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이 영상은 전설적 펀드매니저 피터 린치의 투자 원칙을 10개 파트로 나눠 정리한 교육용 콘텐츠다. [1부: 린치 성과와 기관투자의 구조적 한계] 린치가 마젤란 펀드를 1977~1990년 운용하며 자산을 약 1800만 달러에서 140억 달러 이상으로 키웠고, 13년 중 11년간 S&P500을 상회했다고 소개한다(피델리티 자료 인용). 기관은 규모·평가 규정 때문에 소형주 투자가 어렵고, 개인투자자는 이런 제약이 없어 유리하다는 논지다. [2부: 생활 속 정보 우위] 백화점·편의점 대기열, 매장 방문 빈도, 제품 재구매 등 일상 관찰이 애널리스트 보고서보다 6~12개월 빠른 정보가 된다고 주장한다. 헤인즈 스타킹 사례(판매 확대 후 주가 약 6배 상승)와 던킨·페베이 사례를 든다. [3부: 투자 전 자가 점검] 여유자금 여부, 2~5년 장기 보유 가능성, -20~30% 손실을 견딜 수 있는 심리를 확인하라고 강조한다. [4부: 1987년 블랙먼데이와 장기 보유] 다우 하루 22.6% 폭락 이후 S&P500이 2년 안에 회복했음을 제시하며, 시장 타이밍 대신 장기 보유와 DCA(정액분할 매수)를 권한다. [5부: 10루타 개념과 확률] 10종목 중 1종목이 10배가 되면 전체 수익을 상쇄할 수 있다는 수학적 논리를 제시한다. 매출 비중 25% 이상 등 판매비율 규칙을 제시하고, 모회사 매출 1% 제품에 의한 상승 함정을 경고한다. [6부: 실전 절차] 쇼핑몰·업무 환경 관찰 → 장기 대기열·점포 확장 브랜드 탐색 → 재무제표 확인 순서를 제안한다. [7~10부: 심리·가치 평가] 앵커링(매수가 집착), 물타기·떨어지는 칼 잡기 경계, 기업 이익과 현금흐름이 장기 수익의 원천이라는 점, PEG(주가수익비율/이익성장률) 활용과 감정 통제를 강조한다. 영상 말미에는 모든 내용이 교육 목적이며 투자 권유가 아니라는 면책 문구가 반복된다. ※ 자막은 자동인식 텍스트로 일부 오인식이 있을 수 있으며, 특정 종목에 대한 직접적인 가격 방향 예측 발언은 확인되지 않았다.
다듬은 글
29.2% These are figures that have completely shocked the financial world. Okay, let's try to imagine why a former child... A golfer carrying a golf bag managed to beat the organizer. The elite funds of all Street. Everything went smoothly today, and we'll delve deeper into the details... Let's keep this a secret: the numbers 29.2% and the 2% from earlier.
Is this the average annual compounded return? That's called Cagr, which Peter Lich made. I received it continuously for a full 13 years. In reality, in the world of investing, doing so... This level of return must be sustained for 10 years. It's practically impossible now that it's happening. Even more amazing is the Ferility Fund.
Magellan, whom he managed during 1977 - In 1990, the country's wealth grew explosively. It's gone up from just $18 million! It soared to over $14 billion and even took... Outperforming the S&P 500 index in 11 out of 13 years. Data confirmed by Fidelity Investment. Let me tell you, this is definitely not luck.
I forgot to introduce myself! Welcome everyone. Here's a summary of the content from DEXP.me. They are fellow investors to everyone and are by your side. This is expp, our team's mascot. Okay, today we intend to uncover the secrets. Legendary level of why ordinary retail investors like them... That's why we have a huge advantage over the wealthy.
Okay, let's get down to business. (All Street) The first point that needs to be understood is... Why are top fund managers so expensive? They often fall into some kind of trap in the market. Their own systems are definitely different if you compare them to mid-table teams. The picture seems much clearer from the fund manager's perspective.
Their funding is constrained by incredibly strict rules. There are so many small companies out there, I'm going to buy shares in some of them. Even if it's growing, it can't because of regulations regarding value. The market also has to stress about the valuation results. Every quarter, but then we look at our side...
Become a retail investor; that gives us freedom. 100% You can buy any amount of small-cap stocks, and you also have... For long-term holding, let the compound interest do the work. Without fear of being fired or facing big problems. The ultimate of the institution is what's called "The Size." It's a penalty, think about it, the time it takes for the army...
Big investors will buy shares in a company. It requires throwing millions of dollars at a time, which is a common practice. Ordering a huge quantity like that will drive up the price. The stock price on the exchange immediately surged upwards. 15-25% These are the hidden costs that are broken down as follows: We don't need to meet in person; we can simply make a purchase.
You can easily get tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands of baht, with the market price barely matching. Now, let's address the sluggishness of those institutions. All of this became the trump card. And that is the biggest advantage of We call that information. arbitrage, or gaining an advantage from That's exactly what Mr.
Lynch said—observing the data. We can discover promising stocks in advance. 6-12 months before analysts in the country... Have you even started moving around and writing a report yet? What do you mean? Well, it's just everyday life. While walking around the mall, observe the items around you or check the queues.
We already have the information from people who are waiting to pay. The primary data is faster than the numbers on the financial statement. What about the money? And if we look at the current situation... Our immediate surroundings, right here in our homes, present golden opportunities. There are so many of these hiding places!
Yes, I've noticed it when I go to Central shopping mall. What is the number of people walking around or the number of shops that are open and closed? Or when I was queuing to pay at 7-Eleven - I saw it. Customer behavior involving repeated purchases of the same items. No, when you go to HomePro, check if they have the basket.
Are most people's product prices going up? That's the question. That's real, real-time data, and that's awesome! Nowadays, we're using these ideas as investments. Global reach is easily accessible through apps like [app name]. Innovest X, starting with very little initial investment. That's all, but wait a minute.
Before making a final buy order based on these observations. It seems we have to pass an important test that you... Lynch emphasized repeatedly beforehand that it was a test. The Mirror Test, which involves taking the test in front of a mirror... There are only 3 points. The first point is that we have a house and money.
Have you learned it yourself yet? Because real estate can teach us. Understand the meaning of asset ownership. In the long term, point number 2, this sum of money is absolutely necessary. Use silk because the investment money should be "cold money" (money you can afford to lose). That can be left for a long time, at least 2-5 years, and the following conditions apply: These three are the most challenging; they require a certain level of mental fortitude.
Is it stable enough if there are losses of -20-30% along the way? Are we going to accept this, or do you know the statistics? Over 70% of cases suffer irreversible damage. The drop occurred because they were forced to sell their shares. This is when you're short on cash, which is when I'd recommend trying it.
Compare this image to a panic attack. A panic sell-off fueled by emotional resilience. When a stock falls by 20% due to market conditions, if... We were shocked, and as soon as we pressed sell, it changed. The status changed from just a temporary accounting loss. This results in an immediate and permanent loss of the principal amount.
So, while people with strong minds... He will dare to hold onto his assets through the crisis, in conclusion. Well, there are many people with high IQs, but the... Maintain emotional composure to persevere through market downturns. It's the heavy fall that truly determines who wins. This will truly create wealth in the long term.
I'd like to leave you with a thought-provoking question to conclude. So, before everyone makes a decision... Everyone who bought the next stock passed the test. We have now fully understood all three points in this mirror. Have you considered it yet? Feel free to share your perspective in the comments.
It's right below, for clarity. This is Jane, and I want to emphasize this clearly: the content... Everything we've summarized for you today is... This is created for educational purposes only. That's to give everyone a clear picture and framework. Thinking about investing isn't about making definitive statements or soliciting investment advice.
No buying or selling of any assets is allowed. I hope everyone enjoys and benefits from it. That's all for now. See you next time. Goodbye. yes Do you know what it would be like if we spent a year...? Let's analyze about 13 overall economic figures. To be honest, that means taking 10 minutes. We're letting you throw things away for free today!
DXP.me will take you... Let's trace the reasons behind the obsession with stargazing. The market is a waste of time. How will we survive the volatile market? How did that happen? - 22.61% 61% (These are the numbers) This is shocking, and these are real facts. The Federal Reserve, or Fed, is an index number.
The Dow Jones plummeted into the abyss within a single day, I repeat. Yes, that event happened on the same day; it was Black. Monday, 1987, which is considered a collapse. The most volatile stock market in... History... just imagine the wealth. Everyone's congestion vanished by almost a quarter in a matter of minutes.
It only took a few hours, if you look at it point by point. On that single day, the evaporation index dropped by 508. 8.38 points. That's enormous, but believe it or not... Yes, this disaster has nothing to do with... It has absolutely nothing to do with the company's fundamentals. But it is a liquidity crisis caused by the system.
