저자: CathieWood · 외국인
요약 보기
Cathie Wood은 테슬라 주가가 2024년까지 최대 1000% 오를 수 있다고 주장하며, 최악의 경우에도 2배 상승 가능하다는 입장이다. 핵심 주장: 2020~2021년 ARK 수익률 203% 이상, 테슬라 주가 1083% 상승 기여. 5년 목표가 베어(하방) 시나리오 700달러 언급. 근거 수치: 전기차 판매는 전 세계적으로 2000% 이상 증가 전망. 테슬라 시장점유율은 현재 17%에서 최악 시 6%로 하락해도 연매출 850억 달러 가능(평균 차량가 5만 달러 가정). 강세 시나리오에서는 점유율이 11%로 하락하고 2023년 약 300만 대 판매, 매출 1500억 달러 이상 예상. 기업가치는 2700억 달러 이상으로 확대 전망. 기술·투자 측면: 자율주행과 AI 우위로 경쟁사 대비 앞서 있으며, R&D 비중은 매출의 약 10%로 경쟁사 대비 두 배 가까이 투자 예정. 일론 머스크의 자율주행 상용화 비전이 실현되면 주가는 현재의 20배가 될 수 있다고 봄. 비관론 및 반론: 일부 전문가는 ARK의 대규모 보유 지분 때문에 낙관론을 편다고 지적. 모건스탠리 애널리스트 Adam Jonas는 테슬라 대신 페라리를 2023년 최선호 자동차주로 교체. 전기차 섹터 전반이 고평가되어 조정이 올 수 있다는 시각도 존재. 결론적 전망: 주가는 2022년 저점에서 회복 중이며 2025년까지 500달러를 돌파할 가능성이 있다고 언급. 영상은 교육 목적이며 투자 자문이 아니라고 고지. 출연자 전망: Cathie Wood는 테슬라 강세 전망을 유지하며, 2022년 하락 이후 저점 매수 기회로 보고 있음.
다듬은 글
after a tumultuous 2022 Kathy Wood the CEO of investment firm Arc invest has now set her sights on the electric car company Tesla and has put out what will probably be the boldest prediction of the Tesla stock ever stay tuned to the end of this video as we delve into Kathy Woods forecast of how the Tesla stock would rise by as much as one thousand percent by 2024.
Kathy Wood the CEO of investment firm Arc invest dominated 2020 and 2021 with her unmatched pick of stocks that provided returns of over 203 percent for investors a huge contributor to that astonishing return was her selection of the Tesla stock which had its share price increasing by as much as one thousand and eighty three percent during that period it is an understatement to say that the 67 year old wealth manager is a huge proponent of the automotive company however is her prediction about the Tesla stock the talk of a fanatic or does it have some analytical backing to it wood believes she has the numbers to back her claims and as the prediction is a product of data-driven research modeled by her firm Arc invest but it was all it was all modeled very data driven The Arc invest CEO the Tesla stock is likely to double by 2024 in a worst case scenario where the company has lost over two-thirds of its market share better luck next time okay she is quoted as saying we have our bear price five-year Target as seven hundred dollars later in the video we will highlight what her best case scenario for the electric car maker would mean for investors nonetheless a 100 increase in the share price of Tesla even in the worst case scenario sounds good to many investors the numbers backing this claim for Mark is that the firm believes sales of electric vehicles will increase by more than two thousand percent globally with more competition in the electric vehicle space Tesla's market share is likely to reduce to six percent from its current dominance at 17 percent which will be enough to produce annual revenues of over 85 billion dollars if the average price of fifty thousand dollars for a car is maintained this is in stark contrast to many other Financial Market experts Who Remain pessimistic about Tesla's future especially after its performance in 2022 they claim wood is only driving the Tesla price with their claims because her investment firm has a huge stake in the company others also believe that although Tesla is likely to be a Mainstay within the electric vehicle space for many years the EV sector itself was overvalued along with the firms operating in it including Tesla and is therefore set for a reset amongst these critics is long-time Tesla Fanboy and Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas who has recently replaced the Tesla stock as his top Auto pick for 2023 with that of the Italian automaker Ferrari Jonas claims Ferrari has the longest order backlog greatest earnings visibility and highest pricing power of any company we cover with a decreasing demand for electric vehicles and investors moving to other competitors within the Auto industry a worst case bear scenario was looking more likely for Arc invest heading into 2023 however Kathy Wood believes Tesla has a trick up its sleeve that is certain to put it ahead of its competitors on the market as we would later see in the video if you are enjoying the analysis from this video make sure to subscribe to this channel to receive more insightful videos about the stock market at the start of 2023 Tesla made a number of swooping changes that to an extent restored investor confidence and is looking to trigger a bull run in the coming months for Arc invest and Kathy Wood a bull run for Tesla would mean the market share for the car manufacturer is likely to drop by a third to 11 percent from its current 17 percent this will translate into sales of roughly 3 million Tesla vehicles in 2023 with a five percent increase in subsequent years with these numbers the company is likely to bring in revenues of over 150 billion dollars Tesla is also expected to reinvest a huge chunk of its earnings back into the firm to accelerate growth given these conditions wood believes the Enterprise Value will scale to just over 270 billion dollars in a bull case causing a surge in its share price great Kathy also believes that Tesla's advancement in autonomous vehicles and artificial intelligence puts it way ahead of its competitors she expects the firm to continue investing heavily into research and development with close to 10 percent of their sales revenue almost double what the other car makers are investing into research Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has been pushing for a major role out of self-driving vehicles in recent years should this Vision be fully realized Tesla would become the most important player in the electric vehicle space for many years to come and its stock price would be 20 times what it is today although Kathy Woods optimism about the Tesla stock might be a little exaggerated from what the numbers say it is a closer estimate to what the potential outcome will be if Tesla continues on its current trajectory and is a far cry from the pessimists predict due for the Tesla stock the share price is likely to cross the 500 Mark by 2025 as it continues to recover from its lows in 2022 and with new groundbreaking Innovations in the pipeline the company is looking attractive to investors who want to buy in into the current dip be sure to seek expert Financial advice before investing any money as this video is purposely for educational purposes and not meant as Certified Financial advice if you enjoyed the analysis in this video be sure to watch the next video which predicts five things Tesla is likely to do in 2023 to get its share price moving in an upward trajectory
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