저자: 해성Ant · 한국인
요약 보기
나스닥은 반도체(SOXX) 240 저항에 막혀 조정 중이며 러셀·다우로 자금이 순환 중이라고 봄. 테슬라는 250~275 지지 확인 시 매수, 장기 목표 1,000달러. 애플은 220 저항 근처 목표, 손절 195~200. UNH는 바닥 확인 후 375~380 목표. 노보노디스크는 67~70 매수, 85 2차. SMR은 채널 이탈로 손절/청산 권고. 인텔은 18.5~20 지지 확인 후 매수 고려. SoundHound는 10달러 지지 시 보유, 목표 12달러대·24달러. Resolve AI는 200일선 돌파 시 추가 매수, 최소 5달러 목표. Critical Metal은 3달러 지지 유지 시 보유. QSI는 1.65달러 이탈 시 손절. Rigetti는 11달러 기준 단기 매매.
다듬은 글
hello. This is Haeseong Ant. I will proceed with the analysis of US stock charts on July 2nd . First, we are going to take a look at the status of the Nasdaq, Russell, and Dow indices. On the Nasdaq futures chart, the decline from the previous day is being reflected to some extent, and the market is still showing weakness without being able to rebound.
So, for the time being, even if there is a slight rebound, I expect it to undergo a correction for a few days . However, in the case of the Russell Index, it is currently breaking through the 200-day moving average and showing a continuous upward trend. So, if the rise continues significantly, I expect it to reach 2,300 based on the 2,300 Russell futures price, and the Dow Jones Index has also been rising sharply for several days now since crossing the 200-day moving average .
I mentioned in yesterday's membership video that the 44,700-something line would be the limit, but seeing that it is rising above that today, I believe it could rise to the previous high line . So, looking only at the Nasdaq, a correction is expected right now, but since assets are rotating toward the Russell and Dow during this correction process, assets could shift back to the Nasdaq once more later.
I view the Nasdaq as currently taking a breather rather than transitioning into a major downtrend . However, I believe it could turn downward after rising one more time . Once the Gauss and Russell indices have risen sufficiently, supply and demand may shift back to the Nasdaq, but a simultaneous decline across the board is also possible during this process.
The current rise in the Nasdaq has been driven by SOX, or semiconductors, so far. As the SOXX hits resistance upon reaching 240, the Nasdaq also appears to be undergoing a correction . Therefore, I expect that the SX will also struggle to surpass 240 for the time being, and for the Nasdaq to continue its rally, the semiconductor sector will also need to demonstrate that it has broken through 240.
So, let's take a look at the individual stocks now . First, let's take a look at the Tesla chart . While other big tech companies were doing well, Tesla experienced a decline due to continuous owner risk. And even now, it is experiencing a significant decline as Musk and Trump fight again. Currently, I view this gray trend line as a support line, but if delivery volume is unfavorable, I believe it could fall one more time to the 275 line, or even further down to the 250 line .
However, I expect this 250 level to hold, and in terms of wave counting, I see a flow moving from here to 1 a b c 3 . In this trend, even if the correction after the first wave comes out deeply in an ABC shape, the third wave can continue . So, if you don't own Tesla yet, buy it at this price point .
And I believe that if you buy one more time between 275 and 250, you will be able to see a very large profit . As I mentioned in my previous video, looking at Tesla through wave counting, broadly speaking, it has gone through Wave 1 and Wave 2, and is currently passing through Wave 3-1 and Wave 3-2.
Since I believe it will continue into Wave 3-3, I expect it to show a rise to $1,000 within a few years. Therefore, I believe it is better to respond by buying at the lows rather than cutting losses on Tesla . Next, let's look at Apple. I have been saying that Apple could now show an upward trend in this phase .
Ultimately, it appears to be breaking through the resistance line extending from this high and rising significantly. I believe this rise could reach as high as $220, but since the $220 level has consistently served as resistance or support in the past, it may face resistance in that zone. I am investing in an Apple 2x leverage product called AAP .
While other big tech companies are showing good gains and breaking their previous highs, Apple is still down nearly 20% from its peak . Since I view this stock as significantly undervalued, I expect a rise to occur soon. However, as it may face resistance near the 200-day moving average, I believe it is advisable to take profits in this zone.
Basically, regarding the stop-loss, you could set the price at today's low of around $200 or $195, but given that Apple's bullish trend has started, I don't think it will be easy to reach that level . Next, let's take a look at UNNH. As I mentioned last time, UNH is currently showing a very significant decline from its peak, falling by more than 55%, and there has almost never been a decline like this in UNH's history.
This is a stock that didn't even show such a decline during the COVID pandemic, so it is the first time in almost 20 years that such a drop has occurred. That is why I mentioned that this is a zone where I could consider buying, and looking at the daily chart, it has risen after retesting the current low point and forming a double bottom .
I recommended buying at around $304. The reason for that purchase was that the price had broken through the downtrend. Although it underwent another correction, it showed signs of rising while holding onto the previous resistance line. Now that a full-scale rise has begun, I believe it can climb significantly to $375.
Since this has already happened, and there is little trading volume in this zone, it can rise easily. From then on, we will have to see whether it rises again immediately or undergoes a correction, but we can expect an immediate rise from $375 to $380 . Next, let's take a look at the Novono disk . Novo Nordisk is also currently undergoing a correction after a rise, having fallen by more than 60% from its peak when viewed on the weekly chart .
Looking at the daily chart, the price broke through the resistance line established from the previous high and is currently undergoing a correction to retest it . A few days ago, I recommended buying between $67 and $70, and now it has dropped slightly further before rebounding . It is currently possible to hold at $67, and if it rises, we expect it to surpass the previous high of $81 and reach the 200-day moving average .