Computers or algorithms that guarantee port access. In the early days, as soon as the stock started to fall, the system would order a sell-off. The rapid-fire automatic attacks became a Mino-dominated phenomenon that affected people. The whole market panicked amidst the chaos. The whole world was panicking.
Can you guess what the student was? Legendary investor Peter Litch is doing it. What was on Black Monday? I'm chilling out playing golf in Ireland, guys. His global investment portfolio suffered huge losses. Hundreds of millions of dollars, but instead of having a breakdown... When I sold it to someone else, they saw right through it and thought, "Wow, that's potential!" Production versus customer demand in business.
Cool, it didn't drop by 22% overnight. Let's move on to point number 5, the first iron rule. The point is, stop speculating on macroeconomic trends. Let's compare their behavior during a crisis. What will those who like to guess the overall economic picture do? (Hug/Embrace/Grab/Hang in). Cash is tight, they panicked and sold you off.
Right? But my investment style focuses on fundamentals. Peter Li's approach is to go and see the real thing. Okay, let's go see if the customers are still buying things. Is the cash register in the store still making noise? Then, they took advantage of the moment when others were at their most terrified.
This is where you go in and buy shares of top-tier companies. We're currently having a huge discount promotion on part 7. The owner and the dog are a metaphor that connects us. The picture makes this super easy to understand. This is how it is: in the short term, the stock price... Just like the dog we take for a walk.
Running frantically back and forth, left and right, running ahead. Some are behind, others are unpredictable because... The short-term market behaves like a voting machine. It's based purely on emotions, but in the long run... Suddenly, the company's profits will be like those of a big shot. It's the dog that's taking a step forward.
Stay firm and have a clear goal because ultimately... The market, in the long run, is a weighing scale. It always reflects the true value of the business. Let's confirm with the numbers: 0.85 85 Yes, this number is very important. Statistics tell us that... If we look at the relationship over a 5-10 year timeframe...
Or the adjustment between profit growth. The company and its soaring share price are too high. 0.85, 85 is always the same, while those predictions... Guessing interest rates will have almost no effect on your price. In the long run, this is the clearest proof. It's clear that in the end, profit is the hero.
These are the real factors driving property prices. This information is from JP Morgan Asset. Management style that might surprise many people. The S&P 500 index took time to recover from the event. The total number of Black Monday incidents was less than 2. Within a year, less than two years, the market recovered and turned back from its losses.
They abandoned everything and even ran straight through to do something in Time. The new high was acquired with a nonchalant expression. What does that mean? It means someone who couldn't take it anymore and ran away. They left the market because they believed those world fortune tellers. A failure is someone who throws away the opportunity to receive a huge return.
Unfortunately, part 11 of the lessons is missing. For Thai investors, try bringing the image back home. Let's take a look at some leading businesses in... Thai stock markets such as CPDMS. Or PTT, during the Tom Yum Kung crisis? During COVID-19, these stocks were heavily sold off. The price dropped by as much as 40-60%, but that's the point.
It's not that his business collapsed, it's just that his businesses didn't. This remains strong and generates compound annual revenue. New records continued to be set thereafter. Do you see how the stock price has temporarily dropped? This time, it doesn't mean that it's fundamental. That business is permanently destroyed, some people might say.
I would think that it's safer to just run away and hold onto cash. Be very careful not to fall into this trap: hoarding money. Live while waiting for political clarity or waiting for... An economy that is definitely doing well often yields low returns. It's less than 2% of the total, which, when deducted, It really bites at the edge of inflation in our daily lives.
And that's about empowering our purchasing power. You're being eaten away little by little as you try to avoid it. The reality of no-investment risk. It guarantees that we'll lose money slowly. Absolutely. Point number 14 is about how to cope. With market volatility reaching this point, everyone... Well, it's actually usable now, you know?
What destroys our returns the most is not... Yes, that was during a major stock market crash, but the data... According to Bank of America, during this period... If we happen to miss the market day in 20 years... Stocks surged most strongly in just 10 days, and the results are genuine. More than half of our savings would disappear in an instant.
Yes, and the ironic thing is that the day... Strong upward movement in the market often occurs nearby. Around the same time as the market crashed the most. If we choose to sell when we are at our most fearful, then... Prepare to miss the fastest train of the day. The market can recover now, so let's look at how to fix the situation.
Let's use our emotions; follow these three steps. So, stop trying to time your entry and exit points. Daily Market 2 sets up an average investment system. Or you could try DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging), through a Thai broker. Some applications allow the system to manage it. Turn the heated market downturn into an opportunity to accumulate assets.
Good, cheap, automatic, and point 3 is the most important. Yes, when the market drops sharply, I delete the app that shows my portfolio. Sell the stocks temporarily so your hands won't get tired. I accidentally pressed the sell button because I panicked. Let's end with this question during this time...
When the stock market plummets sharply and unexpectedly, what will we do? Choose to panic and sell along with others, or view this as... This is a golden opportunity to go shopping for stocks. Great place with a sale sign, I might grab something. Please think about it, and let me emphasize again that...
All information used in this explanation is from dxp.me. This will be done for educational purposes and to... This is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Everyone needs to study and assess the risks. Always thank you for following.
I hope... Everyone benefited greatly from this. Hello! Hello everyone, fellow investors from dxp.me. It's here already. I'll skip the long introduction today. Go ahead and extend it, because we have a certain number that... It changed everyone's perspective on investment forever. 10 times or +900%. Just imagine that.
If our portfolio is in the red, having a return... 900% level, just once, just one time. That's right, it has immense power, enough to fill a recovery frame. How to turn a crashed portfolio into a profit in the blink of an eye. In the investment world, we call this... That's Nek, or as we commonly call him in our area.
That's exactly what they mean by "the stock will go up 10 times." Legendary investor Peter Lynch made it. It's super popular, he said, all you need is to have shareholders. Winning against just one big boss can cover up all the mistakes. We missed out because we could have chosen other stocks. Completely submerged.
And before we delve deeper... The mathematics behind this is introduced. ESP, the channel's resident analysis assistant mascot. We'll go first today, my younger sibling will help us gather everything. Okay, let's gather the information and go for it! Let's move on to part 1: the advantage... Math or the 1 in 10 rule?
Let's look at the 1 in 10 rule. Okay, let's say we divide the money equally to buy it. 10 extremely unlucky stocks: choosing the wrong one can lead to losses. It's a complete disaster, 100% lost. All five numbers are gone. The other three stocks in the portfolio are completely still and haven't moved.
Wherever you go, you double your profit, but only one item appears. But wait, what if one of those stocks has a 10x return? Just one hidden element, focusing on the overall result, is enough. We can still hit up to 50% of the time, that's right. The magic of mathematics is simply finding a winner. One single character can change the game instantly.
Let's continue with... Part 2: Changing Perspectives Supermarkets beat Excel screens, did you know? Yes, that doesn't mean the best growth signs are there. It originated from a complex Excel model on Wall Street. But it comes from our daily lives. Okay, let's imagine this simple scenario: if there was a restaurant...
A new shop opened near my house, and the queue is incredibly long. We, as customers, already know that every day. "Are you sure this shop will sell well, so we don't have to wait?" This restaurant deserves a Michelin star in the coming years. Even though you know it's cool, it has a Michelin star. This is similar to a formal analysis.
Money is what often lags behind reality. It's always true, therefore, small investors like us have a chance. You'll definitely see the good stuff before the analysts put their formulas into it. Okay, part 3 is about life-changing case studies. From Hen to Dang. Going back to the old days, when women would...
To buy stockings, you have to go to a department store. At most, the trip will last about a month and a half. Was it once, right? But Carolyn, his wife... Peter Lynch has a keen eye; he noticed that... The Hens brand included a version of their leggy stockings in the packaging. Cute egg-shaped items are being sold at the cashier.
What are the results at the supermarket for people who come to buy? I grab some food to take home with me twice a week. Buying from home has caused the frequency of purchases to skyrocket. It's as simple as that observation, and based on the testimony... I noticed you when you went grocery shopping that day.
Peter Lynch then analyzed it and made recommendations. This stock is provided to the fund he manages. The result? This stock made a profit of 6%. That's a 6x or even more increase before the company... It got taken over! See? That's the power of... Being observant isn't enough to just make money; it's actually profitable.
Well, there are many more, like the donuts, did you see them, Lynn? The queue of people waiting to buy coffee is long every morning. It's a highly profitable item that drives up the stock price. Up to 25 times, or the Pebboy auto parts store. He noticed that people were starting to repair their own cars.
