저자: YTFinance진행자 · 외국인
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팔란티어(PLTR) 주가 분석 영상. 국방부(펜타곤)로부터 3450·3550MHz 주파수 대역 조정 계약을 따낸 것이 호재라고 설명. 현 주가 약 20달러는 높은 밸류에이션(선행 PER 약 90, PS 약 21)으로 비싸다고 평가. 모닝스타 공정가치 9달러(1스타)에 대해 진행자는 12~15달러가 적정하다며 동의하지 않음. 8월 7일 실적 발표를 앞두고 장기 투자자로서 매수·매도 대신 관망 입장을 밝힘. 다니엘 아이브스의 목표가 25달러와 AI 시장 성장 논리를 소개하며 강세 근거를 정리함.
다듬은 글
ltr stock alert palantir scores a new work with the Department of Defense which is fantastic news for palantir stock investors because this is going to add to their overall revenues and hopefully reflect in a future earnings report speaking of earnings reports we will also talk about whether or not you should buy sell or hold palantir Technologies as their earnings report approaches on August 7th so we will be analyzing an article by Morningstar which is a very respected financial institution pertaining to if they think that this is a good company to hold before earnings report after the earnings report and what their General view is on this overall company and then I've mentioned this in a previous video that a very prominent analyst named Daniel Ives says that palantir is one of the best AI stocks to buy right now and since to artificial intelligence stocks is the Talk of the Town right now clearly pounder Technology's share price is going even higher and their overall earnings catalyst is also causing the overall share price to increase so we will be dissecting exactly why he increased his overall price Target so for more videos on palantir Technologies remember ut if you can't afford 're gonna get Dive Right into today's stories by now you know and clearly they have a special love for artificial intelligence right now the pltr stock price trades for around twenty dollars per share well a very bearish analysts believe this company is worth around five dollars and more bullish analysts believe the company is worth 25 but now I want to talk about their recent contract that they landed with the Pentagon regarding the Department of Defense so palantir Technology's ticker symbol pltr is in the news right now because they have been selected by the Pentagon to enhance the coordination between the Department of Defense and other companies which utilize the 3450 and 3550 megahertz Spectrum band so the company didn't disclose how much revenue they actually got for being selected by the Pentagon however eventually this will impact their overall earnings so we're gonna find out one way or another palantir's software is going to make a sharing of the spectrum more efficient while also being able to mediate between Telecom firm's implementations of 5G Technologies and palantir is specifically prepared to do just that so this is very good the reason why I think palantir was picked is because they were one of the only companies that actually had the technological data analysis tools to do this properly however for those of you who are pouring into Sofi Technologies right now by buying at around twenty dollars per share you should consider how expensive this company actually is for instance their p e ratio also known as their price to earnings ratio on a forward basis is 90.
and they're trailing price to sales Ratio or Ps multiple is 21. to put this into perspective ideally we would want these substantially lower we would want their PS ratio in my opinion to be around at 10 and we would want their p e ratio to be probably around no more than a 50 especially a forward p e ratio so clearly these metrics are very high according to these accounting ratios but at the same time some people are arguing that because of their overall growth rate this allows them to trade at higher accounting ratios which is true in one sense because if their overall compounding annual growth rates for their revenues and earnings were 30 or higher I could understand the justification of these higher accounting ratios but since they are not anticipated to bring in over a 30 compounding annual growth rate or cagr for specifically the revenue I don't think it justifies their current PS ratio which is why we're going to move on to Morningstar who's going to give their opinion on their overall Fair Value Estimate and whether or not palantir is a buy sell or holding opportunity right now after their huge rally up to 20 dollars per share to start off clearly they have a fair value estimate for palantir's pltr stock of nine dollars and they give it a one star rating and although this may sound odd to you I would encourage you to go to the description click on this source and read this article for yourself because they have phenomenal evidence for why it is rated like this however I personally disagree with them I think palleteer Technologies is worth between 12 to 15 dollars right now and I would give them a 4 out of 5 Stars the article also tells us what to look for on their upcoming earnings report which will be on Monday August 7th so we would want to look at Billings strong Billings acceleration associated with machine learning and artificial intelligence is going to act as a phenomenal Tailwind thus inflating the overall share price even higher we also want to pay attention to how many customers they added over the particular quarter and how this is positively impacting their overall revenues and then lastly their net retention expansion which is going to measure how customers are expanding the usage of the firm's overall products and its services and clearly we're going to want to pay attention to their revenue and their earnings per share but these other three bullet points are definitely something that we should keep our eye on but don't worry I'm going to do a full analysis on palantir's earnings on Monday so what's up with this odd one star rating because for me I disagree with Morningstar even though I do think they have good evidence for their position I don't think that it deserves one star they forecast that palantir will grow at a cagr in regards to the revenue at around 22.5 percent and that is a compounding annual growth rate and they believe that they are going to achieve this over the next five years and on the surface this is actually very bullish this is great news 22.5 percent for a cagr is a very in impressive however it's not enough to justify their current evaluation and I think that's where the problem truly comes in they also believe that this top of the line growth is going to be driven by commercial clients being landed as they pull away from more of their government agency contracts and I've been saying that literally for years that palantir is going to focus more on their commercial side rather