저자: BrettTheStockPicker · 외국인
요약 보기
마이클 버리가 숏 포지션을 잡은 Applied Materials는 실적 상회·영업이익률 30→33%로 양호하다고 평가, 메모리 공급부족·DRAM 가격 상승을 근거로 메모리주 강세 전망. Ondas는 적자 확대(-0.19 vs 예상 -0.10)로 하락했으나 고위험 바스켓으로 분류. Intuitive Machines는 실적 부진에도 수주잔고 증가로 반등했다며 투기적 옵션으로 언급. 팔란티어는 놓쳤어도 다른 기회가 있다며 VIP 멤버십 가입을 권유.
다듬은 글
So, guys. Ondas, Applied Materials, and Intuitive Machines published their earnings reports today. Let's start with Ondas, ticker ONDS. They showed very good revenue growth that far exceeded expectations, but the problem is that the loss was 0.19 or 19 cents per share, while analysts were expecting a loss of only 10 cents.
So this was a significant lag behind the forecast. And that's why the stock fell, despite a good earnings forecast. All because of greater losses. So, I repeat, this is a risky asset. Remember that they are not yet profitable and do not have positive free cash flow. Some have forgotten that a year ago, stocks were trading at about a dollar or less.
Maybe it was a little over a year ago. So they grew a lot. Again , be careful. As I said, it's okay if you like drone maker stocks and are willing to take a little risk. But remember, I have a basket of these risky stocks, right? Those that cannot enrich or destroy your portfolio. I have a basket of stocks that make up no more than 10% of my total portfolio.
So as long as you do the same, everything will be fine, guys, okay? Next, Applied Materials reported earnings, the results were higher than expectations, but the shares still fell in the aftermarket. Their margin performance was within expectations. We know that in this market, you have to outperform everything, especially if the stocks have risen nicely on the eve of the report, right?
But they still beat expectations on operating margin, okay? Operating margin increased from 30% to 33%. That was nice to see. The company is still doing great, they are profitable and have positive free cash flow. But this is the company that Michael Bury is shorting, so people have been asking me about it in the comments.
I replied that I preferred Lam Research simply because Michael Bury doesn't short it, but there are other options, right? You don't have to worry about Michael Bury if that's what's bothering you. Like I said, there are fish in the sea, you don't have to choose these ones, okay? Another company that Michael Bury, you know, added to his short position is Micron, but this is a company that I really believe in.
He was obviously wrong about that. We are recovering well. So, again, I hope you're into this too. I know many of you said you're on to something, so congratulations on that, okay? You just have to believe, right? To have a strong conviction, which, as you know, I have. I've been talking about memory maker stocks for a while now .
So, when you have low supply, high demand, and a shortage that will last until at least 2027, and you still see DRAM prices rising , exceptional margins now, and still a low forward P/E ratio, right? Everything is coming together, and I told you that SanDisk and Micron have some of the cheapest P/E valuations in the market.
So, again , this is what I'm always looking for, guys. Remember, these are bargains, and Applied Materials is a company I personally stay with, simply because Michael Bury is playing the bearish game. I just want you to know about it. Okay, but it's still a good company, and of the three, you know, it's the safest, obviously, because moving on to our next stock, Intuitive Machines, we know that's related to the space economy , and they've shown big losses.
They missed expectations on earnings per share and revenue, which is clearly unacceptable. You can't do this. Now, the reason stocks have actually rebounded quite strongly after their initial drop is because their performance is growing nicely. They make good deals or more contracts, you know, with the government for example.
Their order book has grown by 1.5 billion and now stands at 1.8 billion . So that's one of the reasons why stocks have bounced or recovered, okay? But again, this is a more speculative option. I'm putting this in the same basket as Anduril, right? It's okay to want to have them because you never know if they might be phenomenal winners in the future, but at the same time, you don't want to get burned if they want to go much lower before going higher later, okay?
Of the drone companies, I like Anduril among the unprofitable ones. I just want to emphasize this because their revenue growth is just stellar, okay ? And the same, you know, even though Intuitive Machines didn't catch up in terms of revenue, overall it was very good growth. So, I want to make sure that's clear.
It doesn't look like their revenue is slowing down , because if that happened, it would be really bad for the stock . And we know, you know, when it comes to Anduril and Intuitive Machines, yeah, when you're in the space and drone sector, a lot of these companies are loss-making, yeah, as they, you know, are trying to ramp up capacity to get there, you know, even though it could take years.
So, whatever , but that's why in this market, guys, just remember that you don't have to force anything. There will always be opportunities . That's why I'm here, to help you, right? To get good entry points, right? If you have any questions, you can comment under my video or send me an email, like I said, when you're a member, you have that access, and I'll answer you guys right away , okay?
And I'll let you know what I would personally do in this situation . So, you don't want to buy stocks, just remember, after they've already skyrocketed. I know it's tempting, thinking I'm going to miss something. Again , FOMO, right? This happens all the time , but this is where you can ask me, and I can say, " Okay, you know, wait for the fall ." Or, you know, "Here's, you know, the entry point where I'd like to come in, right?" So it all comes down to finding those little pullbacks no matter what.
And just remember, if you don't get in on that one promotion, there are always other fish in the sea, guys. That's what I remind myself of. Even if you really like a company, for example, let's say you missed Palantir, I know it hasn't really pulled back much since this post- earnings rally began. Obviously I let it out by saying they've grown, they're all over the front, and I said I wouldn't be surprised if it continues to grow further.
But still, right? There are other promotions . Yes? There's always another good setup out there, and I'm here to help you find it, guys. That's why membership is valuable to you, okay? Also, remember about VIP membership. That's where you'll make the most money, earning consistently in the market, regardless of whether stocks are rising or falling.
And if you're interested in this, guys, just sign up for VIP membership. I'll leave the link below, email me once you 've registered, okay? And we will schedule our first face-to- face meeting. I'll bring you up to speed , guys. Good evening.
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