🔴 시장 폭락 라이브! 매수 기회인가, 시작일 뿐인가? (XRP, NVDA, RKLB, 스페이스X)

요약 보기

이 영상은 나스닥 5%, S&P 500 3.2% 가까이 하락한 날의 시장 조정을 다룬다. 발표자는 데이터센터 규제와 과도한 레버리지에 대한 우려, 청산 규모(약 5억 5,500만 달러), 바이낸스의 해킹 손실 보전, 영국 중앙은행 금리 인상(3.75%→4%) 등을 짚는다. 주요 자산으로는 엔비디아, AMD, 코어위브가 크게 하락했고, 금과 은은 상승했다. 비트코인은 7만 5천 달러 부근, XRP는 1.28달러 부근으로 언급된다. 로켓랩은 뉴트론 첫 비행이 2027년으로 미뤄졌고, 스페이스X는 약 400억 달러 규모의 엔비디아 칩 임대 계약을 체결했다고 소개된다. 발표자는 시장이 올라갈 수도 내려갈 수도 있다고 강조하며, 가격대별 진입 계획을 설명하지만 이는 투자 조언이 아니라고 명시한다. 영상 후반부는 뉴스레터 회원 전용 디스코드 이벤트와 £5,000 챌린지 홍보로 이어진다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Heat. Heat. Hello and welcome to Martin Lucas Investor. My name is Sensei and you're watching a special show for the current market correction we are seeing. Some will call it a crash on certain stocks. So, what we are going to do is do a quick YouTube live stream, go through some of the major positions, answer your questions, and then very quickly go over to our private event where I private event for our newsletter members in Discord where what we're going to be doing is going through the £5,000 challenge of the £5,000 challenge.

02. I'll be making some moves in that portfolio live, reassessing positions um and and and moving from one sector to another. So, more on that in just um a few moments. But first, it's just a quick YouTube live stream to go through the current positions, answer your questions, and then we'll go over to that event where I'll be disclosing my private positions.

03. Again, never financial advice. I just share my journey. So, guys, first things first, please do hit the like button. Please do subscribe if you haven't done so already. This is a correction that we've been talking about for a while. Um, is this the beginning? Is this the end? Well, let's discuss that as well.

04. But, but the short answer is nobody knows. Um, all you can do is be prepared for every scenario. And that's what I um hold myself to is being prepared for all scenarios. And again, some people laugh at that and say, "Oh, well, you don't know which way it's going to go. You say it can go up. You can you say it goes down." And in fact, yes, I do say it can go up.

05. And I do say it can go down. certain positions I I I I look at the riskreward. I enter where I think the riskreward is good. I do prepare for all situations so I don't panic around these times and I actually take advantage of opportunities which is what I'll be doing in just maybe 15 minutes time in that private event.

06. So guys, please do hit the like button. Let's get to it. So what is going on? Well, uh just a few moments ago, the NASDAQ was down 5%, the S&P 500 was down 3.2% 2% and the Dow had lost 1,146 points. The S&P 500 gave back all of yesterday's gains from the after the midterm rally. Um even though roughly two and five stocks in the index are actually up, Nvidia fell 8.3%, AMD nearly 16%, coreweave nearly 15%.

07. Investors are worried that higher borrowing costs and possible restrictions on new data centers after US midterm could delay construction if sites open later and ship orders can slip too. So that is the worry right now. It is about data centers. It is about overleveraging. Um so essentially what's happened is people are now worried about um data centers and and and and restrictions on them possibly which then um goes into people selling some of these AI stocks which are already um highly leveraged stocks and then when you delever these stocks you get a liquidation effect.

08. So, what we've seen is a is a sharp sell-off and then probably what I'd expect now, I haven't looked at the stocks, but I imagine a a a a runup um and a um and people buying the dip, but of course, is that just a a a a dip to um go further down? Well, quite possibly. So, um again, I'm not going to go all in, but I am going to be opening positions shortly.

09. Just a few moments ago, SpaceX was down 7.4%. Rocket Lab was down 10.3%. SpaceX has committed uh to a roughly $40 billion lease for NVIDIA chips and related equipment. Rocket Lab reports after Monday's US close its larger rocket Neutron is targeting its first flight in 2027, which of course is already delayed from when it was supposed to be in 2026.

10. So, you've got these things adding together. We've got Bitcoin touching about $75,000 um almost 70% below its high of yesterday of 81,000. XRP has slipped about um from about $1.31 to $128 um just a couple hours ago. In the hour uh in just about an hour ago, exchanges possibly closed about 555 million in leverage crypto trades and again that is going to be increasing and I'm sure that number is going to be over a billion um by the end of the day.

