저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 버핏과 제이미 다이먼의 투자 방식을 비교하며, 2023년 주목할 만한 두 종목(TSMC, Floor & Decor)을 매수 관점에서 제시하고 거시 리스크 4가지를 경고하는 영상이다. [버핏 vs 다이먼 비교] 버크셔 해서웨이(버핏)의 투자 성과가 2022년 S&P 500을 상회했다고 언급했다. 제이미 다이먼(JP모건 CEO)은 미국 경제가 견고하며 소비·기업 지출이 양호하다고 평가했다. [TSMC(TSM) 분석] 2022년 4분기 매출 19.9억 달러(전년 대비 27% 증가), EPS 1.82달러(58% 증가)를 기록했다. 2023년 매출은 대체로 보합, EPS는 5.75달러로 하락(2022년 6.60달러)할 것으로 전망했다. 반도체 매출은 2023년 3.6% 감소 예상이나, 하반기 회복 기대를 제시했다. 3나노(N3) 칩은 양산 중이며 수요가 공급을 초과, 3분기부터 매출 기여 예상이다. 자동차 칩 부족, 데이터센터 지출(3.4% 증가), IoT 칩 시장 연 15.5% 성장이 촉매로 제시되었다. 주가수익비율(PER) 14배로 아직 할인 구간이라고 평가했다. [Floor & Decor(FND) 분석] 2022년 3분기 매출 11억 달러(25% 증가), 조정 EPS 2.70달러(17% 증가)를 기록했다. 동일매장 매출은 11.6% 증가했다. 2022년 매출 예상 42.7억 달러(24% 증가), 2023년 매출 15%·EPS 12% 증가 전망이 제시되었다. 매장 수를 2022년 191개에서 2024년 275개로 확대, 장기적으로 미국 내 500개까지 가능하다고 언급했다. 향후 5년간 연 19% 이상 이익 성장을 예상했다. 5년 평균 선행 PER 40배 대비 현재 할인 거래 중이라고 평가했다. [다이먼이 제시한 거시 리스크 4가지] 1) 지정학 긴장(우크라이나 사태, 러시아 제재)으로 에너지·곡물 가격 재상승 우려. 2) 에너지 투자 부족이 향후 2~3년 내 식품·에너지 비용 상승을 초래할 수 있음. 3) 과잉 저축(약 1.5조 달러 잔존)과 노동 공급 감소로 인플레이션 장기화 가능성. 4) 연준의 양적긴축(QT)으로 채권 등에서 대규모 자금 유출 우려, 금리 5%까지 인상 필요 가능성 언급(현재 4.5%). [버핏 투자 방식] 진행자는 버핏의 투자 방식을 '저평가된 우량 기업을 장기 보유'로 요약했다. [결론] 진행자는 TSMC와 Floor & Decor를 저평가 매수 기회로 제시하며, 거시 리스크는 경계 대상으로 언급했다.
