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Cryptoteacher · 2023-05-23 · 유튜브 시청 2,973 · Board Views 8 · International

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#금리

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저자: Cryptoteacher채널진행자 · 외국인

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결론: 채널은 금리 상승과 시장 폭락을 주장하지만, 근거 자료는 주로 과거 발언 인용과 음모론적 서사이며 구체적 가격 예측은 제한적이다. [주장] Jamie Dimon 발언 인용: 신용 긴축이 진행 중이며 장기금리(10년물)가 4.25~4.5% 이상, 최대 6~7%까지 오를 수 있으니 대비하라는 취지. 연준은 단기금리를 통제하며 시장 유동성은 여전히 많다고 봄. [근거] 채권 스프레드가 아직 경기침체를 반영하지 않았다는 점, 주식이 높은 수준이라는 점을 언급. [정치 이벤트] 옐런 재무장관은 부채한도 디폴트 가능 시점을 6월 1일로 제시. 바이든 대통령과 매카시 하원의장의 협상 진행 중, 양측 입장 차이 존재(세금 공제 vs 지출 삭감). [금·달러] 금 강세 전망, 중앙은행의 금 매입(2022년 최대) 및 달러 신뢰 약화 주장. 달러가 2% 인플레 목표로 돌아가지 못할 것이라는 견해. [비트코인·핀테크] 출연자는 비트코인 결제 확대와 개발도상국(중남미·아프리카) 시장 확장을 강조. 비트코인 가격 목표는 제시되지 않음. [음모론적 주장] 디폴트·은행위기·디지털화가 기획되었다는 주장, 4차 산업혁명과 CBDC 도입 음모 등. 근거 불충분하며 투자 판단 근거로 보기 어려움. [종목] 알파벳·마이크로소프트·메타 52주 신고가 언급, 바이오 주식 언급. 구체적 매수·매도 지시는 없음. [리스크] 금리 상승과 유동성 축소로 인한 시장 조정 가능성 경고.

다듬은 글

※ AI가 다듬은 글(오탈자·군말 정리)

금리 상승과 신용 긴축 경고

01. You're already seeing credit tightening up, because the easiest way for a bank to retain capital is not to make the next loan. So I think you are going to see that, and everyone should be prepared for rates to go higher from here. If 5.5% isn't enough, you should be prepared for 6 or 7%. I've been advising this to clients and banks, and I feel this way on the 10-year bond too. The Fed doesn't control the 5- or 10-year rate; they control the overnight rate. While they've been raising the overnight rate, there's still too much liquidity in the system, which is why stocks are high. Bond spreads are still the ultimate recession indicator, and if we're reflected in bond spreads, there's a chance rates go ticking up, not to 3.78%, I'm talking about 4.25%, 4.5%, maybe even 7%. I would be prepared for higher rates. What happens, we don't know, but you should be prepared for it.

옐런 재무장관의 부채한도 서한

02. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has sent a new letter to congressional leadership, which she had promised to do, updating them as new data became available on the earliest potential date for a debt default in this country. According to Secretary Yellen, that date has not changed; it is still as early as June 1st according to this recent letter. She notes from prior debt ceiling impasses that the longer and more last-minute these negotiations go, the more harm is done to consumers and businesses. This update comes just before President Biden is set to host House Speaker Kevin McCarthy this evening for an update on those talks. After the president returned from the G7 summit in Japan, McCarthy earlier today sounded bullish on a deal. But I spoke to a White House official just a few moments ago who said expectations are low, and the consequence of failing to pass a pair of bills would be that the American people would take a real hit to their economic well-being. As a matter of fact, the rest of the world would too.

적자 감축과 증세 논쟁

03. We also agree we need to reduce the deficit. In my first two years as president, I reduced it by 1.7 trillion dollars. It matters, and I'm all for continuing to reduce the deficit. We both talked about the need for bipartisan agreement. We have to be in a position where you can sell it to our constituencies. We're pretty well divided in the House, almost down the middle, and it's no different in the Senate. So we've got to get something to sell to both sides. We need to cut spending, but here's a disagreement: I think we should be looking at tax loopholes and make sure the wealthy pay their fair share. Revenue matters, as long as you're not taxing anybody under 400,000 bucks. We still have some disagreements, but I think we may be able to get where we have to go. We both know we have a significant responsibility. I'm going to turn it over to Speaker Kevin. This is all yours.