11. Binance said it replaced about 98% of the assets affected by last week's $6.3 billion hack using its own funds. today announced plans to re reopen withdrawals for more to to more more tokens as a clear security check. So that is a big um big piece of good news because remember we did say there is a small possibility maybe a 10 20% chance that that doesn't happen and that could lead to a big correction in crypto.

12. So, we are very, put it this way, lucky that Binance um um um has actually replaced those funds and there isn't a a bigger concern in the short term. Otherwise, that paired with today's correction, we could have seen Bitcoin back at its lows of 60,000. Also, today what happened was the Bank of England raised rates from about 3.75 um% to 4%.

13. and uh that they expect high higher energy costs to push UK inflation to around 5% in mid 2027. And then again what we are going to be looking at going forward is uh the US jobs report on um uh tomorrow which could maybe add some more fuel to this fire. So let's quickly go through some of those positions and then let's go over to our private event.

14. So that is the market correction. Um we can have a quick look at um some of the bigger indexes what they're doing right now. Now, the S&P 500 still down 3% on the day. It's actually rallied from the lows of the day, already up 1% from those lows. Um, but uh it's it's uh again kind of maybe maybe the sell-off is continuing on the S&P 500.

15. NASDAQ has obviously taken a bigger hit with its tech heavy lean. Uh still down around 4.8% on the day. Uh but that has also jumped um from the lows of the day already up 2%. Um some of the other positions which I've been heavy into gold and silver massive gains over the last few days and gold actually one of the only things up today alongside oil but um gold up 1.3% and from the previous buys that I did um on Monday and Friday we are up about 6% on gold.

16. Silver is also up on the day. Again those positions are up from our levels of support about 9% in just a few days. So, that is potentially some of the money I'll be rotating into um the AI uh trade. XRP down 4%, nothing significant enough for me to open a position there, but XRP is also down on the day.

17. Next levels I'll be looking at is $1.17 and and the $1 level. Um so, potentially a lot lower to go for crypto, but again, no one knows. Uh that's why I do have a position on XRP in case we are in a bull market. And remember, if we are in a bull market in crypto, that's fine as well because we'll go into an uptrend and every every one of these dips will become buying opportunities.

18. Again, buy the dip only works in a bull market. It doesn't work in a bare market and we've proven that over time. Um, what else do we have? We've got Bitcoin down 5%. It's actually uh actually down more than um XRP, but Bitcoin again, I'm not super interested in this. Uh if it does break the 74,000 floor, then we can have a big correction down to 70,000 and below.

19. And that's where I'll be looking to open a position 65,000 67,000. Remember, I still have my Bitcoin position from when we declared potentially the lows of 58,000 60,000. I haven't sold them because I'm quite confident those will be the low for Bitcoin, but I will buy a higher low if that um opportunity presents itself between 65 and 67,000, potentially even 70,000.

20. Um, so that's um some of those position. We did Bitcoin and XRP. Again, I'm rushing to do this live show because I want to bring some information to everyone. But I do want to go over to our premium newsletter members for updates on the $5,000 portfolio challenge, which I'll be doing live. If you guys want to join that, again, that's just one of the perks to access the 5,000 portfolio challenge.

21. Get access to the chart course, the indicators, Discord, the newsletter, the Sensei desk. All of that is included and you can get a 25% discount using the link in the live chat. Uh so some of the other positions that were requested were Nvidia. Nvidia I am bullish on but of course with the situation with AI and some of those SpaceX orders is taking a hit.

22. Um currently at uh down about 7% on the day. Uh this is something I am looking to open a position in. And again support at 170 as well which I would add to that position. So Nvidia is looking very tempting um to me. Um, and I'll probably be opening a position in that. Rocket Lab is something that's taking a big hit today, and this is ex I mean, we've spoken about this for weeks now.

23. Rocket Labs, the target was closer to $42. I've I've expected each of these highs to be a lower high. Even just a few days ago on our Sunday show, I said this uh $50, $60 level, it's probably just a lower high. Below $56, we are expecting a lot more downside. And here, here it is, 10% down on the day.

24. Um, this is looking interesting. Maybe I'd wait for a bit lower. Um but again I wouldn't hate opening a position here but again remember I've said Rocket Lab is a very high-risisk position. It's not a large part of my portfolio and it won't be a large part of my portfolio um because of the high-risk nature of it.

25. Something that is a bit more interesting to me is SpaceX. Um it is a bit lower risk than Rocket Lab uh in my opinion and uh with some of the forecasts that Elon Musk has put put out uh it does look tempting. Um, so currently $125. I'll be discussing whether or not I open a position on SpaceX later in um, uh, in our private event that's starting in just a few minutes time.