If there's more, the stock price could quietly surge to 10 first. That the analysts wouldn't even realize it yet. Okay, let's move on to Part 4: The Iron Rules for Preventing Crime. Taking a risk with this sales ratio test, uh, here we go. Don't rush into buying something that's already popular. This figure needs to be at least 25% first.
This is a small rule. We call this the sales ratio rule; for products that... No matter how popular something becomes, it has to generate revenue. Give the company at least 25% of its total revenue. Only when it's all gone will it have enough momentum to drive the stock price up. You can go after it, but think carefully; it's a trap.
A classic mistake that we often miss is going chasing. Buy shares in large companies that have subsidiaries. The viral product sold incredibly well, but then you looked inside... In reality, that product only generates 1% of the revenue for the parent company. At this rate, even if production can't keep up with demand, the share price will rise.
The parent company was practically unaffected while... The real winner in the stock market is when the product itself... The star performer of the company must be the source of revenue. That's the kind of push we need, over 25%. The budget needs to grow exponentially; Part 5: Take action. If we actually scan for growth stocks in Thailand, we will...
How should I start? You can start today, let's try. Go for a walk in a shopping mall like Siam Paragon or Central. World, take note of which shops have long queues. Which brands are rapidly renting more space? Or, while you're working, try peeking to the side to see what's there. What apps or software are your colleagues addicted to?
What's going on these days? We're not getting treated like this anymore. Limited to Thai stocks, we see top-tier brands. In a world where everyone should be investing, we can simply click to invest through the app. For example, you can just use an X, it's simple, but underline the letter. Make sure to double-check and press the 25% button.
Always check the financial statements before making any decision. The final part, Part 6: Concluding Thoughts. To spark an idea, in short, it's us. Everyone has a huge advantage in their hands. I'd like to end with this question: take a look around. What products or services does the viewer have now?
We use it repeatedly, regularly, it's indispensable. I think it has the potential to become a 10x return stock. Some people might try thinking about this question further. I can assure you that going to the supermarket... Next time, everything will be different. Next up, of course, but before we say goodbye for today...
I must strongly remind you of this point: All the information we've shared is plausible. For educational and data analysis purposes only. This is not advice to buy or sell stocks. However, investing carries risks, and all investments are subject to change. People do their homework and review financial statements themselves.
Always think for yourself before making any investment decisions, for today. This is a thank you to everyone who went into detail. We hope to have fun and get some ideas together. Okay, see you again next time. Goodbye. Do you believe that the 2-4% figure is just a small number? That's why many investors end up losing everything.
And they missed a huge profit opportunity today. We will delve deeper into the content from the topic "The Six". Categories: Slow Glowers vs. Starward Let's agree, because honestly, hoping to get rich like that... Taking a leap from the wrong type of stock is... A classic mistake that many people make.
We're going to have a headache over this. Let's take a look at... Let's be clear about these 2-4% figures in terms of... Mathematically, this is the high ceiling for growth. It's the best stock in the utilities sector because it... It is limited by the country's GDP growth. Naturally, but do you know what the problem is?
There is. Many people rushed to buy shares in this group and then it went up. I have a feeling it will skyrocket and become a multi-bagger stock. Which goes against the natural flow of this business sector. In the end, everyone was disappointed, as expected. To prevent us from falling into the same trap again.
This is DXP.me, featuring our mascot, EXP. This channel is helping to decipher legendary mindsets. From Pet Lynch's book, One Up on... Let's talk about Wall Street. We're going to understand it better. To make the stock classification more precise, avoid mistakes. Another planning mishap, moving on to Part 1.
The problem of miscategorizing a portfolio. Let's look at Wrong Portfolio Allocation. They wonder why it's possible to expect an elephant to run with a deceptive feint. Like cheetahs, things don't always end well for athletes. As for investing like this, Peterlich explained. That really gives you a great picture.
They said that each stock... This type behaves like an animal. The type of expectation for utility stocks. The giant grew to twice its size inside. Two years seems ridiculous and unbelievable. It's about the same as expecting a startup to produce good quality products. High-risk companies are turning to dividend payments.
It's consistently at 6%, that's if we catch it. When these categories get mixed up, the expectation is... It's definitely going to fail, let's move on to Part 2: Data. Flipping Investment Perspective This data set will help change our perspective. Let's value our company outright. This is a complete reversal of information.
The key is what we call the "heart number 3." The set is like an ironclad mathematical rule of results. The return starts from 2-4%, this is the average. Earnings growth in slow-growth stocks or... Slow grower growth has increased to 10-12%. This is a stable compound annual growth rate. High-performing stocks, or Starwards, and the best.
The target for spread is 30-50%. The price we should expect from the Star Wars series. Within a period of 2-3 years, perhaps less than that. You'll be wasting your effort, but if you expect more, just say so. I have to say, I was secretly anxiously waiting to see the full picture. To make it even clearer, let's compare it like this: Slow-growing stocks are like cars.
A slow but reliable 10-wheel truck. Designed to bear the burden of substantial dividend income. Give us consistent support while Star shares are active. Wars will feel like a luxury sedan that takes us... Sit back and relax while driving through the economic crisis and potholes. It can handle many ponds gently, safely, and also...
The speed is good and satisfactory. Okay, let's move on to Part 3: Slow Glower. Divid Stocks, let's take a look at the engine. Let's take a look at this 10-wheel truck. When we compare the indicators, The money is clearly visible, and you can see that it's a slow stock. Growers' revenue is growing slowly, in line with GDP.
Approximately 2-4%, but don't overlook it just yet. Because it compensates for slow growth by paying out. It returns to us in the form of high dividends. The percentage is 5-7.5%, so let's cut to the group at 5%. Although Starwards produces smaller, more miniature results. It's at 2.5-4%, 5-4%, but it has hidden potential.
Profiting from price differences or target gains. It can be as much as 30-50% if you try turning around. Let's look at our domestic market, specifically utility stocks or factories. Large power companies like EGCO or RATCH are examples. Exactly as the textbook says, it means we should buy it. They came to collect dividends of 5-7%, to be like...
The port protection isn't meant to be held for it to do that. Prices surged tenfold, and precautions should be taken. When evaluating stocks in this sector, you need to look at the growth rate. Please include the dividend payment amount or payout ratio. At least 70% of net profit should not exceed this amount.
Now we can easily keep the fresh produce for future use. Let's look at part 4: Star Wars Stocks. Protect Portfolio - Change from driving to driving. Let's look at luxury sedans; their statistics are amazing. Very much so during times of economic crisis. The global stock market in 1981-1982 and the 1990s.
Stor is in the consumer goods category. It is necessary for the price to fall less than the overall market, such as the S&P. It's 500 to more than half, try it. Just imagine what the market is like outside. There's a massive sell-off, but we're still sleeping. Sleeping soundly without being startled—that's the power of...
Giant businesses with predictable revenue. It helps protect our precious principal investment. What does Store stock actually look like? If we look at it on a global level, it's the popular brands that we're familiar with. They used to be good, like Coca PNG or Her Cheese. In Thailand, these would be companies with potential gains.
Comparing it to CPDMS, which is a market leader with soaring levels of popularity. Or is it Advance? That's the compensation structure. These stocks are often derived from the valuation of the business. Growth of approximately 65% and another 35% from dividends. Allocating money to this group will help.
It's made our cash flow much more stable. No matter how much the domestic economy falters... Next, we come to Part 5: Actionable Steps. For investors: A practical plan for investors. Invest when we have a clear, insightful understanding of the data. Now that things are transparent, we can use these comparisons to our advantage.
How to really make a profit? Clever tricks for maximizing profits. From Star Wars stocks, without having to constantly monitor the screen. Stressful situations are governed by the 30-50% money circulation rule. This is Peter Linch's approach. Let's start simply like this. The first step is to buy stocks when the PE ratio is still reasonable.
It's reasonable and not excessively expensive, around 14-16 times the price. Step 2: While holding the stock, simply collect dividends in a relaxed manner. It's a shock-absorbing cushion, just in time for the third stage. The market went crazy, driving stock prices up sharply. We'll take 30-50% within 2-3 years.
Lock in your profits, and finally, step 4. Use this money to buy more [into the market]. Growth stocks or promising opportunities currently being offered by the market. That's the art of heavy selling instead. Let's subtly grow your portfolio before we say goodbye. In summarizing today's information, there's one question I'd like to ask you.
Let's all check our portfolios! Right now, our portfolio includes large-cap stocks. The Stor style absorbs the shock when the market falls. Approximately what percentage of cases are severely affected? Okay, type in a comment, share your measurements, and let's exchange. Feel free to change your ideas in the comments below!
