저자: Alec · 외국인
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2023년 3월 27일 실적 시즌 주간 종목 점검. Micron은 PE 11배·현재가 61달러 부근이라 55달러 이하에서 매수 의향, 실적 부진으로 단기 하락 가능성 언급하나 장기 반등 전망. Lululemon은 애널리스트 Hold(목표가 350달러) 인용하며 긍정적 실적 기대. EVgo는 경쟁 심화로 풋(하락 베팅) 선호하나 실적 도박성 강조. 유료 디스코드 홍보 비중이 높음.
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hey guys what's up Alec back with the daily stock market and look at that on Friday we had a pretty flat day overall in the stock market not many stocks making much of a move most stocks making less than a one percent move like meta Apple Walmart now we are gonna dive into earnings week this week we had a few companies reporting earnings week is really winding down so it is going to be slower this week however we do have a few that stand out so make sure you stay throughout this entire video so you know who I'm targeting and looking at for earnings week coming up Monday's a very slow day Tuesdays when it starts picking up for earnings we have Lululemon reporting after the close and we also have Micron two companies that I really want to have my eye on this week and are going to be standing out from the what the rest now Wednesday we also have paychecks reporting another very interesting one Wednesday is a very slow day for earnings moving over to Thursday Thursday morning another very slow day as you can see earnings really is winding down Thursday after the close however we have skills reporting which is going to be a very interesting one to be watching we have canoe reporting and we also have EV go so those are really the six stocks that I'm going to be watching this week for earnings let's dive a little bit deeper into some of them now if you watched my recent video on the best AI stocks in the stock market you'll remember that Micron was one on the list and it was a favorite however we can see they're up eight percent in the past week four percent in the past month 23 percent in the past three months and they're down 21 in the last year right now they are at a pretty fair value if you take the last five years into consideration we have them peaked out at around 97 per share and the lowest point that we saw in the last five years was 2018 or right around thirty dollars per share currently they're sitting at sixty one dollars per share and the recent low was 49.
okay so if we can pick up around 55 50 per share or really under 55 is where I want to be loading the boat on Micron now if you didn't catch my video about the best AI stocks we went over some of this they do a lot of different things and we really dove into this about Micron Technology all the different segments of the business which I really like Micron for that reason because they're very diverse now if we look at what the Bulls are saying we can see that Micron produces a diverse portfolio of memory products using dram and n a n d that will benefit from a wide variety of growth opportunities across 5G artificial intelligence AI cloud computing and other areas which should help mitigate sales volatility okay so you can see this is not just an AI stock but you're also getting a 5G stock cloud computing and other areas as well so that's what I really like about Micron the services they offer are very diverse also the price to earnings ratio or the PE ratios implying that right now at 60 per share mu or Micron is an absolute steel compared to the rest of the S P 500 it's only 11 right now and the average S P 500 is probably closer to around 23.
earnings preview Micron Technology Q2 results unlikely to knock invest their socks off you know so if um Micron does end up dipping on their earnings I'm going to swoop in and buy some shares we're hoping I'm hoping at least for micron to fall 15 or more just so I can buy some shares for long term and I'm not saying that they're going to be falling just yet make sure you watch the end of the segment to see which direction I think they're going to move Micron is set to report its second quarter earnings on Tuesday after a shocker of a first quarter which saw it post a 47 percent decline in sales to 4.1 billion and 195 million net loss down from a profit of 2.3 billion a year earlier another loss is expected the Idaho headquartered firm is a specialist in memory chips and other chips as well which are used in Computing and smart mobile devices to store data and its Shares are all the way down from their highs too the company's president and CEO flagged weakness in end markets as the key problem as customers started to wind down inventory from unsold product and also possibly components too all over and double ordered during the lockdown technology boom of 2020 to 2021 the analysts said however remember we have the AI Boom come coming next so they could be a benefactor off that however for this specific quarter Q2 2023 is for a further quarterly dip in sales okay we're expecting around 3.8 billion and a loss per share of 62 cents against a loss of share of 18 cents in q1 and a profit of 2 billion just a year ago so here we can see Micron is on a downtrend right now so we really want to start to see those sales pick back up if we are going to be owning this stock for long term so this earnings report we could expect the stock to fall down a little bit however for long term I think that Micron will bounce back and continue to trade near all-time highs once again now Lululemon let's go over them they're at 313 dollars per share up six per five point nine percent in the last week and we can see in the last year they haven't had much movement only down around 1.7 percent this has been a pretty stable stock because they're flat on the last three months they're flat on the last one month and they're also about flat on the last year okay however in the last five years we see them up 290 percent overall with an all-time high of 473 dollars per share now if we scroll down we can see that this is three times more overvalued if we look at the p e ratio as something like Micron okay based off the earnings that they're pulling in they have a 34 p e ratio okay they also have a 52-week low of 251 dollars per share and a market cap of 41 billion so this is a massive company to say the least now some bullish things to keep in mind about Lululemon is is often credited with the development of athleisure wear which we believe is a major change in how people dress and has increasingly broad appeal Lululemon has a big opportunity in Greater China where the firm operates just over a hundred stores China is the second largest Athletic Apparel Market in the world and has high growth Lululemon online sales increased to 2.8 billion in 2021 from less than a hundred million in 2010 we estimate its e-commerce operation margins at roughly 44 about 20 percentage points better than its store margin which is absolutely ridiculous so we can see that why this stock is valued a little bit higher than mu for example they have huge margins they have huge growth in recent years as well so they could that