다듬은 글
virtue is Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett is recognized for making sure Investments that have helped his business outperform the market over the years so totally unexpected that class 8 years of his holding firm outperformed the S P 500 in 2022 on the other hand Jamie dimon CEO of JP Morgan Chase JPM 0.48 the largest bank in the United States gives a great viewpoint on the US and worldwide economies demonstrating the bank's most recent results announcement that the U.S economy is still robust and that consumer and business spending is good Welcome to our video about Warren Buffett versus Jamie demon before we continue our video subscribe to our Channel and hit the Bell icon for more informative videos with the stock market anticipated to rise this year it's a good time to look at two Buffett stock that got 2023 off to a fantastic start Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing DSM M 2.27 also known as dsmc and Floor and Decor fnd 1.47 have increased by 28 in 25 respectively this year let's take a look at why these two stocks might Skyrocket and why they're still worth purchasing despite their recent increases one I want semiconductor manufacturing given the company's fourth quarter 2022 performance Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing dsmc stocks remarkable growth is 2023 maybe you're a little surprising despite excellent year-over-year growth of 27 in Revenue to 19.9 billion dollars and a 58 increase in earnings to 1.82 dollars per share the company's projection was disappointing the SMC sales projection of 17.1 billion dollars for the current quarter is a slightly year-over-year degrees furthermore Express do not anticipate the firm to match its Stellar 2022 Grand out this year as sales is expected to be basically unchanged earnings per share on the other hand are predicted to fall to 5.75 dollars in 2023 from 6.60 last year however a deeper examination of dsmc's management remarks on the most recent results conference call shows why the stock price has risen despite a bleak near-term prognosis which management attributed to the softness in the semiconductor industry semiconductor sales are predicted to fall 3.6 percent in 2023 after increasing four percent the previous year as a result clients of tstmc are allegedly learning chip purchases in order to line their stock parallels with end market demand however the SMC is witnessing early indicators of demand stability and anticipates a solid Rebound in the second half of 2023 simultaneously the business forecast good demand for chip based on its three nanometer and three node it according to dsmc its N3 chips are already in volume manufacturing and demand outnumbered Supply the three nanometer chips will begin contributing to tsmc's revenue in the third quarter which is not surprising considering the company's existing client base with possible catalysts like the automotive and data center Industries dsmc may be able to generate stronger than expected growth in 2023 because there is currently a chip scarcity in the automobile industry cement conductors manufactured by tsmc for use in this area should remain in high demand meanwhile data center system spending is expected to rise by 3.4 percent in 2023 furthermore The Internet of Things iot chip Market is predicted to develop at a 15.5 percent annual rate from 2023 to 2027 providing another chance for tsmc to beat forecasts overall the swimming conductor business has a various areas of growth that might help dsmc beat Wall Street's prediction and at 14 times trailing earnings it's not too late to purchase this Semiconductor Company which is still selling at a discount with the S P 500 2.
floor and decoration Floor and Decor multi-junk specialty retailer and distributor of hard surface flooring such as tiles laminates the wall tiles and other related things his own Barber shoots Hathaway Florian decor has 178 Warehouse four Metal locations in 35 States across the United States there are also five Design Studios recently The Firm has experienced strong demand for its products floor and decor's revenue climbed 25 year on year to 1.1 billion dollars in the third quarter of 2022.
its adjusted profits per share increased 17 percent year on year 2.70 per year the excellent quality rise at Florent core was driven by a mix of new store openings and increase in comparable store sales the Third foreign stores comparable store cells increase 11.6 percent year on year indicating that stores have already been operating for more than a year are still performing well the company sells projection of 4.27 billion dollars in 2022 is a strong 24 increase over 2021.
analysts and display that fluorine Decor will maintain its Trend in 2023 with a 15 growth in revenue and a 12 increase in profits per share it's easy to see why Wall Street expect the firm to have another strong year Florian decor believes that its overall addressable Market opportunity encompassing the hard surface flooring sector and related categories is approximately 49 billion dollars to 54 billion dollars this explains why the firm is focused on growing its foot brain and capturing the large shares of the market in which it operates it intended to establish 13 new stores in the fourth war of 2022 more than double the number in the previous quarter flooring the course expansion plan is said to have helped them boost its market share to 8 in 2021 up from six percent previously furthermore The Firm intends to increase its store count to 275 by 2024 up from 191 in 2022 and it sees the potential for 500 locations in the United States in the long term the magnitude of the addressable Market along with the floor intercourse emphasis on making the most fed shows that it is designed for long-term growth over the next five years it is predicted to have annual profits growth of more than 19 even better this buffer stock is currently trading