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8월 20일 나스닥 1.46% 하락 후 단기 지표 과열 해소 과정으로 해석. 잭슨홀 전 단기 반등 가능성을 제시하며, 인텔·팔란티어·테슬라·엔비디아·알파벳·넷플릭스·아마존·메타·S&P500 등 개별 종목 지지선과 목표가를 제시. 과거 매수 성과를 강조하고 회원 콘텐츠 유도 및 구독 독려 포함.
다듬은 글
hello. I will start Kim's US Stocks on Wednesday, August 2, August 20, based on the US market. about how difficult things are or express your gratitude, , as I informed you yesterday, due to my hospital schedule, I only uploaded a membership video yesterday. Please keep this in mind. Yesterday, I realized the profits from the Intel membership I had been accumulating for the long term .
I will take a closer look at the Intel chart later . Now, let's take a look at how the US exhibition went fell by 1.46% . Well, it is moving exactly as I predicted . As I mentioned last week and in yesterday's video, I informed you that there would be no strength until the middle of this week previously mentioned that momentum would be lost because there is a gap with the yellow line , and recently, I have been continuously warning about the Jackson Knoll meeting in Kim's Secret Notes .
Now, in the Kim Se Secret Note I posted on August 19th, I explained that looking back over the last five years, the stock market typically tends to take a short-term breather immediately after the Jackson Meeting, so there is a possibility that the market could lose momentum. Now, in the case of yesterday, in addition to that, the warning by the CEO of OpenAI—the head of the world's top AI company—that AI is a bubble has made investors even more anxious amidst the current tense market situation right before the Jackson Meeting .
Now, Sam Alltuman's remarks provided a pretext for the decline of the U.S. stock market AI sector, which was already feeling the pressure . Now, now, looking at the chart, if we consider the most important part, this is the 4-hour candlestick chart on drop once before in early August on the 4-hour chart as well .
Even then, near this red line, ll bottomed out, showing a rebound rally . Now, you should be able to confirm that the current section is also located in the exact same section . Now, it is located near the red line, and the phase indicator , mid-term indicator, and long-term indicator are all in the bottom zone.
So, that is why, if it holds the red line for a while today, we can expect a slight rebound leading up to the Dexnal meeting. first . Now, Intel showed a rise of up to 12% during yesterday's trading session. In the case of Intel, it was a stock that our members had been accumulating for the long term, and they continued to accumulate it in April, June, and August as well.
So , while I was at it, I shared Intel's selling point yesterday, and many of you took home big profits . Now, let's take another look at the Intel chart. Due to the influence of the stock market, Intel also came down yesterday with an upper wick. You can see located in the overbought zone, right? Now, first of all, with the news that the U.S.
government plans to acquire a 10% stake in Intel and invest 2.8 trillion won, it can be seen that this downward trend has come to an end in the mid-to-long term . Now, while it could go straight ahead due to Trump's remarks, given the current market conditions, I believe it is more likely to show a pattern of being slightly pulled back before rising .
Now, looking at the price level near the previous high, the best scenario is for it to rebound without breaking $23.5 or $5, and you can consider that the possibility of that happening still remains. Long-term indicators are riding a strong upward trend . Only short-term indicators go down and then up.
Okay, and in the second part of the video, I'm analyzing the coin tokens . Now, all coins are rebounding right now, and as I explained in yesterday's video, I believe that they will eventually consolidate in the bottom zone of the short-term indicators and come up . Now, since we cannot miss out on coin opportunities in this Trump era, I hope you make sure to watch Part 2 of the video and pick up some good coins .
Now, next, let's take a look at Palantir Tech . Now, in the Palantir Tech video from August 11th, I explained that it is located at a short-term peak . August 11th is the current phase, and it is showing a decline as it hits the overbought zones for , sinc this important, I hope you will make sure to watch the video and check them out .
So, you can consider the indicators to be entering the bottoming phase at this stage, and a turnaround has not occurred yet . Now, I explained that when the yellow line breaks, even those with a long-term perspective should definite situation, I believe it is highly likely that the green line will eventually become a support zone .
Now, because up to the green line and the period of consolidation in the current short-term indicator bottom zone will be similar . Now, the green line is currently at $148, support around the $148 mark . Now, if the stock market were to hit its worst point and drop to the brown line, the current price level is around $123.
This is a zone where you can enter with a very large weighting and generate the same returns as before. Now, I will share the buying point once I see it rebound, so please make sure to check the video and post so you don't miss out . Now, just before this, we picked a buying point when a double bottom appeared and took off with a big explained that protecting the area near the top line of this triangular formation is the most important thing .