p e ratio larger p ratio could be justified however if we look at some bearish points or some risks the only acquisition in Lululemon's history mirror failed to meet sales projections Lululemon is now trying to make it part of of a connected Fitness strategy but this plan is unproven as Lululemon expands Beyond yoga into categories like running and training and offers Footwear it competes directly with established Athletic Apparel firms like Nike something to definitely think about International growth from the company is an important part of Lululemon's power three two times two plan but it's expansion into Europe has been slow and the brand is little known outside of North America now it seems like a lot of analysts are bullish on Lululemon going into earnings here we see analyst expects Lulu to deliver better than expected guidance post Q4 earnings shares of Lulu Lemon inched up Friday morning after top rated City animal as Paul stated that he expects the Athletic Apparel retailer to deliver better than expected guidance Lou Lemon is is expected to announce its Q4 results next week the analyst has reiterated a hold rating with a price target of 350 per share on the stock price implying an upside potential of 12 percent at current levels um the analyst Paul expects Q4 earnings to be in line with expectations and is upbeat about growth prospects in China which we were just talking about Paul the analyst also said with investors anticipating conservative full year 2023 guidance and shares trading at 16 times 16.5 times full year fiscal year 2023 ebitda well-known Nike at 25 times we believe the setup into this point is favorable we are opening a 30-day positive Catalyst watch on Lulu lemon and remember we do see them pretty flat on the year down 1.7 percent so if we see a positive earnings on Lululemon it could definitely Skyrocket the stock into 325 dollars per share to 330 dollars per share or even higher and the last one that we'll be talking about today is evgo at 5.49 per share very very cheap stock right now down seven percent in the past month up 34 percent in the past three months down 58 in the past year unfortunately from their IPO price of 9.75 per share on November 20th 2020 we see them down around 43 from that um IPO price and their all-time high which we saw was closer to 22 dollars per share after all the hype from their IPO carry them a few months it only lasted for about three months shooting up 125 percent and then going on to fall down down down so are they a good stock we see they're a negative earning company with a market cap of 1.4 billion 52-week low of 3.64 cents per share if we scroll down we can see some bullish very few bullish things evigo offers exposure to growth growing adoption of electric vehicles okay we'll go over some of this in some article a better article here in a second however if we look at their earnings in the past we can see that it's all over the place sometimes they Surprise by a huge amount and sometimes they beat uh sometimes they miss by a little amount so it's a gamble on Evo evgo going into earnings keep that in mind however a quick article I want to go over with you guys EV charging earnings signal Cutthroat competition ahead a week of EV charging earnings from the likes of chargepoint wall box and blink charging offered a mixed bag in terms of prints while the latter was able to exceed expectations and drive shares higher on earnings Day Blink the former 2 fell sharply on week 2023 forecast which is which was um charge point and wallbox however on a similar note across earnings presentations was the signal that competition is only due to heat up as EVS transitions continue to accelerate and keep in mind as Tesla announced that they're going to be opening up their charging networks to non-test non-tesla EVS which is obviously going to crush things like chargepoint and blink therefore personally I'm not buying those socks for long term at all so a put on evgo is looking like it's going to be the better move rather than compared to a call however remember I did say this is a somewhat of a gamble because they surprise on their earnings they let down on their earnings we also saw a charge Point um stock price fall we saw blink charging go up on earnings so it's definitely a gamble crap shoot but if I had to pick one way or the other I'm probably going to be going with a put on evgo for earnings and if you guys want to stay in the loop with everything I'm doing message me on Instagram to join in my Discord I did say I would update you guys with the results from the Game Stop call that we took out in the close friends and of the Discord um so on the Discord we saw one of our students make over ten thousand dollars a thousand percent gains we see some Legends in our Discord that you can follow along with we also have another student another member of our Discord up 1800 percent um turning Thirty One dollars into six hundred dollars over a 569 dollar gain from Thirty One dollars absolutely crazy on these calls so if you're not in the Discord if you're not in the close friends already then you're missing out on money and you're just letting it go letting it go in thin air right now because everyone's talking about what they're doing what they're jumping into the Discord you're surrounded by like-minded individuals that are trading in the chat room non-stop with over 250 messages from students coming in at all hours of the day with live trading updates in our Discord main chat during trading hours now we've seen another student up 500 percent uh 592 dollars another member up three thousand dollars 773 congratulations if you're in the Discord and if you're experiencing some of these gains another one with over 805 percent a thirteen hundred dollar uh gain and that was from a hundred and fifty dollars took 150 and turned it into a hundred and uh excuse me and turned it into a thousand three hundred and seventy dollars right there Queen B okay um and the list goes on and on all the results if you want to see this tab post your gains um you can see all the positive testimonials coming in um here we see another member up 230 percent on the week so if you want to join the winning team make sure you message me here at the daily stock market now a 197 000 followers on Instagram 717 posts this is my only stock market Instagram make sure you click on success number eight success number seven if you want to see some of the recent positive testimonials as as well other than that thank you guys for all the love and support remember as long as you keep liking these videos I'm gonna keep making them for you also share this video with a friend if you think that they'll benefit from this video on earnings week and if they're going to be playing earnings this week make sure you share this video with them thank you guys I'll see you guys in the next video and remember don't time the market buy the market peace
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