And don't forget about data and analysis. Everything from the expp.me is what we've taken. What I'm going to tell you today is an in-depth look at the topic. For educational purposes only, not professional advice. Financial guidance or recommendations for buying and selling as needed. Hopefully, everyone will get some good ideas to put into practice.
Strengthen your own portfolio. See you again in the next in-depth analysis. My face, sir. - 70% This is the potential damage figure. It can happen if we inadvertently grab a stock that looks... It seems like an incredibly cheap deal. Everyone is welcome. A deep dive into Peter Lynch's stock market philosophy.
This is part 2. Today we'll be discussing the impact on... The remaining four types of stock shells are connected. That the most dangerous trap in the stock market is not... Yes, stocks that are extremely expensive or have a high P/E ratio. It's a bit of a shock, but it's a stock that everyone says is undervalued.
Many people see the low PE ratio of only 4 times. They jumped at the chance, thinking they were getting a great deal at the lowest price. When I woke up again, more than 70% of my principal was gone. How could such an optical illusion possibly happen? To solve this mystery, today we're bringing... My dear expp, your super financial analysis assistant.
Our smart device is helping to decode what the student is doing. What tricks can retail investors like us use? Fight against Wall Street and survive. These guys have got some strength, let's go for it! Let's start with the first type: low PE traps. Cyclical stocks are considered to be... This is a classic trap for these businesses: revenue.
Profits will fluctuate up and down in cycles. For a very precise macroeconomic analysis, think of those major corporations. Automobiles, airlines, steel, or chemical products. These businesses' fortunes are tied to the overall picture. The economy and commodity prices are almost 100% affected. Okay, so the highlight is right here: We call it the Peter Link profit illusion.
It's been very clear that cyclical stocks look promising. The best buy is when the PE ratio drops to just 3-5. Just like when it's at the peak of its cycle. This was a period when profits skyrocketed unusually. Going in to buy at that time was like going up there. I sat on the Ferris wheel at the very top.
And then a big storm was about to hit as we approached... Real comments at the lowest point, twice already, will result in profit. It vanished in a flash! The PE ratio will skyrocket to 50 times! Or perhaps, the value of humor is even irrelevant. The bad part is that the PE ratio often looks ridiculously expensive.
This is the most attractive investment point for this sector of stocks. Here, to give you a clearer, more relatable example, try... Let's think back to the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Many investors then open trading apps. Innovest X, or Dime, acquired shares. Thai shipping or petrochemical groups, for example...
IVL or RCL? The reason is because I saw that the PE ratio... Looking back, it was as low as 3-4, which is actually true. It was the time when the company's profits peaked, and then it finally stopped. The global situation has returned to normal, leading to a stock market reversal cycle. The prices of these have plummeted by 60-70%.
It turned out to be a very expensive lesson in usage. Using the PE ratio to time cyclical stocks is often done at the wrong time. Next, the second group consists of fast-growing stocks with a 20% growth rate. Change the gear on the trap and let's look at the engine. Some people are making money from this; it's a hunting area.
Peter Lynch's top 10 favorite stocks. Here's a key number you need to remember. So it's 20-25%. This is the minimum annual profit growth rate. The ultimate indicator of a company's aggressiveness. These high-end assets are the money-making machines. It's a real disaster, but wait, fast-growing stocks aren't!
It doesn't always have to be a cutting-edge, high-tech company. I can tell you that the expansion in the industry is incredibly aggressive. Things that seem incredibly boring or grow slowly often... It's a safer option and also generates returns. Compound compounding can be incredibly effective with these examples.
The classic style is from the 70s and 80s, which focused on expansion. They have branches in smaller towns, or if we look at it in Thailand... Retail chains or hospitals that... Expanding branches from Bangkok to other provinces. They could easily get rich by seizing a share of the market. A market in an industry that isn't particularly flashy.
Okay, now the important point we need to consider. So, what's the biggest risk? The ultimate thing that can halt a company's rapid profit growth. Anyone can guess who could make it surpass 20%? What is it? The answer is hitting a growth ceiling. Growth stocks, especially fast-growing ones, often stumble and collapse at a certain point.
They expanded to the point where there was no more space left. Let's move on. The statistics clearly show that there are companies that don't... Only 8% maintained profit growth at 20%. The positive results can last for over 10 years straight, until the expanded area is fully utilized. As soon as that happens, the profit margin will start to plateau, and that's terrifying.
It means the multiple that people assign to the stock will shrink. The sharp decline was further exacerbated by borrowing money. Is it because Sin has expanded his business too much, or because the sales... Sales are growing, but profits aren't growing as fast—that's a weakness. Here's the key reason why this sector's stocks ended badly.
Type 3: Stocks recovering from the dead. Or is this a turnaround for these stocks? It feels like a phoenix rising from the ashes. It's a company that's been pushed to the very edge. Regarding the bankruptcy and the figures from 1982... What you see here is a significant milestone in the return. One of the greatest lives ever.
It's a part of world business history; it is... This is an epic saga for the Chrzler automotive company from the years... From 1979 to 1980, the company was on the verge of bankruptcy. They are hesitant to buy because of the declining quality of their vehicles. But then a skilled player like Leayako stepped in to rescue the situation.
His life is at stake, and he is willing to negotiate with the government for a guarantee. The loan amount can reach 1.5 billion to 5 billion. The dollar is cutting costs ruthlessly and... Introducing new car models like the K series and Mini. The result is that the stock price surged from less than 3.
The dollar surpassed $30, turning the stock into a 10-dollar sensation. That's a classic bounce, and the profit level is this high. It wasn't fresh to know the direction of the stock market at that time. Overall, the question is how to scan for turnaround stocks. Around the roundabout, true survival isn't about closing your eyes.
It's a matter of luck; the golden rule in the evaluation is... We need to perform the extreme stress test on the budget. To balance a company, the key question is: does the company have...? I have enough cash on hand to survive. This can continue for a full 24 months without any Profits came in, and there were no defaults on debt payments.
Or not? If the answer is yes, then that's it. It's true that there's a possibility of them going against the norm and being the last group. Group 4: Stocks with hidden assets. This feels like we're on a shark hunting cruise. It's an asset; it's a business that owns assets. There was some hidden value, but Vosdan couldn't see it.
Skip that and don't include that value. The share price might be the land that was recorded at its original price. The funds were established decades ago in a forested area. A mine for patents on cool technologies, or even... But the company had so much net cash that... It has already surpassed the intrinsic value of the business.
Whether it's a global market or our domestic market. This concept actually exists and it works really well. Peter Litch once made enormous profits from the company. The golf course is located on Dimchai Road. California recorded 2,200, but... The book value is so low it's practically free. If we switch to Thailand, we also have companies...
Real estate or a long-established hotel chain. Owning prime land in the Sukhumvit or Silom area. It's been kept with cost records dating back to the 1980s. If we were to re-evaluate their market price... Today, its true value is higher than its current price. The stock price on the exchange has increased many times over now.
A summary of real lessons for investors. Here's something practical; let's break it down. Let's use a simple valuation checklist. More importantly, before buying any shares... The capacity utilization check cycle. The industry always makes sure that... We're not at the peak where profits are about to fall.
Point 2: For fast-growing stocks, you need to calculate the... The density of branch expansion makes it seem like it's about to overflow. Is the market ready yet? (Step 3: Assess the asset's value.) Net Asset Value (NAV) at the current market price. When looking for stocks with hidden assets, check point 4.
Review the debt structure and cash flow to see... How long can the company keep breathing? For turnaround stocks, the classification... Using this kind of logic is what will help us read stocks. The balance sheet is showing a deficit, but don't panic and sell off shares. It depends on how I feel when I hear bad news.
(I heard up to this point.) I'd like to invite everyone to take a moment to reflect on themselves. Has anyone ever fallen into the stock buying trap? The cycle occurs simply because of the illusion of adequacy. It's a low-level trick, trying to use the framework of thinking we discussed. Let's review our portfolios today.
Okay, so what type of shares do we currently hold? Let's make sure we stay together before we part ways; I want to emphasize that in big letters! This refers to information and in-depth content. This was created for educational and sharing purposes. Knowledge alone is not a definitive recommendation.
Or to suggest or recommend the purchase or sale of any assets whatsoever. Hope everyone enjoyed it and got to see the behind-the-scenes footage. Expert stock valuation techniques can be applied in practice. See you again soon. Have a happy time! It's an investment. 100 times the initial investment? Yes, you heard right, a 100x profit.
A full analysis of stocks in a seemingly extremely profitable garbage collection company. It's normal for cutting-edge tech stocks to be in their own era. The business plummeted and went bankrupt, that's for sure. Today, dxp.me will take you on an in-depth look at the ultimate... The stock filtering manual, or Linch Filter, is...