The swelling on the top line has not completely broken yet. Okay, the best scenario would be for it to form a support line around $325 to $330 and come back up . Now, what we need to pay attention to right now is expect that a rebound will eventually occur this week . Now, you can view this as three sections .
The first stage rebound was successful, the second stage has concluded, and it is now located in the third stage rebound zone. Since it is situated near the beginning of the third stage, it can be considered a zone where you do not need to be too scared. While most stocks, such as AMD, Alphabet, Nvidia, and Ethereum, are currently falling from their highs, Tesla has already undergone a correction within a triangular convergence pattern.
Therefore, you can view this as a possibility that it will hold its ground and rebound, rather than experiencing a significant decline . Now, let's take a look at AMD . Now, in the case of AMD, they took profits at almost the peak of their membership . I suggested reducing the weight on the day it hit $186, and since then, it has been showing a yearly decline.
Now, for those watching the video, I strongly advised you to reduce your position when the yellow line component breaks, and yesterday it broke the yellow line and is showing a decline. Now , this opens up the range of adjustment up to the green line. Now, looking at the price levels, there is room for a decline to around $150.
Since short-term indicators have only just begun to show a slight movement, I believe a rebound is possible around $150 following R Horton. Now, in the case of DR. Tone, it is a stock that Berkshire Way has been accumulating, and if we look at the big picture first, black line . Now, it is the same now.
With Boksher and Way, they ultimately entered after seeing a support rebound. Now, regarding Membership, I also held it as a long-term investment. I identified buying points on August 4th and 5th and entered the trade on those days, , big tech- related stocks are falling, while the construction and real estate sectors are showing slight gains .
In short, the game is going on. Now, first of all, I explained that there is still a lot of room for upside, and we can look at a target price of $200. However, you should expect occasional slight corrections like this while the price is rising. Looking at the price levels, long-term investors do not need to sell until $154 is broken, while once it falls below $162 .
Now, let's take a look at United Health Group . Now, since United Health Group', even if Warren Buffett has bought, it will not go up in a straight line immediately; rather, if short-term fatigue builds up, selling pressure may emerge. That is why I explained the possibility that it might be pressed down once and then go up.
Now, first of all, there is a possibility of a correction down to the green line at $290, and if a deeper correction occurs due to market conditions, it could be pushed down to $270 before rising again. However, you should view this not as another decline starting now, but rather as the direction having already changed .
As you can see, unlike before, the medium-term . You can view it as a pullback that will eventually rise again to $370, based on the price level of the brow SCHD, I am explaining that when it reaches the black line, there will be a significant rise, and that even now, from near the black line, it will come up towards the upper line of this uptrend .
Now, the target price is around $30. Well, even though the stock market fell yesterday, there was a brief rise of up to 1.3% . Now, come up . Long-term indicators are currently rid explained that Alphabet is naturally in a zone where a decline is expected . Corrections are continuously occurring once in a while near the upper line of this upward trend .
Now, now, it's the same now. The decline is occurring as momentum is waning at the upper line, and it is happening has been continuously trending upward, so you can consider this merely a correction within that upward trend . Now, let's take a look at NVIDIA . Now, NVIDIA is currently in a very important position .
First, let's look at the news regarding Nvidia. Well, Nvidia also ultimately failed to overcome the AI bubble and showed a decline of about 3% . Now, in the case of Nvidia, the Chinese government has stated that more than half of the chips in public data centers must be sourced from domestic products .
Now, this is a blow to Nvidia as well, but Nvidia has announced that it is developing a hybrid model for export to China in order to overcome this crisis once again. Now, however, just because you are developing for Nvidia doesn't mean you can immediately export to China. Ultimately, they have to obtain approval for export lines, and you can view these factors as holding back Nvidia's stock price a bit .
Now, NVIDIA's yellow line has finally completed its four-month journey and shown signs of breaking slightly. Now, if it rises immediately, we wouldn't need to worry too much, but given the current market situation, we are likely to see a weak performance rather than a sharp rise until the Jackson Meeting, so I believe Nvidia could experience a further decline .
Now, however, I do not expect such an additional decline to be a deep one. At best, it is near the green line, and the green line is around $160. I expect that it will eventually form a support line above $160 and rebound again . Now, since the period up to that green line overlaps with the time when short-term indicators show a golden cross, we are looking at the possibility of a support line forming above $160 and another rebound .
Now, I believe that when it rebounds from support, another opportunity will finally arise for those who do not own Nvidia to start accumulating in earnest . Now, I aggressively accumulated when Invidia finished its downtrend at the lowest point and rebounded . Now, I hope you take this correction phase as an opportunity to accumulate all these good stocks at the right time .
It is absolutely not about making a 2 or 3% profit and getting out; you must secure a good position and take home a return of over 30 or 40% to become a stock market asse, regarding Ethereum, I will cover it in more detail in the second part of the video, but as you can see, it is gradually reaching the previous high line and the yellow line, showing an effort to form a support zone.