매카시 하원의장의 입장

04. Thank you, Mr. President, for spending time with us. We had a very productive conversation yesterday, even though you were coming back from the G7 meeting. We do have disagreements. I think we have a 50-year average, and we're having more revenue coming in at any time. But I think we both agree that we need to change the direction; our debt is too large. At the end of the day, we could find common ground, make our economy stronger, take care of this debt, and more importantly, get this government moving again. To curb inflation, we need to be less dependent on China, and make our appropriations system work. When we get done, appropriations work.

중앙은행과 달러 신뢰에 대한 우려

05. Sound the weird gold bug. I do think these are unprecedented times at the central bank level. I think the Federal Reserve has never mismanaged as much as it has. I don't think you'll see the US dollar get back to its 2% inflation target. In 2022, central banks made their largest allocation to gold in history. When people say the US dollar is losing its reserve currency status, who's taking it? Is it the yen? Is it the euro? No. If you look at the numbers, everyone's getting out of nation-state currencies because of the level of mismanagement. I just generally hope humanity has a lot of love and kindness toward each other, because what keeps me up at night is how this is going to play out. So I'm putting my working hat on, and I'm going to try to be right in the heart of it and help out. That's what keeps me up at night about central banks and the US dollar.

시청자 유도와 음모론적 주장

06. Welcome to the Crypto Teacher. I come back with this video just to make you think. Don't forget to like and subscribe to the channel. Now, guys, we see the truth coming out. Jamie Dimon says yes, real yield rates are about to rise, and we know the markets are about to get crushed. We had Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta make 52-week highs today while yield rates are smoking, the dollar is getting stronger, and of course the mainstream media says these stocks are at all-time highs because they're riding the AI wave. But guys, we know it's all fake, all manipulation, and all these stocks are being run by algorithms. You have the CEO of JP Morgan, Jamie Dimon, telling you rates are going higher and all the markets should tank. We also had Jamie Dimon talk about his exit plan last week, and Morgan Stanley's CEO talked about his exit plan too. They know what's about to happen. This is the calm before the storm. Don't forget, Jamie Dimon told us a hurricane is right around the corner, and guys, we know this is a tornado. We know the NWO uses distractions to run the money through the back door. They have to keep the sheep asleep, and one of the distractions is a debt sell-off. Don't forget, Janet Yellen said we were broke on January 19th, and she's been tapping government retirement accounts ever since. Now that money has to go back as soon as they sign the debt deal. That's why they planned the movie out: once the debt is resolved, liquidity is going to shrink, and we know the NWO is not going to say we're broke. That's why we keep hearing news about the drums beating, and when the drums are beating, it's all been planned out. This one is being planned for the Fourth Industrial Revolution. So they're going to bring in a digital economy where everything is tokenized and put on blockchain, and you'll have the rise of the machines: robots, algorithms, and drones taking over the economy, paying each other with crypto, and going inside the metaverse. Seventy percent of this economy is going to be run by machines, and no human will ever need to be involved. Remember, the banking crisis was planned out ten years ago because this old banking model doesn't work. Bitcoin, Lightning, XRP, the protocol, XLM, and others make money faster and cheaper. This old banking model is fee-based. No more overdrafts with real-time settlement. And remember, the Crypto Teacher told you this because he knows that when it comes to the new world order, it's ACH and fan-like.