It would completely change our investment perspective. Let's track down the hidden money-making stocks. What does "quiet" look like, and what is the ultimate trap? A danger that could devastate our portfolio. What exactly does that number/mark look like? This "bouncing" isn't a made-up story, but...
These are actual statistics that occurred with the company. Waste Management, as documented by... Legendary investor Peter Lynch. In the book One Up on Wall Street, try... Just think, stocks of smelly garbage trucks are creating... A level of wealth that can change the lives of those who hold it. Such a massive amount, while the technology stocks are...
Cool, edgy stories end up stranding people on a mountaintop (a Thai idiom meaning getting stuck in a difficult situation in the It's disappeared from the market. What exactly happened? As a fellow investor from dexp.me, I have something to say. This is how it happens often when running... Chasing after stocks with flashy, glamorous stories.
It actually makes it easier for us to incur losses. That's amazing! Even our little EXP member saw it. The profit figures for garbage collection stocks are so impressive they'll make you gasp. I was stunned because the ironic truth was... These are the businesses that seem incredibly bland and boring.
It will be a single money-making machine that's running. Quiet but incredibly powerful. Now, let's... Let's refresh our old way of thinking. Who ever believed that investing in giant corporations was necessary? A tech giant with fancy, cutting-edge jargon. That's the only way to get rich. Today, we might have to come here.
Let's readjust the focus completely. Look at this information; it contradicts something. Wall Street has been telling us this all along. Large institutions are often busy searching for stocks. What will become the next big thing? A company that will change the world, but you, Peter. Lynch went back to searching for diamonds in the rough from his business.
To be honest, it sounds really depressing, like being hired for a living. Collect recyclable waste and water stains. Or even a funeral service business, which doesn't sound very impressive. Right? But believe me, these businesses... This is what they call "printing money into their pockets." The stock market is booming without anyone stealing the spotlight, so why?
How can such boring stocks yield such good returns? We need to unravel its secrets. Behind all this blandness lies a hidden fortress. A formidable business fortress of global scale. What are the characteristics of these "dream stocks"? It's often about doing business in a way that sounds funny or...
Dirty jobs that nobody wants to do, like... Crown C and Seal only makes bottle crown caps. Water or Safety Clean provided for contracted rail components. The engine was covered in black oil. These businesses are growing day by day because that's the thing. What is needed is to bring retail customers back.
The service has been used repeatedly millions of times. Even the big funds are turning their backs because of the story. It's not cool enough to present to clients. Let's look at it from the perspective of spatial advantage. Look, that's the ultimate monopoly! A competitor will come and ask to open a new landfill next door.
Is it the same forum or are they going to build a competing cemetery on the opposite side? Crossing the street is practically impossible. These limitations are what grant pricing power. A complete solution for the company, eliminating the need for them to be present. I'm sitting here anxiously wondering if there will be AI or other technology tomorrow.
New innovations from abroad are disrupting our own businesses. Or not? And it's not just a personal opinion. Yes, the statistics clearly confirm this. Research by Farma and French indicates heart rate figures. The key factor is 7.68%, which is the percentage... The data shows a significant difference in average annual returns.
It's clear that in the long term, value stocks or sectors... Boring companies around the world can still generate returns. Outperformed tech growth stocks by 7.68%. Try compounding the interest over 10-20 years, and see what the figure is. This is enormous! Okay, let's get to know the dream stock. Now that we've covered the attacking side, let's flip the board and switch to a defensive approach.
For some, knowing what to buy is important. Knowing what to stay away from is key. Let's take a look. Filtering out bad stocks or a portfolio-destroying trap? As Pet Linch has warned you repeatedly. There's one thing you've used that really stung. The word is Diversification, or simply put... It's a form of diversification that leads to a complete downfall.
It's a behavior where companies hoard cash. Buying a business you're not familiar with at a high price. We see this picture of ears peeing very often, especially in groups. Real estate investors who suddenly jumped into cryptocurrency mining. Cryptocurrency companies, or rather, companies that have switched to making electric vehicles (EVs).
Even though they have absolutely no expertise whatsoever. That's another example of truly burning money. The crucial point to watch out for is the 25-50% percentage. Yes, if we come across a former rising star stock or even... But there are OE EM contract manufacturers in Thailand that... Reliant on sales from a single, giant client.
As much as 25-50% Based on the total revenue, I can tell you to prepare for a cold day. Okay, because the bargaining power will then fall to... Customers immediately become customers just because he threatens to change owners or asks for something. The moment you push the price down, the once-great profits are ready to collapse.
It collapsed in the blink of an eye. Sounds dangerous, right? Yes, but crises always create opportunities. Let's transform... Let's use this information as a valuable tool. Okay, here are the practical steps in an easy-to-understand format. It's simple and anyone can use it to scan stocks. You can start creating your own portfolio right away for the Thai stock market.
Let's start with something simple like this: Try going to... Go to the website and search for form 59-2 to view it. That's a move by the management, and then... Scan for companies that big funds haven't rushed to invest in yet. To take over and assume that the institution holds a certain proportion of the shares.
Less than 30% is perfect, and that's what's missing. No, you have to look up the notes to the financial statements. Make sure the money isn't actually deposited by this company. I dedicate more than 20% of my life to any single client. This is for total income, in addition to the 59-2 check. And we also need to interpret it correctly, that is, the person...
The management might sell off 108 shares. Personal reasons are normal, but... If he ever uses his own cash... Quietly accumulating shares of companies listed on the exchange. This has only one implication: he knows full well what he's doing. They say the current share price is too low. I'm about to run forward.
Oh, and don't forget... Please check the balance sheet to see if there is any goodwill. Or the gains resulting from acquiring existing businesses. Are other expensive items suddenly appearing and bulging out of proportion? Finally, before we part ways, I must emphasize one thing: Once again, here's a summary of everything we discussed.
The information gathered today is for informational purposes only. For educational purposes only, not intended as a recommendation. I am not recommending or suggesting the buying or selling of any stocks. Yes, but as investors ourselves... I'd like to invite everyone to give their brains a try. Between stocks in the rather bland waste collection business...
But there's guaranteed profit growth with these cutting-edge tech stocks. A story of cosmic scale, but the last line is missing. If everyone is forced to hold the capital for more than 5 years. Which type of stocks should I choose to trust? Let me know in the comments. Feel free to share your own unique reasons!
29.2% per year, compounded continuously for 13 full years. Just imagine your portfolio exploding with growth! How big is this number? It's not a return on investment. It's just luck, but it's a record-breaking statistic. The legend of the great investor Peter. Today, on behalf of thep.me, we will be unboxing...
A casual, conversational analysis between friends. Listen, the tongue can handle such enormous numbers. Anyway, without needing to rely on equations. What kind of math is this that gives me a headache? The secret behind it... After a 29.2% profit, this 2% is particularly noteworthy. It's simply about knowing how to avoid the value traps that investors fall into.
Most investors tend to inadvertently step on each other's capital; that's what they use. Just three key numbers are all that matter. I'm doing my own checking to see which businesses are legitimate. Which businesses are hiding those three-digit numbers? Let's go through these things one by one. Okay, let's start with the first category, buying a...
Beet all or a sport car before you go. Let's touch on some numbers to break away from a popular misconception for a moment. Oh, I forgot to mention the old thing we've all memorized: PE ratio for stocks. Low PE ratios mean cheap stocks, and high PE ratios mean expensive stocks to sell. Go ahead, try comparing them like this.
Let's assume company A is trading at a PE ratio of 10. But profits grew meagerly at only 4% per year. Compared to company B, whose PE ratio is as high as 20. Doesn't that sound like twice as expensive? But wait, company B unexpectedly experienced explosive profit growth. Up to 30% per year—a fact that completely changes your perspective.
Company B is considered cheaper and more attractive to invest in. Company A has significantly more capital; it leaves them in the dust. That's right. Peter Li once made a comparison to this. To give you a very clear example, he said that the PE ratio... Similar to car prices, the growth rate of... Profit is the horsepower of payment.
Buying stocks with a PE ratio of 10 times that barely makes any progress in terms of earnings. It's like buying a cheap Volkswagen Beetle, but then... The hill was too steep; I couldn't accelerate, I couldn't drive. While paying a PE ratio of 20 might be acceptable... It can be very worthwhile if the business has the equipment.
It's a super-powered car, which is... I'm thinking about the engine of a sports car. It led us to Heart Number One The P. Ro, this is the first tool that... Please adjust the price scale to match the level of affordability. The business is growing rapidly. The calculation method is to capture... Take the PE ratio of that stock and divide it by...
