저자: Osprey · 외국인
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결론: 2018년 2월 말 기준 레버리지 ETF 및 원자재·에너지 ETF 다수가 기술적 반등 신호를 보이며 상승 전환 가능성을 제시하나, 일부 종목은 이탈 시 무효화되는 조건부 강세 관점이다. [기술주·지수 레버리지] TQQQ(나스닥 3배): 금요일 중간 볼린저밴드 지지 후 상방 돌파, 163달러(EMA 조건) 위 유지 시 최근 고점 약 182달러가 목표, 163달러 하회 시 냉각 신호. TNA(러셀2000 3배): 69달러 저항 돌파 및 100일 단순이평선 상회로 강세, 72달러 종가 돌파 시 상승 추세 시작 신호, 69달러 이하 하락 시 허위 돌파로 판단. UDOW(다우 3배): 99.5달러 수준 저항을 돌파해야 상방 잠재력 확대, 현재 횡보 채널 상단 돌파 진행. FAS(금융주 3배): 72~73달러 저항대 돌파 시 강한 신호, 80달러 회복 시 추세 재개 가능, 70달러 지지 확인 필요. TECL(기술주 3배): 눌림 후 200일선 반등, 140달러 이상 최근 고점이 목표, 지지 유지 조건. [바이오] LABU(바이오 3배): 94달러 위 유지 시 상승 신호, 96달러 돌파 시 중간 밴드 상향 돌파 확인. 94달러 이탈 시 위험 신호. 단 MACD·DI 지표는 약세 다이버전스 경고. [에너지·원유] XLE(에너지 섹터 ETF): 장기 이평선 아래 횡보 후 상단 돌파로 상승 가능성, 70달러 이상 안착 시 상승 추세 시작 가능. 다른 에너지 ETF 대비 뒤처진 상태로 평가. ERX(에너지 3배): 29.50달러 돌파 시 강세로 봄, 이평선 정렬 상태 주시. UWT(원유 3배): 중간 밴드 지지 시 상승 전환 가능, 27.60달러 지지 후 32달러 재상승 목표. UGAZ 등 가스 관련 ETF: 이평선 위 종가 및 13일 이평선 회복이 상승 신호, 58~60달러 돌파 필요, 이중바닥 지지 확인. [금광] JNUG(주니어 금광주 3배): 상승 반전 패턴 형성, 13.57달러 이평선 상회 유지 시 상승 가능, 12달러대 지지 이탈 시 위험. NUGT(금광 3배): 24.79달러 이평선 종가 돌파 시 상승 신호, 이평선 아래 캔들 지속 시 매수 보류 권고. [출연자 전망 및 리스크] 전반적으로 단기 상승 흐름을 기대하나, 모든 판단은 특정 지지·저항선 이탈 여부를 조건으로 함. 허위 돌파 가능성과 레버리지 상품 특성에 따른 급락 위험을 전제로 함. 구체적 기간(1~3개월) 전망은 명시되지 않음.
다듬은 글
hi everybody this is Osprey from my chart some different ETFs and ATMs that you can use to trade this week if the markets keep heading higher so this this is a look at the different bull ETFs and ETS okay let's look at proShares ultra pro triple Q this is t QQ q is the ticker symbol and as you can see here it made a super polish move on friday it had been turning the middle Bollinger Band into support that's the dotted purple line at 158 81 and in that level hold and then it had the big breakout higher so that that was the move that the Bulls were looking for so congrats everybody this is signalling that it wants to head higher when needs to stay above EMA for at 163 that's the pink line notice it's been holding the whole time since there was a close above down here yeah and so if it can keep writing EMA for super for support higher and stay about that middle Bollinger Band then a new Uptrend should continue and what you're looking for is a run back up to the recent high which is up here at just about 182 so that will be the target if we can keep the uptrend going notice it did close above the recent high so this was a really big move for the tqq and we'll see if it can keep going if it closes below 163 that'll be your signal that it's cooling down okay let's look at TNA this is the the small cat Bowl three times and that this made a nice move on Friday as well notice it closed above the the dotted purple line that is the middle Bollinger Band it also closed above the Gold Line which is the hundred a simple moving average so the close above 69 resistance was very bullish it signals the possible started with new uptrend now it has to break the next key resistance level which is the 50-day simple moving average at 71 82 it was this upper wick hit that level and it pulled back last week if it gets a close above 72 that's gonna be your signal that it wants to head higher and then a new Uptrend is starting if it fails to break 72 or drops below 69 that would be a red flag it's signaling that this move on Monday was a head-fake but yeah this is similar the Bulls are heating up it just has to break through resistance okay now let's look at you do Deb you this is the proShares ultra da 30 and so ultra Pro Dow 30 and so this made a very similar move to TNA notice how it closed above the dotted purple line and then it and then it closed right below the green line so it's right there it's either gonna break through resistance or it's gonna drop a little support on Monday and so if it can close above both levels and you see it pushing above 100 that's gonna be very bullish that's gonna single more upside potential you know it was trading in a tight channel here and you could see the way where these five candles were trading the sideways action and then it busted above on Friday that closed above all these levels is similarly more upside potential it just has to break that 9950 level okay let's look at fast fast is the financial bull three times and so it had a you know check out how our size at 54 or 52 it got above that 50 level you know Fastow's back above 80 you know signal the charts heating up you know this had a really strong close on friday it closed above the middle Bollinger Band and above the 50-day simple moving average so this is a signal that the banks are in play you know it needs to turn 70 150 into support basically you know if you see it pushing above 72 that's gonna be you know suddenly wants to higher now it does have to get above these upper wicks which is basically the 73 resistance zone above 73 it