So, you can hold based on $67, and set the second price at around $85 and hold. Next, let's look at the SMR chart . It is a stock related to SMR (Small Modular Reactor) . I previously mentioned in the membership video on June 24th that since we are right at the bottom of this channel, it is possible to buy, and if it breaks out of this channel, you must close your position, whether by selling or cutting your losses .
So, after rising significantly, it is showing signs of breaking out of this channel with another sharp decline. When it breaks out of a channel like this, it would have been correct to proceed with either a stop-loss or a take-profit at least the previous night when it was showing such a drop . Since I am leaving this channel now, I do n't know how far I will fall.
Since it can rise again to 1, 2, and 3 in the support zone, you could enter a buy position there; however, rather than entering recklessly right now, it would be better to wait and see if support is established before making a purchase. Next, let's take a look at the Intel chart . It is a semiconductor stock, but because it was a traditional semiconductor stock—that is, one with little connection to AI—it fell sharply and has been showing continuous weakness from last year through this year.
However, if you look at the chart right now this year, it is rising while forming three major bottoms . Therefore, I believe that if the semiconductor sector holds up well, Intel also has the strength to rise once again and pull back up from the gap it fell through at that time . And in the case of Intel, since it is currently forming a strong support level between $18.5 and $20, it can be seen that it will rebound at least at the $20 level .
So, in the case of Intel, there is a fairly large range where significant profits can be made compared to this low point . So, I think I can go in and take a look . However, as of now, since SXX is facing resistance at its high point, Intel may also find it difficult to rise significantly . However, I believe that if Intel also faces resistance and approaches the $20 level to some extent, it would be worth considering buying again with a good risk-reward ratio .
Next, let's take a look at Sound Aound AI . SoundHound's AI chart can be considered a very ideal chart. Currently, all moving averages, including the 200-day line, are gathered in one place, and a rise has occurred that breaks through them. Furthermore, since it has broken through the resistance line extending from the high, it is safe to say that there are virtually no resistance levels for this stock .
So, if it holds just at $10, you can hold heavily, looking at the first target price as the previous high in the high 12s and the second target price as nearly the previous high of around $24 . Since the risk-reward ratio is currently very favorable, I believe that if you hold based on the $10 threshold, it can be a very good trading strategy .
Next, let's take a look at Resolve AI. I also view YouTube AI as a good stock because it formed a bottom and is currently rising again following a correction . Looking at the wave counting, it is believed that it can go up to wave 1, wave 2, and then wave 1, wave 2, and wave 3. As you can see, it is currently facing resistance at the 200-day moving average .
If it breaks through this resistance, there is no telling how far it could go. Since it could go up to at least $5, it is worth holding even if it is currently facing resistance. However, in the case of YouTube AI, the price is currently at a level close to the stop-loss line, so the range leading up to the stop-loss is quite wide .
Therefore, I recommend holding only the small weight for B-Jong. It is a stock where you can add a little more weight when it shows signs of breaking through this line . Next, we will look at Critical Metal . I mentioned Critical Metal in this section. I mentioned this at the beginning of the bedding phase, and it was a zone where profits of about 40% to 50% were being generated, but the market is undergoing a significant correction again .
Since there are many other good stocks, I took profits on all of them after seeing an average return of 40%, but I believe that those currently holding can continue to hold based on the $3.00 or $3 level . If it breaks below the $3 threshold, the trend could be broken again, so you could proceed with taking profits.
However, looking at the current wave count, it can go back up to 1, 2, 3's 1, 3's 2, and 3's 3, so it is a stock that can be held for a while without needing to take tight profits . Even looking at the Critical Meta chart, a significant rise occurred after breaking through resistance following the formation of a low point.
I missed this at the time and saw it only after it had already risen sharply, so I waited for a correction before entering a buy position. As such, when a significant rise occurs, it does not end after just one movement but flows in a zigzag pattern; therefore, you can consider entering the market during a correction like this.
Therefore, rather than jumping on a large rally like this, it is a much safer trading strategy that can yield greater profits to wait for a correction and then ride the rally that follows . Next, let's look at QSI. QSI is a quantum-related stock, and broadly speaking, we view QSI as following a trend of a 1st wave rise followed by a 2nd wave correction, and then rising again in a 3-2, 2, and 3-3 pattern.
We also see that when this 3rd wave rises in a 3-1 and 3-3 pattern, this 3-3 wave rises once again in a 1-2-3-4-5 form . However, in the case of QSI as well, the trade to this stop-loss point is a bit far off. So, I shouldn't take up too much of the role . However, I believe that once the current correction ends, it will rise once more and break through the previous high .
So, I also plan to buy if there is a rise, and although it is currently in the negative zone, I am waiting for another rally to reach a higher high. In the case of the QSI, if it breaks below $1.65, I view it as a stop-loss zone . This is because if it breaks the point where a major rally began, we must anticipate a correction rather than a return to the 1-2-3 levels .
Next, let's take a look at Rigetti computing . Rigty Computing is also a stock that showed a very significant rise last year among my quantum stocks . And as I have covered a few times, I believe that we can proceed with waves 1, 2, and 3 in this manner, and currently, it can be said that the 3rd wave, 2nd section is almost completely finished .
In the case of Rigetti Computing right now, the distance to a stop-loss is very short. This is a stock that allows for cost-effective trading because you can enter a tight buy position based on the $11 mark . So, in fact, even if it breaks the $11 mark, it could rise, but since it is such a highly volatile stock, you could trade efficiently by setting a short stop-loss at $11 to buy and take a profit, or by exiting if it breaks and buying again when it finds support .
Yes, that concludes today's video . I decided to make this video to follow up on the chart analysis of the stocks I introduced in the membership Telegram room all at once. If there are any other stocks mentioned in the membership, I will explain the chart trends in a video like this. Thank you for watching.
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