Percentage profit growth rate or EPS. GR is the way to go! A clean, short, and simple recipe. Unmasking the fact that that stock was manipulated. The price is reasonable considering the pumping speed. Is it profitable? And we need to get the figures. How much is considered...? Litch has set the criteria like this: a PEG ratio of 1.0.
It's fair and reasonable if the price is below 1.0. It's starting to become affordable and interesting, but the highlight is... Here's the thing: if we come across a stock with a low PEG ratio... When it's above 0.5, let me tell you, this is it. The signal is extremely positive because it provides a margin of error.
Safety or margin of safety. Very broad, but conversely, if you calculate it, PEG... If it goes above 2.0, stay away quickly! This is an extremely dangerous zone. Try putting this frame over it. Let's take a look at the Thai stock market, for example. Let's say we have... People are willing to pay a PE ratio of 25 to buy shares.
Avoid big names just because a brand is familiar. I've been coming to this mall since I was a kid, but I forgot to check what kind of business it's in. He's reached saturation point; profits are only growing at 5% per year. Try pressing [the button]. Please use a calculator: 25 divided by 5. PEG ratio is 5.00, that's the hole.
The camouflage is a good trap that might attract investors. You'll be stuck with a long-term stock price even if the company doesn't go bankrupt. We've clarified the PE ratio and growth aspect, so let's move on. Let's look at Number 2 True Enterprise PE. Let's continue. Do you believe that the stock price...
The flashing lights on the whiteboard didn't say anything. The truth is, companies that hold onto cash are... Having a mountain to yourself and being free from long-term debt is truly something else. The cost of ownership is lower than the price. There's a lot of it, so Lynch used a method to calculate the cash flow.
Net profit per share based on using all cash on hand. Eliminate all long-term debt and then find a way to make ends meet. That's the total number of shares I own, just to give you a rough estimate. Look at the classic case of Ford stock depreciation in 1988. Yes, at that time the price on the board was $38.
A PE ratio of around 5.4 is considered by the average person to be the price. This one works fine too, but Litch is sharper than that. Yes, they delved into the balance sheet and found that Ford was hiding something. The net cash reserves per share are at least 16 cm, enough to get by. Subtracting this will leave the true value of the business.
It's only 21.70 cm long, just pull the PE. In fact, it dropped to just 3.1, which is a 1x difference. That's a lot, isn't it? And this is the point... This made Litch cling to this stock tightly and refuse to let go. This principle is used to scan for cash champions. In our country, it's perfectly fine for any company that has the money.
Net profit is roughly 20-30% of the market value. It's like a parachute boosting the stock price. There was a very solid foundation to support the market when it crashed. This fresh batch also gives executives the freedom to choose. The company weathered the crisis or even used the money to buy shares.
Return the investment when prices fall in order to generate a return instead of giving back the money. We also obtained this through the verification numbers. Expensive and safety concerns have already been considered, so let's conclude with... Heart Number 3 The Bloed Inventory The Red Flag Cup is a warning sign.
The bloated stock of pressed steel has only one short point. That's the percentage growth of inventory. The treasury must be less than or equal to a certain percentage. Sales always grow whenever... Goods are piling up and gathering dust in the warehouse as growth accelerates. The sold-off sales mean people are tightening their belts.
Okay, the danger signal has arrived. The question is... Is it really that scary? Just think about it... Sales grew by only 10%, but inventory has ballooned. A 30% drop in inventory for two consecutive quarters. Ultimately, the management was pressured into doing so. We're slashing the prices to clear out our stock.
What was the result? The gross profit margin was devastated. The company had to record a large impairment loss on assets. This comes with a warning of shrinking profits and a price drop. The stock price would plummet unexpectedly. Before you know it, you'll be seriously injured and it will be clearly visible.
That's Peter Lynch's investment style. It means looking through to the core of the business. Now we've reached the Your Actionable section. Let's look at the Investment Blueprint. Here are 3 parts. Here are some simple steps you can try to scan your portfolio. Let's wait and see before deciding to invest in more shares.
1. Try using a calculator to find the PE rate of... Stocks whose prices are expected to align with growth. Is this point number 2 helpful? Let's take a look at the balance sheet and see if there's any cash on hand. Was the net hidden there as a cushion? To find the true PE, and point 3 is very important.
Let's compare the latest quarter's stock levels. Has product growth surpassed revenue yet? Okay. Okay, now that we have a top-tier weapon... The legend is in your hands; I challenge everyone to put their skills to the test. Okay, so let's talk about my favorite stock in my portfolio right now. If you were to catch that person who's secretly watching you and bring in PE...
Dividing by the profit growth rate gives the PE ratio. What did it all come out to? Let's use a calculator. Then, share your numbers in the comments below. Sure, I'm also curious to know if you found any diamonds. Are we encountering a beautiful gem, or are we falling into a trap before the end? In this summary, let me reiterate one more thing.
Please review the content and analytical framework. What we're sharing with you is for that purpose. This study is for informational purposes only and is not intended as a recommendation. Or to recommend buying or selling any assets whatsoever. Investing involves risk, so be sure to do your research.
Do your own research and gather information before making a decision. Thank you again for watching until the end. See you next time. Goodbye. 29.2% 2% Per year, and I emphasize, per year, and it must be done consecutively. After 13 full years, this number doesn't represent a return on investment. This stock distribution scam is actually real.
Welcome everyone to this in-depth summary. In-depth style from the exppp.me, where we'll be coming. Change your mindset from guessing stock market trends to... Investing with a thorough understanding of the business's inner workings. They're all bluffing, and this is a masterpiece. It's the work of a legendary investor.
Peter Litch, when he was managing the fund. Jae-on was able to achieve this enormous return without... Believe it or not, you don't need to rely on mathematical formulas. It's nothing too sophisticated like Wall Street. His secret was much simpler than that; it was... Identifying the core essence of the business.
What's going on today with me and my colleagues from EXPP? Our channel's analytics assistant, masco, will... Let's take a look at Lich's Famework. Okay, let's look at the best strategies that... This is what it looks like after winning the market for a decade. What was it like, and what's the truth hidden within the process?
What are all forms of capital? Let's get to another figure. Most importantly, 120 means 120 seconds. Or just 2 minutes, please. lch, call it. What does "2-minute drill" mean? Press the gold button when you say we must be able to tell the story. Tell me about the stocks we want to buy, and finish within 2 days.
Think twice before you spend your money on it. Let's think about it simply: if we use money to buy something... Shares of a company that doesn't even explain its origins. That's not how you make money; that's not investing. Yes, but it's a gamble bought based on whispers. In a private Line group, it's clear that we've agreed on something.
Married someone I just met on a football match 5 days ago. That's the riskiest moment, right? Clarity should always come before investing. Okay, let's move on to Part 1. Press 120. Let's delve deeper into the 2-minute rule. How does this rule work in real-world situations? They force us to answer four basic questions.
Okay, that's clear. 1. How does this business generate cash flow? 2. Which stock group does it belong to? 3. Debt status. Is it overflowing? And what are the accelerating factors? This is a key factor or characteristic that will drive further business growth. In the future, point number 2, which needs to be organized...
The type of stocks you acquire is extremely important. Lch divides its shares into 6 main groups: Slow-growing stocks, strong stocks, fast-growing stocks, etc. The stock market cycle is recovering and stocks have assets. It implies knowing which box our stock falls into. It's a life-or-death situation because of the different types of stocks.
It involves methods for making a profit, expectations, and timing. Their escape was like fleeing from a completely different world. This is the ultimate test. Try filling in the blanks. Look in the blank space in this sentence: I own shares in the company. X is a type Y stock because of the catalyst.
Z will cause profits to expand if this sentence is said. Then they stumble over it or accidentally blurt out difficult technical terms. Everything's coming out at once, so let's take a break first. That is... These are big warning signs that we're not ready yet. I need to go back and do my homework again.
Now, let's get to the part... The second method is scuttering or data degradation. That's actually the actual reason. It's very interesting that we... I'm going to check that 2-minute story with the world. How can you actually tell the truth when you call investors? The IR (Integrated Resistance) or IR button presses all the way down, meaning do not open.
The crucial point is why the stock market is doing this right now. It fell because it was completely pointless. What we should do is ask in-depth, practical questions. For example, the capacity utilization rate at that time. What about this, or what if costs skyrocket for the company? That's the question of how long it takes to adjust the selling price.
Here's another trick question from someone who really knows what it is: Lin's favorite thing to do is secretly check the ratings from the other side. The competitors like to ask the executives who... The toughest competitor to deal with, because whenever... As one company admitted, they were afraid of their competitors.
