저자: 미상 · 한국인
요약 보기
최근 증시 상승으로 소외감을 느끼는 시청자에게 비교하지 말라고 조언. 샌디스크는 1년여 만에 4,100%(동기간 519%), TQQQ 약 70% 미만, QQQ 32%, S&P500 20% 수익을 언급하며 본인의 분산·분할매수 원칙을 설명. 여유자금 투자, 분산, 분할, 우량주 장기투자, MDD 고려, 레버리지는 여유 범위 내에서 활용 등을 강조. 복권 비유로 장기 S&P500 투자의 확실성을 설명.
다듬은 글
hello. I am a rich older brother. Since the stock market has risen so much lately, it seems there are surprisingly many people feeling alienated or deprived. Uh, I would like to tell you that there is absolutely no need to do that . Uh, comparison is... If you really start doing it, there is no end to it.
You know how scary comparisons are. Even Seoul National University is nothing special compared to Harvard. Even if you win a silver medal at the Olympics, it is nothing special compared to a gold medal . No, I came in second in the world, but compared to first place, uh, it looks shabby . How scary is this?
There are a lot of speeds these days, but compared to SanDisk, that speed is nothing. Now, SanDisk went public around February of last year. So, it's been a little over a year. But the return on investment is over 4,100% . The return during the same period is only 519%. I mean, this speed is nothing compared to SanDisk .
Now, TQ adds more. This is also a NASDAQ 10x leveraged version, but look, the return is less than 70%. Compared to SanDisk, this TQ investor also looks like a fool . What about QQQ? 32%. Hey, I totally messed up the investment, right? What about the part that estimates the SMP 500 index ? I made a mistake investing 20%, right?
That is how it is when compared to SanDisk. Now, however, if we pull ourselves together and look at it calmly, we made a 20% profit in one year. This is truly tremendous. It was a very successful investment. There are plenty of people who lose money investing in stocks, but wow, I made a profit of over 20%.
Objectively speaking, this was a really good investment . But compared to SanDisk, it looks so pathetic. Ah, if I had bought SanDisk with the money I invested in wealth, I would have made over 4,000%. Now, if we take this a step further, it means that instead of using spare cash, if you had sold your car, your underwear, and everything else to go all-in, you would have entered the Han River Apartment by now .
But come to think of it, there is no need to go all the way to SanDisk. Uh, even if you invested in SanDisk, you have to hold onto it for over a year to make a 4,000% return, right? There is an easier way than that. It's just winning the first prize in the lottery. Now, if you had picked these six numbers last week—4, 11, 17, 22, 32, and 41—you could have won the first prize in the lottery .
Uh, I looked up the prize money and it's about 1.2 billion won. Even after taxes, it's still hundreds of millions, so it's a huge success . Seriously, if you won the lottery jackpot every week, you could pocket hundreds of millions of won even after taxes, so why do n't you win the jackpot? Why go through the trouble of investing in stocks?
This is because you cannot know the winning numbers for the first prize in the lottery in advance. What I am saying right now is that I can say this because the results from last week—or rather, at this point—are all out. Whether it is stocks or the lottery, since you cannot know the future, you cannot bet heavily.
Uh, this is only natural . So, don't feel too wronged; just continue to stick to your investment principles . Our investment principles are really simple and clear. Uh, you must invest only with your spare funds . It is because if I invest there and things go wrong, my life will be gone . In other words, the most decisive reason why we should invest our surplus funds is that the future is uncertain.
The point is, we do n't know how it will turn out. We are betting on an unknown future, so why do we feel regret and a sense of injustice now that the results are already in ? That doesn't add up . Next, second, you need to diversify your investment across several stocks. This is also in the same context.
Since it is impossible to know which stock will yield the highest return, I simply invest evenly in stocks that look promising. That way, even if one stock crashes, the other stocks will cover for it, so the probability of me crashing is lowered. The third one is split buying. Now, to give you an example, if you had invested for a year at a really unlucky time, you would have saved 90%.