at a discount to its 5-year average forward price to earnings ratio of 40 providing investors with an excellent opportunity to purchase it it would be wise to purchase floor and decor while it is still selling at a low valuation as the company might maintain its excellent pace for the rest of the year and so or higher in the long run demon has recently pointed out four issues that might have influence on the global economy and the bank's operations in 2023 and these issues could be Market Changers but these are against the values highlighted by Warren Buffett they're still here number one tensions in geopolitics the first economic barrier Dimension was continued geopolitical difficulties such as the Ukraine crisis and consequent sanctions placed on Russia in his letter to shareholders lost April demonstrated that this battle might have long-term geopolitical implications the sanctions place in Russia have had far-reaching consequences for Global energy Commodities and agriculture markets we witnessed the effect early last year when crude oil prices sword Beyond 120 dollars per barrel in wheat prices increased by 55 percent while oil and wheat prices have subsequently stabled given warrants against becoming complacent about the long-term effects of geopolitical attention noting that previous geopolitical crisis like as the Vietnam War had long-term consequences that took used to play out too the vulnerable state of energy and Food Supplies other factors according to demon might cause energy and food costs to resurface as issues in an October interview with CNBC demonstrated that we're getting energy terribly wrong and that a lack of oil and gas output is adding to detention his fear is that Nations such as China Germany and Netherlands are returning to Coal amid the energy crisis and that greater oil and gas production were required to deter countries from choosing less sustainable energy sources he mentioned that energy corporations are hesitant to invest in productions for a variety of reasons one issue is that these firms can't get permits done they can't obtain leases and investor constraints have kept energy corporations from spending too heavily in Productions he said the last amount of CBS faced the nation he believes that under investment in oil and gas would generate problems in the next two to three years because energy accounts for around 40 percent of food costs under investment in energy will have Global ramification and may lead food prices to rise further you also stated that the situation in China which requires more food energy and water to feed its people is another issue that would take decades to resolve these structural forces may keep energy and food costs up for a long period of time which relates to its next issue 3.
persistent inflation and routing purchasing power massive fiscal stimulus put trillions of dollars in the hands of consumers during the epidemic consumers were loaded with cash with over 2 trillion dollars in excess savings according to Demon's ladder to shareholders in aperol in an interview with CNBC last month demonstrated that consumers still have more than 1.5 trillion dollars in excess savings which would most certainly be spent down by 2023 potentially contributing to higher inflation while some of the inflationary pressures were temporary such as supply chain concerns other structural causes will lead to more persistent inflation in the future this indicates that 2 million early retirement beginning in 2022 and a million decline in Immigration all while available jobs increased and salary growth accelerated another Adelman contributing to a stickier inflation is the lack of housing Supply which will likely keep house prices High these factors have contributed to sustaining inflation in the United States while geopolitical difficulties around oil and food costs have contributed to Global inflation dimmy's next concern is the government's reaction to inflation and how it will affect the market and the economy 4.
unprecedented quantitative tightening the federal reserve's quantitative tightening QD is the final possible economic headwind QT is the inverse of quantitative easing and is used to remove funds from the financial system to combat any inflation the fat is boosting interest rates while implementing QD which is in no matter classic fat tightening according to demon this would result in a large outflow of cash from treasury bonds and other Securities he stated that unlike from 2008 to 2014 when Banks purchased bonds as the worldly leverage they no longer needed to purchase treasury to strengthen their liquidity ratios the significant shift in the flow of capital has an effect on the market and the economy and the bank has been prepared for higher interest rates and more turbulent markets he also stated that the FED should continue to tighten policy regardless of the impact on markets and should only be concerned if such Mayors begin to have a detrimental impact on the broader economy Diamond believes that the benchmark's federal rates must reach 5 before the FED considers slowing the pace of red hikes it is presently at 4.5 percent on the high end we don't know how buffer investigates Investments because most of his investment process his secret you don't have to do anything spectacular to invest like Warren Buffett in fact many new investors are taken aback by the Oracle of Omaha straightforward Investments technique Buffett buys an outstanding companies that are selling for less than their true worth and then he keeps the Investments for as long as the company stay great obviously there is more to detail simply said he is the best in this race after this tour examination so this was all about the video for more videos make sure to subscribe to our Channel and hit the Bell icon for more videos thanks for watching and have a great day
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