For example, like with the Holiday Inn hotel chain. It points to the terrifying aspects of the network. That's the ultimate signal, Lquvinta. Positive feedback tells us that the company is really cool. You don't even need fancy presentation slides if you look at it this way. In our context, conducting field surveys like this...
This is very easy to do, for example, by going for a walk and looking around. I actually stopped by the shop to check out the queue of patients waiting inside. Hospitals, or going around questioning the management. At the Set Opportunity Day event, the information included... This is more agile and more valuable than just sitting there.
Taking a screenshot of rumors circulating on social media is a good idea. That's a lot! Let's continue to part 3. I check homework every quarter, that's the process. It will help us build long-term investment discipline. This isn't a buy and leave situation, you know. We thought it could change at any time, so...
Every 90 days after the financial statements are released or when the report is published. When task 56-1 was announced, we had to bring in story number 2. At that moment, always dust it off and recheck everything. Whether it's same-store sales or the amount of debt. It's just as we initially expected.
Or perhaps the decision-making process here is very decisive. Okay, if the budget is released, the story will continue. If the business is going according to plan, then that stock is worth it. Worth holding or accumulating further, but if factors... The foundations started to crumble, the story wasn't the same anymore.
Then, if you're buying iron, sell it immediately; don't bother. I'm really hoping the numbers in my portfolio will be in the green at that time. Or, before we wrap things up, let's take a look at part 4. Let's talk about precautions and the scope of the information. Just a little something, I need to emphasize this in bold.
Okay, that's the entire conceptual framework we've chosen. Explained as DXP.me, this is what it's like today. For educational purposes and sharing perspectives only. No, we are not making a definitive statement or giving any specific advice. Buying and selling, or any form of investment, carries risks.
Everyone needs to take the information and do their homework on their own. Always be yourself, and now we've arrived at this part... Finally, Part 5: The Ultimate Test. We'll summarize everything with a fun challenge. A thought-provoking question is, think about your favorite stock. Here's what's currently performing well in our portfolio.
Explain its business to others in a way they can understand. Can it be cleared within 120 seconds? Or have we just been speculating all along? Try typing out a short story about your stock experience and share it with us. Let's test this theory together in the comments! Okay, I hope this provides a detailed summary of the day's information.
This will allow everyone to invest wisely. See you again soon! Do you believe me? The stocks we usually decide to sell off. These often outperform the losing stocks we've identified. They're still holding on tightly, at 3.4% and 4%. This is a prime example of a financial mistake. The most expensive and destructive to an investment portfolio.
It is like hastily cutting flowers that are in bloom. To load her onto the weeds that are about to appear. Hello everyone, welcome to the chapter... The analysis is from dxp.me and discusses finance. Let's listen to each other like close friends today. We will delve deep into the profound philosophy of Peter Litch.
To design port architecture and the art of port. Selling shares that will change the way we think. Forever. Let's look at the origin of the numbers 3.4% and 4%. Let's be clear, this information comes from research by... ODN in 1998 pointed out the fact that... It's quite painful, actually. Research has found that...
The winning and profitable stocks that investors... Most people tend to rush to sell it off beforehand. Conversely, it outperformed the losing stocks we had. They are still holding on tightly to it, at 3.4% and 4%. The following year was when the trap became a clear reflection. The most dangerous psychological tactic – just think about it in a simple way… Let's assume we are the team manager.
In football, we unfortunately decided to sell Lionel. Messi left the team simply because he wanted to lock down [the player]. Keep a portion of the profit and then use that money. Pay for the butter to the substitute players. My form is plummeting because I secretly hoped for a place in the team. I strongly believe that one day he will come back and play so well that we will be impressed.
Capital sounds strange, doesn't it, in the investment world? It's the same with capital, Peter Lin. This behavior is called "pulling the flowers." To water the weeds, we agreed to sell our shares. The winner will use the money to average down their stock holdings. Losing money is destroying the power of returns.
Unfortunately, compounding over the long term doesn't work that way. Look at XP's face in the picture; she's shocked by this information! So, you're going now, right? The next question is, then...? How can we really break this habit? The answer is... It's not about staring at a screen all day. Yes, but it depends on how you structure the portfolio.
Ours was different from the start. Today we're going to decipher the Pet playbook. Lynch is intended to be a decisive solution to... Let's move on to the first part of this topic. Okay, regarding the topic of portfolio management architecture... 3-10 items that emphasize the principle of "less is more" (less is more).
That is like the core of portfolio building. For retail investors, that's 3-10 stocks. This is the most balanced point that Peterlich recommends. Which, in reality, contradicts their behavior. This is something you see very often in our domestic market. Many people tend to hold small or minor stocks.
My portfolio is heavily diversified with micromarketing stocks, around 30-40%. Some people open a trading account and it's like they're setting up a stall to sell goods. It's a grocery store. Holding that many shares is unusual. It means it's safe, but it's... Diversifying risk excessively. There's a lot of it.
Let's look at the math behind it. Can you explain why 3-10 units work? The ultimate research since 1968 by E.W. and Y. It has been confirmed that there are benefits to decentralization. This risk will work to its full potential. We are most efficient when we hold shares. Approximately 10 stocks, held in increments of 50 stocks.
It doesn't make you richer or safer, but it does. Transform ourselves into mutual fund managers. That's where the inefficiency lies; just imagine that. The truth is, if we have the time to study stocks... 5-10 hours per week holding shares in 5 companies. This means we'll have time to delve deeper into how things work.
Each company takes 1-2 hours, but if you hold 50... Our company will only have 6 days left to review each company. This short amount of time isn't enough to understand the model. It's a business, we'll just end up sitting idly by. The stock price will definitely fluctuate day after day now, if there is one.
What's the best allocation for a 3-10 stock? Jan's fund portfolio allocation strategy is very interesting. Yes, Peter Li never spends more than 30-40% of his budget. Go with fast-growing stocks or Fast Growers. They will maintain balance by holding strong stocks. A large, sturdy watch, or Store Watch.
Approximately 10-20%, and cyclical stocks or... Another 10-20% is cyclical; the remaining amount will then... These are recovery stocks or turnaround stocks. Yes, this portfolio allocation is very smart because... St shares will act as a kind of defensive pair. Paying dividends gradually and reducing volatility helps save money.
Let our portfolio swing too wildly at times. Fast Glowers stock failed to meet expectations. Okay, the portfolio structure is perfect, and now we come to the topic. Secondly, let's look at when we should press the sell button. How to set aside the price and focus on... This is a crucial rule regarding real sell signals.
It's very important to sell only when the reason for buying is valid. Or the first two minutes we were able to tell the story... I bought it, and it fell apart; now I want to sell it. Just because I see the stock price going up. Or a drop in the number of rushed sell-offs of winning stocks that are currently...
Growth occurs simply because one cannot tolerate seeing green in the portfolio. Did you get or feel like, "Hey, I made a 20 or 30% profit?" It's better to sell first; it's throwing away a potential profit. For long-term returns, just discard some stocks outright. It's a money-making machine that can grow 5 times.
Even with ten bounces, many people chose to get off the bus. Starting from the very first sign. Then there's a true fundamental sell signal. What are they? Let's look at the trigger points of each stock. Let's categorize them, starting with the Fast Glow group. We will only press the sell button when branch expansion starts to slow down.
Is the market going down, or is it becoming saturated, in terms of stocks? Strong like Starward, sell when the value... The PE ratio has soared, outpacing the growth rate. Normally, 10% of it goes so far that it starts to get... This is a bubble phase for cyclical stocks. Cyclical products need to be prepared for sale when the factory arrives.
Full production has begun and inventory is starting to rise. The pile keeps accumulating, which is a sign of leg fatigue. A downturn is coming, and that's for all stocks. If that's the case, considering the initial reason we bought it... It collapsed beyond repair, that's it. Pressing the sell button isn't about checking the price.
Opening the year every day and to protect the portfolio. To ensure a safe journey, I must warn you about a significant power hole. One more thing, Peter. Litch always emphasizes that... Avoid games that are too graphic, like those... Option Futures, which is very popular in the market. Our country is the DW group.
Or is it a Derivative Warranty? That's the statistics. The lawsuit clearly indicates 80-95%. This refers to retail investors who get involved with the product. These companies lost money left and right, mainly because... There is something called Time Value (TimeK), or historical value. As time gradually decreases, it secretly works to consume resources.
Our money is in our pockets every day; it's an investment in ourselves. Real businesses that generate cash flow are different. If we want to create wealth for ourselves... Having completed the theory of sustainability, we now come to the final topic. Finally, regarding what we can actually put into practice, we will...