Now, this period exactly coincides with whes . Now, it looks like there might be a rebound while holding support at the yellow line, and I will explain the details while looking at the Ethereum chart , as the BitMine phase indicators enter the overbought zone, a correction is expected. I am explaining that as the short-term indicators consolidate at the bottom of this yellow line and form a golden cross, we can eventually expect a rebound from the yellow line in the long term .
Now, expect a rebound above $45 . Now, next, let's take a look at Joby Aviation. Now, regarding Joby Aviation, as I explained in yesterday's video, I advised reducing position weight because if the yellow line is broken, the decline opens up to the green line. So, when a death cross appears even on long-term indicators like this, a major correction can occur.
Now, looking at how far this correction will go, based on the green line, I expect a rebound to occur after establishing a support zone above $13. A rebound is likely to occur on the day when the short-term and medium-term indicators coincide with a golden cross. Now, I am looking at a period of about one or two weeks .
Now, let's look at IQ. So, IQ has finally dropped to the bottom line of the trading range . I previously explained the possibility of the price falling from the upper line to the lower line of our trading range, and as you can see in the bottom zone . Now, looking at this lower line, it would be best if it rebounded around $37, and of course, market conditions will have an impact.
If the market experiences another major decline, it could fall back down to the brown and red lines, with the worst-case scenario being $30. If the price drops to $30, there is very high buying demand at this red line, so it could eventually rebound, making it a good entry point for a large position.
Now , let's take a look at Newsil Power . Now, in the case of Newsil Power, I explained that I should reduce the if the yellow line breaks, it drops to the green line. If the green line breaks, it drops to the brown line . Now, in this case, come down to the vicinity of around $28 . Now, the nuclear power-related stocks are not finished.
Broadly speaking, it is growing in a long-term expansionary direction, and it is one of the key factors that absolutely must not be missed in the AI era; we will look forward to another excellent opportunity like this o that Tempus AI might pull back once before rising again, right? I mentioned it because I had calculated the stage indicator fruit tree, and it is being pushed down again before rising.
From now on, rather than completely shifting to a downtrend, we can expect an upward trend, looking ahead to a rise to $91 . my opinion on reducing the weight of Circle Internet Group, and I have once again explained the price ranges for those of you who have not yet sold. Yesterday, we established the $133 baseline.
Since a break below $133 opens up the possibility of a rebound to $100 based on price levels, I recommend reducing your position when the $133 mark is breached . I believe that if you are holding the stock before it breaks $133, , as I explained in yesterday's Netflix video, there is a possibility that it could rise while forming a double bottom, and ultimately, we can now say that the likelihood of it forming a double bottom and going up has become higher .
Now, given the current market situation, correct down to the brown line and then rise, and based on expectations, it is around $1,120. When it is said that a support rebound will occur around $1,120, you can view it as a zone where it could enter a major upturn. Now , let's take a look at Amazoncom .
Now, even Amazon.com ca n't escape the impact of the stock market right now. Ultimately, it has become the previous high resistance line, and a short-term correction is currently taking place. Now, if a deep correction occurs this time, looking at the green line car will be pushed down to $219 before rising, but this does not mean that the downtrend will reverse starting now.
There is a possibility that it will continue to ride this upward trend, and I believe it will hit this bottom line and go up . Long-term indicators are also showing golden crosses little by little right as well, rather than switching to a downtrend from now on, there is a possibility that it will hit the bottom line within this major upward trend and rise again .
Just manage your mental state well for this week, and since the direction will gradually become clearer after the Jackson Meeting, do n't worry too much; you can view this as a zone where long-term investment is possible . Now, next, let's take a look at the S&P 500, SPY . Now, the most important thing right now is the S&P 500.
Now, if the S&P 500 breaks below the yellow line again, I expect there will be some shock to the market. Okay, so far, you haven't broken the yellow line, right? Therefore, in the futures market, although there is still a bit more room for a slight decline to the red line, I believ S&P 500, for long-term investors, you can consider it a zone where you can slightly reduce your position when it breaks below $635 .
Okay, that concludes Part 1 of the video . Now, in the upcoming Part 2 video, coins are currently rebounding, so I will take a look at the coin charts one by one. Also, since the remaining stocks listed below include SOL, Apple, TSMC, Coinbase, Global, OpenDoor Technology, and Microsoft, I will analyze them for you .
Now, if this video was helpful to you . I hope everyone has a pleasant and happy day today. Now, I am posting important updates in real-time as membership posts, so please make sure to check them and respond in real-time . Okay, class members, I will see you right away in the Part 2 video and the membership post. 습니다.
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