before, right? We've been at these certain these levels at one time or another. You see how this was respected uh respected here, respected here, and then also respected over here.
Like that was pretty simple TA, right? So now people are mapping out this and we can do what we can, but we don't necessarily have uh much to look at. What we can do is say see that this level right here is a level of support and that is the 116 uh level for Bitcoin. That is looking like a level of support on the daily time frame.
So, you can definitely use that as a guide to see what's going on, right? You can see we're getting to this level. And we can actually chart the wicks. I think that's pretty clean right there. Chart the wicks at about 116,000, a little bit over. If you want to be straight on, uh it's uh $116,372. Uh it seems like we're rejecting off of that level on the daily time frame.
And you can almost do a a descending uh triangle of sorts as well. Uh if you want to pull down here, uh we have some touches there as well to see what happens. Guys, never been never been to these price points before, but this is the best we can do. We have a level of support. We see multiple rejections at this level.
And then we also see uh rejections at this level as well. We did shoot up to about 123,000 uh seems like a couple weeks ago. and uh came right back down. Didn't close the day at that level and just been wicking the entire area. So that's uh a good map and charting for Bitcoin as it stands right now.
What are we going to do? Uh if then scenarios, if we break above continuation, if we break below, expect a pullback. If we do see a pullback, which a lot of people probably going to freak out about, just I can see it now. They're probably going to freak out about that. You can do swing high to swing low.
Bring out some Fibonacci and see uh you see how the uh 61.8 goes pretty much to this level uh new level of support right here as well, which would take us back to 111,000 Bitcoin price. Now, uh that's okay. Pullbacks happen, right? I don't want everyone freaking out, and that's what's going to happen.
People are going to sell off and freak out. That's exactly what's going to happen. So, you have a decision to make. You're going to hold. You're going to take a profit. Um, we're going to show you. Actually, I know a lot of people are freaking out saying, "Oh, the bull runs over. I've seen that headline a little bit." Guys, if you look at crypto bubbles, and I'll hop over cryptobubbles real quick.
You look at cryptobubbles and you go to the day, right? You see some red for the day, right? You go to the month, green for the month. If you go to the year, right, most of these uh blue chip projects are up significantly. XLM up 300%. H bar up 299%. XRP up 394%. Cardano up 89.5%. Right? The blue chips are doing fine for the year.
Right? You even have Quant up 72%. Virtual up 2716%. Okay? Like it's there. It's there. So, uh definitely something to look at uh and to just remember where we're at in this cycle. I definitely think that we are at a bull run continuation. I do not believe that the bull run is over, right? I just don't believe it.
Okay, you have ETFs and in a sense, if you look at all all the projects that are doing really well for the most part, uh going to coin market cap, look at the projects that are doing well. All right, look at the top 10. Most of these projects have ETFs waiting to be approved. You have Bitcoin. Bitcoin already got got that done.
Ethereum already got it done, but XRP ETFs pending. You have Cardano ETFs pending. HAR ETFs pending. I think you're going to see a Stellar ETF coming in. Uh, and I think there might have been a Salana ETF, I believe. Not really sure about that one, but if you look at it, it's almost a good way to look at this may be to just follow the ETFs, right?
that may be a indicator of how to win in the crypto markets. One qualifier is look for the projects that they are saying that that are dead, right? Top 50 projects that are saying or top 20, have been around a couple cycles. Look for those projects that they're saying that are dead. Look for an ETF, right?
That might be a qualifier to get some major gains. XRP is a prime example of that. Look at XRP, right? Uh, I'll actually highlight the areas where they were saying it was dead. Dead. Actually, you guys know my ETF stories or my XRP story as well. You guys know I heard about XRP was at 2 cents. I said, "No, I'm doing well trading, day trading, uh, Forex.
I'm doing pretty well. I don't really need, you know, it shoots up to like $2." And this is all within I want to say this is all within had to be within three to three to five months of hearing about it being at 2 cents. You should buy this. That's what my friend tells me. Said, "Nah." Shoots up to $2, pulls back.
I said, "Whoa." Got into crypto. That's how I got into crypto. Missing out of XRP at 2 cents. Then u they got hit with the lawsuit. They say it's dead. Shoots up to a$1.95. still dead, dead, dead, dead. When they got the SEC ruling that uh they had a victory, it didn't explode right then. So people say, "Oh, this is very dead." Only to explode, right?
That is the dead strategy example. The best one I can give you right now. Ethereum, I think, is a close second. Ethereum, if you look back, uh, clean the charts up a little bit. If you look back, let me see if I can get a dead zone on this one. Ethereum dead, right? Everyone's saying it's dead. Shoots up during the bull run, comes back, doesn't really perform well.