Assembling the engines of wealth. How should we present this to our portfolio? This is the printed plan. Four green points that can be applied to your portfolio. Starting today, the first thing is to consolidate the portfolios. Okay, for anyone who has opened their account and owns more than 10 stocks.
Eliminate the candidates with the weakest arguments. Then, pool the money and focus on 3-10 stocks that you like. I'm absolutely certain about point number 2: stop watering the weeds. Absolutely stop the behavior of selling shares that are currently... Run well to get the money to offset the losses on stocks that are stuck at the top.
Point 3. Try writing clear sales rules for... Keep each stock in the portfolio based on... The categories we just discussed and... This last point is very interesting to us. Yes, it means taking consistent dividend payments from... Should Starwards shares in Thailand be invested in using Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) or gradually investing?
Consistent capital investment in global megacap stocks. Through modern apps, here's a trick: Create a diversified portfolio that both protects against losses. Take risks and embrace global growth opportunities. Before we say goodbye for today, I have something to share with you all. One question I'd like to encourage everyone to consider when exploring their portfolio is...
Let's check our own past experiences. Has anyone ever made the same mistake? Selling profitable shares simply because you want to. They locked in the profits and then took that money. Averaging down on stocks that are severely impacted by losses. Let's review this again, and if anyone has ever... I have firsthand experience in cutting flowers and watering them.
Feel free to share your experiences with weeds like these in the comments. You can all gather at the bottom so we can... Let's learn together, and finally, I would like to... Just to reiterate, all the information in this message is... This analysis is prepared for educational purposes and... Analysis and research alone is not sufficient.
Do not make a definitive statement or give specific buying or selling advice. Please review the information further yourself. I always hope for a 3-10 port architecture. And Peter Litch's art of selling stocks that day. This will help everyone improve their investment skills. One more step, and we'll see you again in the next chapter.
Based on analysis from dxp.me, that's all for today. hello Imagine this: in the middle of the living room there is... My old flat-screen TV is broken and won't turn on. It's been like this for 3 years. The house has been standing for years and occupies the land, but the homeowner... The only reason they refuse to throw it away or donate it is...
I still keep it because that's the price I paid when I bought it. Setting the price at 50,000 baht, clinging to past prices... I don't dare throw away broken things like this. Everyday scenes that describe behaviors... One of the most dangerous things about... The money is very clear today, thepp.me will take you...
Let's delve deeper into the content decoded from One Up. On Wall Street to find out why. This psychological mechanism destroys wealth. It's immense, and how can we ever surpass its value? Let's revisit the issue of broken TVs and look at it in the context of... The stock market, surprisingly, is... This happens every day, investors.
Many investors stubbornly refused to sell their shares. A company whose business structure has collapsed. And merely to escape reality, to escape acceptance. He claimed to be losing money investing in a dying company. Simply because we're waiting for the price to return to its previous level. Buying this was a psychological trap.
They even make the most reasonable people get caught. The trap was so simple, and that led to the truth. The coldest and most cruel place, no matter what. 100,000 baht will be used to buy shares in the company. The base price is good at 300 baht, or you can use it to buy speculative stocks. A small profit margin of just 3 baht if that company...
It must go bankrupt or its value must become 0. The damage incurred is 100% of the capital. The amount put in was exactly the same. The stock market never realizes the cost. How much did we pay for it, and we weren't being generous. Including stocks with lower listed prices. This made Peter Jackson a legendary investor.
Globally, those who achieve an average return of almost... A 30% annual return throughout his time working there remains a mystery. The first important point is why people who have... Sharp intellect, excellent career prospects. Give in to your emotions and decide to invest. For reasons that sound illogical, leading to...
The complete destruction of one's own wealth. It's impossible to prevent most stock market failures. It was caused by pressing the wrong button on the calculator, but... It's purely a matter of psychology. The first word that will help solve this puzzle is... Anchoring by, or clinging to a point of reference.
To explain it in simple terms, it's our brain. They usually find a number to use as the brain of the ship. To provide a foundation in the world of investing. Is this often the highest price a stock has ever reached? Or, our brains will become attached to the cost price we bought it for. Being stuck with those past numbers includes illusions.
Focusing on desired profits instead of acknowledging the reality. It seems that the business is still profitable at the moment. Did Mai really receive any cash in this transaction? Let's check. Let's delve into the terrifying aspects of these anchors. Look, Peter is dissecting the myths that... The danger is stated like this; the first sentence is quite long.
It probably won't go any lower than this, honestly. It's a stock that dropped from 100 baht to 10 baht. That means a 90% loss, but what if it dropped from 10 baht? Even if you're left with just 1 baht, that means another 90% loss. The remaining money is good; the next sentence is about stocks. What kind of loss could there be at a price of only 3 baht?
As you can see at the beginning, 0 is 0, no matter what. Starting with which number, and the sentence "later"... Ultimately, it all comes back to this: denial. The death of a business has happened to many famous companies in the past. Many never came back and eventually went up. We've come this far, how can we go any further?
This is about taking... The past dictates the future, even though that's not actually the case. It has set a ceiling on the company's profits. That's what determines it, when you bring up those prejudices. Let's compare this to real-world results. The context regarding business ownership will become clearer.
A global company with strong compound annual growth. Consistent profits and low debt can create Your wealth can multiply tenfold or even more. Even though it has reached new highs in the past decade. And countless times, on the contrary... Falling into the illusion of speculative stocks. A low price that lacks any underlying fundamental support.
Case studies in our domestic market, such as Stark or Po. It usually leads to entering a process. Business rehabilitation or bankruptcy proceedings have disappeared from the picture. The board, having finally reached this point, might make many people wonder. A huge counterargument popped into my mind: "Ah!" And what about the classical philosophy that Warren Buffett mentioned?
They say, "Be greedy when others are afraid." That's the buying opportunity. When the stock market was in turmoil and prices were plummeting. Isn't that what should be done? Let me tell you, this... This is a very dangerous misconception because... Many people use this famous rock formation in context.
That's completely wrong. Respond to this argument with a dry sense of humor. Very decisive, he said, it's often dark where... It's always the end before dawn, but sometimes... Sometimes it was completely dark. The important point is... It's important to distinguish between panic and nervousness. Short-term market pressure is driving down the prices of good stocks.
They all came down together with the structure of... One business is collapsing. The principle of persistent greed when others are afraid only works. For businesses with a strong balance sheet, but still using... Not for companies that are running out of cash flow. Dry and waiting to die, that's the kind of behavior that exists.
The second specific term is "Falling." "Knife," or catching a falling knife, is... Attempting to guess the low point of a stock's share price. You're plummeting to the bottom just because you feel that way. That it is correct when compared to the past without understanding it. Go and check their financial statements and their ability to pay off their debt.
This isn't value investing. But it's a false sense of confidence, thinking that... Timing the market accurately usually leads to the desired outcome. With gaping wounds always present, what then is the... What is the one and only truth that drives the market? The empirical data clearly shows that...
If we measure returns over a 15-year period, continuously... Because the source of over 95% of returns is stocks. This stems from the growth of company profits and payments. Dividends paid during price fluctuations or volatility. Whether something is considered expensive or cheap has an impact on wealth.
The long-term accumulation rate is even less than 5%, so... The company's profits are the anchor of the ship. The reality is that the price tags of the past are no longer accurate. When profit is the most important thing, the tools... The final, powerful fundamental word: PEG. That's when Rio came into play; it's about taking...
The price-to-earnings ratio is divided by the rate of... Profit growth, simply put, is used to monitor the price. What we pay today is worth it for the growth we will achieve. Is this the future? Such a simple tool. That's what helps to filter the businesses being evaluated. Exaggerated valuations should be removed and preserved.
Discipline prevents one from falling victim to emotions and It's a myth, therefore, for those who want it. Stop the habit of speculating based on luck and instead... Let's appraise the assets for the sake of reason; this is what it is. What needs to be done is to start by dispelling the misconceptions about...
Get the prices out of the picture, then go back to scanning. Stocks in my portfolio are currently down more than 30%. Discard the original purchase price and set it as... The only question is whether this business still generates core profits and... Positive cash flow occurs at the very end. And then there's emotional maturity and mind control.
More important than mere brilliance, incomparably so. So, in the world of investing, the conclusion of this story is... Attachment is the worst enemy, to conclude. Here are some short questions for you to review in your free time. When you see the stock prices in your portfolio drop, or when... I'm about to decide whether to buy stocks that have plummeted in price.
Our focus is currently fixed on the price tag. Originally in the past, or are we looking beyond to the outcome? The true profit and cash flow of the business. And to reiterate in conclusion, all the information... This is all for today's educational purposes only. That is not financial advice or a solicitation. Always exercise caution and discretion when investing. yes
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