would be really really strong that'd be a clear signal that okay fast is finally ready to like get a new Uptrend going it had a very strong uptrend going and that broke you know on the pullback and so now it's trying to break back above resistance which it did it closed above today or on Friday and if it holds that then it should continue higher you know could run back up into the eighties it that is if support holds let's look at Tec out and now if it closes back below that's gonna signal that it was a head-fake on Monday and then that's gonna be a big red flag okay so the technology's been leading the way look at Tec oh this is the tricks on daily technology ball three times and as you can see here it had a big pullback a bounce off of the 200 a simple moving average and then it got back ll these candles here turned that those levels into support and then on Friday there was a big breakout hired close tie of day so this is really pushing yeah you're looking for a possible run back up to the recent high which is up here at above 140 so that that's gonna be the target as long as support holds you know the big move in Tec el is signaling that technology is really strong and wanting to hit higher the last train of day on Friday was high of day the Bulls were strong right into the clothes okay let's look at LA bu this is the biotech Bowl three times and so yeah this is heating up as well you know you have RSI still it at 53 you know fast Oh back up above 80 and then you know you want to see the Ploesti I though this is a red flag having + di below minus or minus di and and a DX the Green Line needs to get back above the red and the black lines so this is a little polish bearish divergence here with the chart heating up and this indicator being bearish and so basically what's going on is it closed above the data purple line for the first time since back here in the first week of February since February 3rd and so you know you can see all these candles here we're trying to close above that data purple line well that finally happened on Friday and so if they can stay above 94 that'll be a signal that wants to head higher if you see a drop below 94 that's gonna be a red flag and then if it can break above the the recent high close which is the top of this candle here you know above 96 that's gonna signal that it's it you know that if you could turn 96 in to support that signal that this move above the middle Bollinger Band wasn't a head-fake and then it wants to head higher okay and then now let's look at xle this is the energy select spider so it's heating up it this is nowhere near as bullish as the previous charts that I just showed you those were all looking much better this has been just totally obliviated it broke below them to Belgium and you know it's been holding the red and the blue lines which is the 200 and 300 days simple moving averages as you could see it was you know how to tight you and I'll go in here for the last couple of weeks so yeah you could see here it's been trading sideways and then the close above this white candle right here on Friday was singling then it wants to head higher that was the top of the sideways channel so it closed above all these key levels above the emaze 4 & 8 about the top of the channel and also above EMA 13 for the first time since way back here when it was you know way up here at 77 so this is a big move and so if it can stay above this 68 80 level you know and push through 69 then the next key levels to break are t basically needs to close above 70 in turn 70 meters support and that's when a new up drinking and going the nice thing about xle is if you look at you know these other ones you know they've already made big moves right so they've already bounced off the bottom and made huge moves and so you know each one of these charts is already ran but xle is lagging so EXO lease at the xle is in comparison would be like down here on the on the fast chart you know down here on the you do W chart you know this if xle gets moving then you're catching it a little bit lower you know cuz it's above the EMA 13 yeah I guess it would be right here on this candle so yeah it's still it's still it's still lagging its lagging behind and they made the big move you know it was really lagging behind last week when it was below you know the 200 and 300 a simple moving averages the 6650 notice how it was a big support zone but yeah if you can get back above that 70 level that's gonna be really bullish take a look at ER X this is the energy Bowl three times and so as you can see it has the same pattern you know I just want to show you this is another ETF that you can play energy you know there's a couple of different ones a couple different ways you can trade it and so notice the green dots here have flipped below the candles on on