Um, doesn't perform as well as people want. And, right, it goes to 5,000. Everyone's like, "Yes." It pulls back for a while. Everyone says, "Look, it's dead." Eve 2.0 comes out, doesn't explode, uh, shoots up again, just under 4,000, pulls back, dead, right? It's and then now just recently over the past couple weeks uh shooting up again, right?
So, uh that's another example of following these blue chip projects that for some reason they gets considered dead. I don't know what it is, but for me, I always kind of pay more attention to when people start saying it's dead. Just like when I start seeing on TV when people are saying, "Oh, we not we're not buying crypto." Like the big companies on CNBC.
Oh, yeah. crypto is a scam. Don't buy that. You know, I I pay attention when they say that because you you see here's a prime example. You see now uh JP Morgan getting involved in crypto now. Then we're seeing that oh, they've been they've been in talks with with XRP. They've been to, you know, they've met with Ethereum.
Like it's it's smoking mirrors. Just follow uh almost like do the opposite almost, I would say. Yeah. I've been in crypto for 8 years and really just this is what I've seen so far. Right. XRP is a prime example. Ethereum is a prime example. They the the notion is they're dead. You know, Ethereum's dying.
XRP is dying over for them to rise from the asses. Uh so pay attention to that. Looking at XRP, uh we see major momentum. The utility, utility, utility, utility is really what we've been paying attention to. Uh ton of utility on Ethereum. Uh despite its flaws, right? Ethereum isn't perfect. despite its flaws.
Uh, Ethereum still major utility. XRP major utility. Cardano, looking at Cardano, probably one of the most boring charts ever, but uh Cardano uh doing the same thing. Uh ton of ton of opportunity. Cardano's dead. Explodes uh pretty much with that big push uh couple weeks ago. And uh for the most part we see pretty much doing the same thing.
You can almost see the same setup uh with Bitcoin right here. You can almost see that same setup. Found support at this level. And with that level, it's about I want to say about 50 55 cents. Found that level of support exploding up as well. uh pretty much that's that triangle that descending triangle is aligning a lot with what we're seeing with Bitcoin.
So, we'll see what happens there. Wanted to take a look at H bar really quick. Taking a look at H bar. Uh H bar is marked up crazy just cuz we're telling you guys to buy when pretty much it would I don't think I ever remember anyone saying har was dead. I just think nobody was really nobody was really interested in har.
That's all it was, right? It wasn't like A bar was dead. It was just like, yeah, we're just not interested. So, uh, see here, floating around 5 cents for a while. That's when we got we were telling you guys, look, opportunity, opportunity. Uh, exploded up, exploded up to about 40 cents. Topped off at 40 cents.
So, you guys got a good 8x if you accumulated at 5 cents. Uh, now pulling back a little bit. Primed. Everything's primed. Like, everything looks like it's just coiling back a little bit to make new highs. So, we'll see how that goes. I know there's a lot a lot of things going on, a lot of macroeconomic news happening right now.
You see a lot of people coming out and giving wisdom, right? And one thing I wanted to share with you guys is kind of giving a comparison to Bitcoin compared to other assets, right? Annualized returns across major asset classes. You see, over the last seven years, Bitcoin, no comparison. Last six years, no comparison.
Last five and four years, no comparison. The only comparison is the last three years. And I do think that aligns with what we were seeing with the problems that we were having from a across the globe with with governments trying to categorize and trying to label this new asset that they don't have control over but they want to be a part of right I think that's all that was right so the last three years a ton of ton of swings even people uh seeing annualized returns go into the negative You see the bond market last four years, last uh three to four years in the negative.
You see emerging markets uh in the negatives the last 3 years. You see real estate pull back a little bit. Real estate uh consistently uh showing good returns anywhere from zero to 8% returns sometimes even 10% returns pull back almost from 0 to two 0 to 3% returns. So, we're seeing this across the board and it seems like everything is taking a hit, right?
We look here, everything's taken a hit, especially as we look at the last 3 years. So, uh we see historically Bitcoin has outperformed everything, right? And I think it's even time to map in altcoins. I think it's going to be a time where altcoins see that stabilization, right? Bitcoin is is digital gold, right?
Bitcoin has outperformed everything. And I think you're going to see as the crypto markets continue to mature, I think you're going to see that turn with altcoins as well continue to provide those annualized returns that are going to outperform traditional assets, guys. So, definitely wanted to highlight that and give you guys some wisdom.
Hope you guys got some value out of this video. Keep moving forward in everything that you do. We'll see you soon.
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