원문 보기
predicted the 2008 Global Financial Crisis in advance and made a lot of money at the time . They call him The Big Shirt Michael Parry . We have seen this famously in many places. He has now given an important warning to the American stock market . So, in his opinion, the ongoing continuous rally in the US stock market is about to end abruptly .
He said that this would be a disaster as big as the Black Monday Incident of 1987 . What if it was Black Monday 1987 ? If you look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index on October 19, 1987, it fell 22% in a single day . This is the biggest one-day decline ever seen in the global stock market. If you look at that time, people had more confidence in the stock market at that particular time .
Because the market was going up and down . If you look further, all the stocks are trading at higher valuations . The price of a share was ₹100, but its value was ₹ 200 at that time . If you look at the next picture, after reaching a particular level, sudden selling pressure came and was created. Many people started booking profits.
This is the effect of that day. That day, a huge sale happened to my mother . The market crashed terribly. What is he worried about now? The current boom in artificial intelligence is the reason for this. If you look at all the AI companies now, they're all trading at higher valuations, he said. If you look at the many investors, they are making more bets in this sector .
It has been found that this means that there has been excessive investment in this sector. High confidence has been created in the market . In case, even a small piece of bad news comes, it will have a big impact and create a big mess, so they have given a warning. He gave a big warning about algorithmic trading .
This is nothing like algorithmic trading in 1987 . But they said that this is going to create an even bigger impact in the market . If you look at big companies, they will say algorithmic trading, that is, algo trading, quant funds, passive index funds, and high-frequency trading. If you look at all these, they will come and set up the proper computer and it will come and function as per the market conditions .
Things like buying and selling will happen automatically. So, if it's going like this now, they've gone beyond their programmed system and created a high selling market. Then this system will come and crash and this one will also come to the high selling side . This is why he has come and warned that there is a high chance that more money will be created in the market than we expect .
Next, he will say some things in detail about this AI sector . Let's see what that is. He said that there are high expectations among people in the AI sector . If you look at many companies, their valuations are higher than the company's financial performance, and all these stocks are trading at valuations higher than the company's financial performance .
They have given a warning that a big crash could happen at any time. Stock futures will rally even further. Already, stocks have rallied nicely . If you look at this time too, you'll see that many people are continuing to buy in anticipation that all these stocks will go up . So, in the CASA sector, if there is a small negative news or performance deficit, huge selling will come .
Now let's see which companies this person has taken a short position against . This is important, but Micron Technology, Applied Materials Semiconductor ETA, and then some bets have come and gone against the NST 100. Now, what if you have a short position? If you know that a particular stock is going to go down, you will say, "sell high or buy low." They would buy shares of that company for ₹200 and then buy the same shares when they reach ₹150.
So you can see a profit of 50%. This can be done intraday in the main market. It is possible to do things like this in futures and options contracts . Now, if you look at what investors like us should do now, if this kind of problem arose in the American stock market, then the reflection of this will definitely be reflected in the stock exchanges of other countries.
If you look at the 2008 financial crisis, the American stock market crashed terribly. At the same time, if you look at the Indian stock market, it has also experienced a terrible crash. So, keeping this point in mind, you can avoid making huge purchases in semiconductor and related companies for now.
If you look at India's AI and semiconductor companies, they are trading at a reasonable valuation . I have already analyzed this . Whatever the case, this news will definitely have a big impact . Avoid investing heavily in the A &S semiconductor sector for a while . So always do your own fundamental and technical analysis before investing in the stock market.
Always collect all the important information happening in the market . If you watch me in the stock market, I have been providing videos every day for 5 to 10 minutes, covering all the important incidents that happen in the market every day . Don't forget to subscribe to our channel. Learn more about the stock market in detail . Keep learning, keep growing, thank you, take care and bye, bye.
Comments 0