than their government segment because over the long term that is going to be their better Revenue Source but it gets even better because Morningstar believes that palantir has a great long-run growth trajectory meaning that they could be a phenomenal long-term investment and that's exactly what I am I am a long-term investor I identified a balancer Technologies very early on and I think investors should hold this company over the long term the reason I don't give a buy rating or a sell rating to balance your Technologies before their earnings report is because I don't want to use short-term earnings reports or short-term news to make investment decisions I want to do fundamental analysis about where this company is going to be in the future and if the future share price is going to be substantially higher than the current price then I'll start to nibble at the company however if the company drops in their overall share price and I get a better buying opportunity that's when I buy I don't buy after surges because then I'm just paying for the company at a higher price point and that is not good for me especially being a long-term investor so here essentially is the bullish case versus the bearish case the Bulls or people who believe in palantir over the long term said that there is a strong Tailwind which is good Tailwinds are good headwinds are bad in the overall Ai and ml Market referring to artificial intelligence and machine learning and this is going to invigorate overall investors to continuously invest into Ai and ml companies such as a palantir on top of that palantir also came out with their AIP platform which is specifically for artificial intelligence even though all of their platforms honestly run off of artificial intelligence or at least use artificial intelligence in one way or another and this is going to lead to a greater revenues lastly they're anticipated to land substantially more commercial clients leading to higher bottom and top of the line estimates for earnings reports going forward so overall it seems that palantir has a phenomenal growth Catalyst cut out for itself in regards to both of their segments now the Bears or the negative naysayers and critics of this company Say by not selling to other countries or companies that are antithetical to palantir's Mission and cultural values this restricts their growth so what are they saying here well to understand this you need to know that palantir does not do business with anyone who is not the United States or a United States Ally and this lowers their overall Market however for me that's exactly why I like palantir Technologies I am invested into them because they are not selling data to enemies adversaries or foreign companies that are not already a US Ally I like how they only do business with the United States and U.S allies and I think this is very admirable of them to do however it does does impact their overall addressable Market in that regard and then the Bears also highlight that palancher's executive team have made questionable strategic decisions in the past such as their overall Foundry for Builders program investing into other assets due to Black Swan events but overall I don't think this is enough to say that investors shouldn't buy into the company but what shocked everyone and this is one of the reasons why the company surged up to twenty dollars because not only did they land a new contract with the Pentagon which was huge and not only are they anticipated to have a phenomenal earnings report on August 7th but as you've probably heard Daniel Ives who is a very well respected analyst increased his price Target to 25 and I'm sure you've heard that already but now we're going to talk about exactly why he increased his overall price Target and gave palantir a buy rating so investors are really high on enthusiasm right now because this means that palantir could increase by a substantial margin from its current price and after giving this overall price target for palantir Daniel Ives himself the animal analyst who gave this price Target went on CNBC for an interview where he laid out his bull case and he said there's a golden path right now for palantir to monetize what we view as a potential one trillion dollar market opportunity and investors still have not recognized what this golden use could be and clearly he's referring to artificial intelligence and machine learning on top of that we know that palantir is not just a glorified consulting company they have done work with the Pentagon the CIA the FBI the NSA which is the National Security Agency and many other government agencies as well as the Department of Defense so it's not like this is some random dud meme stock this is a company with immense potential however this is what I liked what Daniel Ives said he says that for their Enterprise business they will truly be a force to be reckoned with because there's no better reference than palantir Landing a top secret work with the government because a lot of government Enterprises and businesses and organizations are worried about data security and data breaches but because palantir is already being used super top secret and they've never had a data breach this can give high-end Enterprises confidence to do business with palantir Daniel Ives also anticipates that on the commercial side of things companies will allocate around eight to ten percent of their future budget next year to spend on artificial intelligence and optimization so this just adds to the overall bullish case but again the company is trading at a very high premium right now so be careful if you're trying to get into this company right now I would definitely try to dollar cost to average instead of lump sum your way into this company because the share price is just too high in my personal opinion for an investment right now now don't get me wrong if the company could still increase after earnings however stocks don't just go up it's only a matter of time before we see some sort of pullback which will present a buying opportunity for investors so I've been a fan of palantir for a very long time I own palantir however I practice proper risk management by keeping less in this particular company but overall I'm very excited to see what they're going to bring in on August 7th for their earnings report so remember on how high you think pound to your stock will go after their earnings report or if you think it's going to fall after their earnings report go ahead and subscribe so you can stay tuned for that analysis when it comes out
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