If I had entered at the right timing, it would have recorded over 1,000% in the same one year. In short, if you're lucky, you hit the jackpot; if you're unlucky, you go bankrupt. However, since it is currently hitting an all-time high, if you had bought it in installments, you would at least not have incurred a loss.
Well, the rate of return probably didn't hit 1,000% or 2,000%, but I mean that it likely reached somewhere between tens of percent and 100% or 200%. Even if you had bought at the worst possible timing, you wouldn't have gone bankrupt . At least we didn't go bankrupt, right? It's a great job just to not fail.
Now, the fourth point is to focus on investing in world-class companies. Ultimately, the companies that are doing well right now. Uh, these are companies that were successful in the past as well. Samsung Electronics and Hynix were originally the number one and number two in our country, were n't they?
Now, Intel was the number one company in CPU market share. Nvidia was originally the number one company in GPU market share. Looking back , the stocks that are hitting the jackpot now are the ones that were significant in the past . These are companies that were almost number one, [clears throat] number two, in their main fields .
Next, the fifth point is to invest for the long term rather than day trading . No matter how good a stock you pick, even in the case of Nvidia, it plummeted 70% just a few years ago. Samsung Electronics has been struggling for several years. Hynix also dropped by more than 70% on several occasions .
But looking back, the companies that survive to the end and eventually succeed are, as expected, world-class companies. Finally, regarding the sixth point, no matter how high the expected rate of return is, if the Maximum Drawdown ( MDD) is high, it is correct to invest at a limited rate. Especially for triple-leveraged stocks like SOC or TQ, if they encounter a proper bear market, they are the kind of stocks that can drop by as much as 70% to 90%.
On the other hand, once it rises, it naturally goes up by more than 1,000% . But honestly, can you really go all-in on a stock with such high volatility and risk ? I think it absolutely won't work . If someone goes all-in on an investment, that isn't stock trading; they are gambling. You can go all-in on the SMP 500 multiplier .
This is because it has low volatility and trends upward very stably . Instead, the expected rate of return is much lower than expected. Still, if I want to invest a large sum of money and sleep soundly, I believe it is right to invest in stable stocks, even if the expected rate of return is low. Let me give you an extreme example.
The probability of winning the first prize in the lottery is 0.00113%. It's 1113%. Can you really throw your entire fortune at such low odds? Can I spend the entire paycheck on lottery tickets every time I get my paycheck? Once I win, I just make hundreds of millions of won for free, so I might as well throw everything away.
I trust that no one thinks like this. Now, what about the S&P 500 ? According to statistics, investing in the S&P 500 for more than 20 years yields a 100% return . In other words, even if you entered at the worst possible timing, if you hold it for more than 20 years, you will recover everything. You just need to invest your time.
Where can you find an investment as certain as this ? Instead, you have to invest a long time, 20 years. Not just anyone can do this. So, in a way, the world is fair. Okay, coloring in six Lotto numbers with a marker does n't even take 30 seconds. If you play it right, you can easily earn hundreds of millions of won even after all the taxes are deducted .
However, the probability is 0.00123%, which is extremely low. Now, on the other hand, if you invest in SP 500 for more than 20 years, you can be guaranteed a return with 100% probability, but you have to pour in that 20 years of time . It’s been 20 years, but how much of a struggle will it actually be?
Uh, we want to get rich quickly, but frankly speaking, what good is it to have 100 million or 1 trillion at the age of 90? It's much better to have, uh, 100 million won in your 20s. The value of money is much higher. The younger you are. So personally, I don't really like investing too stably either.
I think investing in an extreme way, like gambling, is actually more problematic. A somewhat appropriate combination is needed. So, within a range I can handle, I also invest in double and triple leverage. We keep cash on hand just in case, because we never know when or how things might turn out . Once I make a certain amount of profit, I realize it to increase my cash holdings, and that gives me peace of mind.
I believe that staying in the market for a long time while maintaining this kind of balance is the best investment . So please don't feel too wronged, and there is no need to feel deprived. To be honest, mental strength is also a skill. Weak people can't make money in the stock market. I hope you stay strong in any situation . That's all for the video .
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