Friday so that's a signal it's heating up you know you've got a pinch MACD already had a bullish crossover and then the same thing you know you have the tight channel and then you've got a break above the channel and the top above high close horizontal resistance this candle right here on the 14th was a key level to break closed above close to both EMA is 4 8 13 and the 208 simple moving average it has some work to do it needs to get above the EMA 13 and the 300 a simple moving average a lot of moving averages here all lined up but keep an eye on it if it gets above 29 50 that would be bullish okay look at UWT this is velocity shares three times long crude and so this is a way to get some you know this is a taking three the movement of oil times three and so you can get some good upside on here but if you're heading in the right direction and so basically this had the really key closed as well it was above the middle Bollinger Band and so if that dotted purple line turns into support at twenty seven sixty it could get a new Uptrend going notice how it bounced off with a hundred a simple moving average and so this was the best close since since you know it was in the strong uptrend over here notice that when it was below the middle Bollinger Band and then it closed above that symbol the start of an uptrend and so if it can hold this middle Bollinger Band it could get an upturn going and run back up to the recent highs so that that's what bulls are looking for they're looking for that 2760 you know staying above twenty-eight and then making a run back up to thirty-two okay so look at you guys here so you guys has been beaten up it looks like the XLE and XE rx chart you know really got punished it closed back above EMA's for be above EMA for on Friday and it's right at EMA 8e mates at fifty six seventeen and so if you see it close above that level it closed about that level on Tuesday and turn it into support then you're looking at EMA 13 at 58 60 a close above that level should be the clear signal that it's ready to actually push higher finally you know it's heating up it you know it found support down here it forms a double bottom over here and so you've got a double bottom support zone thing going on and then you know double bottom and then it's the the big thing that has to happen is s turn emails four and eight into support and that's your clue okay yeah this is happening and then once it gets above EMA 13 then you're looking for a run up here to finally we look at J nugget nugget this is the tricks on daily junior gold miner Bowl three times so this is the junior gold miners and so it has an ugly chart as well but it's trying to heat up it came down here and it looks like it formed bullish made one white soldier you know this is a it's got the reversal pattern going with the close above EMA for that's the pink line right here you know did have the three consecutive lower closes so that that's also a bolus reversal pattern so it either formed one or confirmed one I have to double check on that but but it has a nice reversal pattern going on here nonetheless and then if it all stays above EMA for at 1357 that's what that that will signal it's really if address back below you may for the risk is it drops down to test the 12 support zone notice once again this had the double bottom bounce and so you've got the double bottom down here and so you got a clear a clear double bottom on the chart came down up double bottom and many times when you get a double bottom it could head higher and so what you're looking for is a break above EMA 8 at 13 82 and then getting back above the middle Bollinger Band at 1450 it did that back here on this candle and it failed to hold once it turns that that middle Bollinger Band is supporting get a new Uptrend going and then if you look at nugget here nugget is the you know this is the gold miners bowl three times and so yeah you know it came down and it dropped below support you know it had the the bottom here and then a bottom here and then yeah as you can see it dropped below it and it's it's it's working on the same level from back here in December and it's still below EMA for at 24 79 if you see a close above EMA for 24 79 that'll signal it's heating up notice it has it looks like a bullish piercing line reversal pattern you know it has the same you know the multiple red candles in a row which forms a bearish reversal pattern as well so it to charts heating up so keep an eye on it above the EMA 4 puts it in play you don't want to be long if it's forming candles below you May 4 so it's better to wait for that break above resistance okay thank you very much for viewing this video if you like to please come check out our chat I'll post the link below the video thank you
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