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hey traitors Lance Pluto here let's get to a market update video so we're finally great on the year in the SP why normally when this happens if we look at a prior history we'll have a big update maybe that will be today ESPYs are up 9 now after the CPI data and then we have the following day a little shaky and then a sideways day so you see every time we break out boom up day boom breakout boom big up day big up day so what I think it is is I trade a lot off you know the overall view of the market I want to go on the other side of retail how they think it's a lot of we're gonna wake up today and say oh you know the S&P is up for the year finally stocks were safe again so to speak we look at the diamonds and diamonds are really close to becoming or the down really close to becoming a green on the year it was it ok good stocks are up I need to put my money in stocks so what happens here and we see the Nasdaq here clear clear move to the upside taking out resistance say I'm put my money in stocks well we know retail investors there's no free lunch and trading or the financial markets so usually they have to take a little bit of pain so today I'm looking not necessarily for initiating all these new long positions and getting long in the tooth just to have a sideways day or so you know tomorrow of course we are looking at Friday Friday is usually a short squeeze day if obviously news is good and also to I also notice that usually option monthly expiration so that would be next week and my birthday on Wednesday is usually bullish so I'm actually looking for maybe at rally today sideways and then we probably short squeeze a little bit Friday and then Monday Tuesday a little bit of sideways action trap those retail investors in and then we rally into May 17th and 18th a couple of names that are starting to see some bullish option flow that I feel like is worth mentioning here MGM has investor day today so looking for that one went obviously a beautiful breakout here to the upside another casino correlated you know lbs up there as well and then Caesars I rarely ever trade because the options are so bad no love for me there the IWM we make a new highs and small caps even a micro caps the the the SP why should should follow there to the upside we're looking at crude oil in the energy names you know we look at MRO big break here off a bull flag Devon all strong names what you can do here is you know we look at like Conoco and Mario some names that are overextended you could look at some of the smaller names like Range Resources even like CRC some of these names that have been a beat down a little bit you know even my caliber tour so to try to play catch-up and look and see if there's a high short interest for potential for a short squeeze they're also a couple dames seen some flow of Tara Diana semiconductor that leads me to micron micron you know everyone loves it but it's been beat around the bush finally over 50 here with NVIDIA earnings today after the close the video big run-up you know people ask me will answer you training the video earnings well my thing is you know obviously I think I'm permeable I think mostly all stocks go up but with semiconductor earnings it's kind of a joke they're semiconductor earnings we've seen multiple names report really good numbers and they've sold off on earnings you know micron AVG oh just a couple of they're even microchip had a crazy earnings we're looking at at Nvidia and we look at the market makers imply and move we can look here this is the event for earnings or the weekly so May 11 expiration it's about 15 bucks here so I add 15 bucks to 255 that leads me to 72 70 cause of 1/4 to 80 they seem a lot very rich to me you know even if the stock trades at 270 let's say 275 those calls only go to 5 bucks it's not even a double on my money and I'm taking all that risk for earnings so I really don't know if I love that too much with the with a pretty big imply move here in Nvidia now if I think it moves 10 percent at $25 to 255 or so that I'm looking at about 280 the 280 calls were one for a buck but what if the stock moves up to let's say 275 is to e-collar probably down in value so I need to look to see what's the biggest return on my trade you know I could spread the trade out I can buy an outright call if I think it goes lower I can buy put or so something like that I just remember implied volatility is juiced up to the gills around an earnings event so in a video probably won't trade it but what I will be looking at is similar names in that sector if you like the Intel or micron even the SM h-index I could even trade that will move if in a video let's say I think the video goes up you know I could get long what's a micron or Intel or another semiconductor stock so well I don't have to buy all the implied volatility which you know that is the goal thanks everyone feel free to check out the website enjoy it's 30 bucks a month I mean it's very very cheap trading coach Lance comm or shoot me an email be set up with a private Twitter feed and all that good stuff like that there we go yeah Twitter feed all good with trade updates and everything thanks
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