크립토 업계의 목표와 금융 개혁 주장

07. What's the end goal here? Striking, everything goes right? I don't think it has to be so abrasive. I get a lot of flak, and the industry gets a lot of flak, for being here to ruin the party for others. But I think we're here to make money better. I think everyone in the world would say there's a problem with money right now. My groceries are too expensive, my banks are failing. I think everyone on planet Earth is having an issue with money, and we think we can help. We think Bitcoin can help, we think the Lightning Network can help, and that's all we're trying to do. If that ends up manifesting in a way that people use certain technologies instead of Visa, or certain technologies instead of SWIFT, or save in something like Bitcoin instead of real estate, gold, or U.S. Treasuries, then so be it. I'm here to make payments better and money better. I think that's what success looks like: hopefully ten years from now, money is better because of the role we played, on and off rails, between fiat and Bitcoin. I think people are blocking them because these same businesses also serve what are potentially securities and potentially fraudulent activity, so it's all coupled in one. But for my business, we haven't had issues with customers getting us money. Customers want Bitcoin, customers want better payments, and we've had no problems. A lot of the crypto downfall, we've actually seen growth in accruing value. When the Fed raises rates this fast and liquidity dries up in the world, this isn't specific to Bitcoin. Value has to reconcentrate where it's real. You're starting to see where that is: people like Jack Dorsey and Michael Saylor. In my business, we're not having issues. In fact, we're having a really interesting time changing the world. But some folks I won't name directly seem to be parading around DC begging for a particular outcome, and I don't have that problem. I don't think banks are particularly concerned about giving retail investors access to an open public utility like corn, soybeans, or aluminum. Bitcoin is owned by no one and operated by everyone. It's an open public utility. We've never had an issue telling a bank that we give retail customers access to an open public utility. It's when someone sells something run and orchestrated out of a foundation or a private group that they have a lot of questions and concerns about giving you access to their system.

글로벌 확장과 기술 대체에 대한 전망

08. Business changes now that you're launching in 65 different countries. What's possible now? We care a little less about the country-specific and more about my favorite line: we're launching to three billion new people, which is almost half the global population, and that's what excites us the most. The biggest change should be obvious: three billion more people can open an account on our platform and access what we do. We make payments better, we give you access to Bitcoin. Our mission statement as a company is better money, and being able to deliver better money to three billion more people is huge. If you look at the map of our markets, it's predominantly the Global South: effectively all of Central America, Latin America, and throughout Africa. We're pretty excited to take better money to a market that we think needs it. We're pumped about going to a different economy. We're going to be learning more about that as we go. Clearly, we're learning that things can be done from remote locations. We're learning that technology can replace people even more than we thought. We're not going back to the same economy. We're recovering, but to a different economy, one that is more leveraged to technology. I worry that this is going to make it even more difficult for many workers. My friends in Silicon Valley who work in technology know that what we did to manufacturing workers, we are now going to do to retail workers, call center workers, fast food workers, truck drivers, and then bookkeepers, accountants, insurance agents, lawyers, and on through the economy. What happened to manufacturing work is a very clear sign. So we'll import Chinese-based CBDC technology. It's going to be CBDC in a box, provided to you by the People's Bank of China.

마무리 홍보와 재교육 주장

09. Crypto Teacher and the New World Order book, plus the three kids' books: it's time to re-educate. Also, Nano Cryptos, Coinbase, bet you bonus. Don't forget, book links and crypto links are in the description. The stock channel, guys, don't forget to like, subscribe, and spread it everywhere. Have your covers, your chips, your banking, your gaming, while everybody's sitting at home. Get on Socks and see where the biotech stocks are, and why everybody's upset they weren't still getting that free money. What are they doing? Drinking and smoking weed. Don't forget about those stocks, and have a wonderful day. The most powerful person in the world is the Storyteller. The Storyteller says division, values, and the agenda of an entire generation to come. Steve Jobs said it. Guys, I truly believe this. When you look at the new world order, they're the Storyteller, and that's why I wrote my New Road Order book. But guys, now it's time to change the current generation, and I wrote three kids' books. I love the Trinity because I understand the power of that. So I have three books. We have an opportunity to change the generation and educate not just me, but I want to show you that I take action every day, and I want you to take action every day, whether it's your job or your community. We have an opportunity right now to educate the masses. I posted this on my Twitter account, please share it. This is a short clip of the three books. There's going to be a clothing line and action figures. Please get these books for your kids, nephews, cousins, and friends, so we can start the re-education now. As we see, the Fourth Industrial Revolution foundation is definitely here: robots, algorithms, and drones taking humanity out of the picture. We have to re-educate. But let's get into the video. It's mandatory to watch part one, part two, and part three of this series. It's time to re-educate Generation Z.

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