26. But SpaceX uh, where have we been? I bought at $100, sold at 1351 140. Then we said, okay, if we get back above 150, the target's 170. That's going to be a very strong um, target there. I don't see us going to alltime highs on SpaceX. I see the target 170. Yes, we went a little bit higher to 175, but I've been bearish in SpaceX SpaceX ever since 170.

27. I was never really too bearish at 135 where I sold, but I said the riskreward isn't worth it for me. When we got above 150, I said, "Okay, I'm bullish on SpaceX, but I'm not opening a position because it's just not worth it for me." But I said above 150, 175, uh, or or 170. 170 I turned very bearish on SpaceX.

28. uh at 135 I'm I'm I I I started to lean a bit more um neutral on SpaceX. Uh but here we are at 125. So maybe slightly bullish on SpaceX. Now I do want to open a position lower at 110 as well, which I do think is in the cards for SpaceX, but I don't hate the idea of buying SpaceX at these levels either.

29. Let's quickly move over to a uh um a live chat, see if there's any questions you guys have. If you are a newsletter member, you can save those questions for just a few minutes time when we go over to our private members event. But essentially, I just wanted to give you a heads up of why this crash is happening.

30. Go through some of those positions and see if there's any um questions um because we don't want to leave anyone behind. Uh any questions? Thank you everyone for joining. Chicky, sir, Joey, Jean, Yestin, Louise, Louise, The Big, um, Red, um, Michael, Seth, Chris, uh, Thailand, Chipper, Songs for Space, George Hikes, Steven Luendowski, uh, Tyson, do you buy?

31. Yes, I will be buying an RC. Okay, that is uh, if there's any questions, just submit them now. If not, it's time to go over to our private event where I will be um live trading uh the day um and seeing what uh how to reposition my portfolio because remember some of the positions I've got on my portfolio um are ready to be rotated potentially.

32. Um so what do we have going on right now? My portfolio, it was actually not down a few hours ago. Maybe it's a little bit down now. If I go over to my portfolio, um okay, yeah, it is down 2% on the day. Let me check that again. Yeah, down 2% on the day, but some of the positions are actually up. For example, the my biggest position with the healthcare pie was up until just a few moments ago.

33. It's only down 1.5%. Now, um Lululemon up 10%, Copart up 13%, McDonald's up 16%, Grabber's now up 6%. Um we've got a few positions I might look to rotate. So, um and again, there are positions down as well, such as Coinbase that's taking a hit today. SK Highix that's taken a hit today. Um uh Gemini Space Station that was a starting position that's taken a quite a big hit as well.

34. Um gold silver they are ready to rotate as well. So I'll be going over Did you buy the SpaceX? It's Did you buy SpaceX? Not yet, but I might be doing so in a few minutes time when I go over to the private members show. Uh so time to move over to Discord. If you are a Discord member, go over to Discord.

35. uh and and specifically if you're a newsletter member um go over to Discord and you'll see the link in the Sensei chat. I'll be live there now going through those positions and making live trades. Thank you everyone for tuning in. If you've just joined, go back to the beginning. I explained about the crash.

36. Um again, is this the beginning or is this the end? No one knows. Uh if you some of the targets we're looking at the S&P 500 are a bit lower. So we are looking at like maybe 7,300 or 7,000 uh even as a next target. So, this could um we could get a bounce today and then continuation over the next few days or few weeks.

37. So, I'm not confident that this is over, but when you get a day like this, I don't think it's a terrible time to uh um to uh get a little bit of money um invested in the right places. Um so, yeah, it's it's pro most most probably a bounce and then a continuation towards the downside, but I don't mind.

38. 1534 has become a member. Thank you for becoming a member. Um if you want to join the newsletter event though, you can uh press that link in the live chat and you can join our event. If we see data centers move um out to the USA, uh will this be good? Um I don't think well not for the market because the market is expecting um lots more um data centers being brought up um and and more chips being produced and more deals being fulfilled.

39. If if we get a slowdown of AI, then this um then the whole AI trader slows down and that's not what the market priced in just a few weeks ago. Um but it's starting to price it in now. So let's go over to that private event. Um I will be live on YouTube again. Uh definitely be live on Sunday so we can prepare for the week ahead.

40. Uh I might be live tomorrow as well. Um but what we are doing is is having lots of events in Discord for our private newsletter members and our Discord members. For example, the other day we had a midterm. Um we were live about three hours on Discord. Uh to all Discord members and all newsletter members.

41. Today's event is just newsletter members as we are doing those live trades. Again, nothing is financial advice. Please not buy or sell based off of anything I say. Um and yeah, time to go over to Discord. Any Discord newsletter members, go to Discord. I'll start the event in literally 1 minute's time. As always, good luck. Take care of yourselves and each other. Bye-bye.