Why Michael Burry is Shorting TESLA with 500 Million Dollars

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마이클 버리의 테슬라 공매도(약 5억 달러 규모) 배경과 근거를 설명하는 영상으로, 그의 2007~2008년 주택시장 공매도 성과를 상기시키며 테슬라 하락 베팅의 논리를 소개한다. 버리 개요: 헤지펀드 매니저로 2007~2008년 주택시장 붕괴에 베팅해 큰 수익을 냈고, 해당 베팅으로 투자자 수익률 4,000% 이상, 본인 2억5천만 달러 이상 수익이라고 언급. 2008년 펀드를 청산함. 테슬라 공매도 사실: 약 5억 달러 규모, 레버리지 5~10배 사용 언급. 트위터 공지 직후 주가가 약 10~15% 하락했다고 주장하며 그의 시장 영향력을 강조. 영상 제작 시점 전 2~3개월간 공매도 유지, 이후 주가 23% 이상 하락했다고 함. 하락 논리: 테슬라 매출의 70% 이상이 일회성 성격의 수익원이라는 주장, 이로 인해 흑자가 불안정하다는 논리. 자율주행·전기차 경쟁 심화로 점유율과 마케팅 자원 감소 우려. 고속 주행 시 주행거리가 크게 줄어든다는 효율성 지적. 추가 언급: 버리는 국채(정부채권)도 공매도 중이며, 인플레이션 이후 경기침체가 코로나보다 더 심할 것으로 본다고 언급. 진행자는 관련 대응 영상을 추천. 리스크: 영상은 2021년 8월 시점의 주장이며 일부 수치(주가 하락률, 수익률 등)는 검증되지 않은 진행자 주장임.

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01. hello everyone and welcome back to mario's world the place where education meets fun in today's video we're going to be speaking about michael brewery and why he's shorting tesla he's also shorting something else so stay tuned to find out more if that's what you're looking for yes you have me right see ya without further ado i just want to start and get straight into this video because it is hugely important and i think you are all eager to find out who is michael berry and why he is shorting tesla you may have heard about him in the first instance but basically let me give you a quick recap he has been a hedge fund manager and he is known to be one of the biggest ones and one of the three people that have shorted the stock market and not only the stock market but the housing market in 2007 and 2008.

02. he made a huge amount of money on a huge amount of return for his investors and he decided to close down his hedge fund in 2008 which he was running for only eight years and he managed to pull off at least 250 million only for himself that's a significant return based on his investment so i'm sure he's pretty happy there is also a movie about him the big short you'll be able to find more about it if you just type it in netflix or whatever you want to guys see it but basically in the movie it's it's it's all about him and a few other people who decided that the housing market is going to crash in 2008 and how they can make a ton of money out of it and he was the first one to realize that this is gonna be happening and he bet a huge amount of money off his hedge fund as a manager in order to generate the huge and the biggest returns that he could ever it took a bit longer than expected but he definitely made a return of over four thousand percent when he invested more than 10 million and that is crazy that's just how things turned out another amazing thing you need to know about michael berry is that he has a twitter account it's been banned many times but you probably guessed why he had more than 10 million followers and with each tweet he could actually influence the market just at the time that we were speaking about this video just a week ago before recording this video he made a tweet that he's shorting tesla and by you know announcing that publicly and he has 10 million people for his followings well guess what the price tank by minimum 10 i think it ended up actually with 15 drop as soon as he announced that thing is happening and you already know what kind of influence that person has not only because of the movie but because of his expertise and on multiple interviews he has mentioned that those kind of opportunities such as 2007-2008 will come very rarely but when they do he's gonna try and bet as much as possible in order to generate the biggest returns out there and here he is making his second biggest bet he's gonna be made betting 500 million against tesla yes you heard me right and that is a huge amount of money any way you look at it that is obviously with leverage which we've discussed previously used no more than 5 to 10 x leverage he's using leverage which is equaling to another 500 million in total that is a crazy sum but definitely not to him as it seems and let's speak more about why he's actually shorting tesla he's been stating that on multiple you know channels but mainly on twitter and he's been speaking on interviews he's been banned pretty much from everywhere because tesla is a huge company and we all know elon musk likes to you know speak his own mind when he can on twitter so currently what's been happening with tesla is that they have a lot a lot of debt and a lot of their income is coming from you know such sources that usually don't generate you know recurring income and that is something that's been happening on a one-off basis and they by michael brewer is basically stating that they've been super lucky to get that kind of revenue in for the quarter for the year and that's been pulling them and it's a huge amount by the way of revenue when it comes down to their specific you know revenue streams that is equaling to more than 70 of their revenue which is just crazy and not only that but guess what guys because of that revenue they're going publicly speaking that they're making you know profit and the thing is that they wouldn't be making profit if it wasn't for those one or two big wins coming out of nowhere and they're not from selling cars another amazing thing which he found out is that you know it was one of the first companies to go you know fully electrical and when it comes down to autonomous vehicles but there's been plenty more coming out on the market and guess what it's possible that they're gonna be much better so he's fully aware that with the new technologies coming out maybe with some cryptocurrency you know implementation with ai meaning artificial intelligence and so on there may be new companies going out almost every day now about autonomous vehicles it's not easy but having competition means that tesla is going to have far less you know people and far less you know resources to go and do their own marketing and you know so on so in other words tesla is going to generate less revenue for themselves as they are currently doing another hugely important thing is that because they're one of the first people to generate and create you know autonomous vehicles they're overpriced that's pretty much it they're not hugely expensive but they are a bit more overpriced than expected and their length when it comes down to the going from a to b is stating to be let's say 500 miles but when you're increasing your speed with above 140 per hour you will actually experience something which they're not speaking about so often and that is the huge decrease in the mileage they're supposed to be going if it was stating that you can reach 500 miles that's with the speed of 100 miles per hour but let's say you're going 150 miles per hour that 500 mileage that you're supposed to be going from a to b is gonna get immediately decreased to at least 350 if not even less and that is a huge example of how unefficient yet this these technologies and energies are out there so there might be new companies going out there you know creating their own specific you know generating energy battery savings and so on so if that is the case that will probably mean that people and other competitors across the industry will have to fight for that energy saving thing and if that doesn't happen you are not sure whether tesla's gonna get it or not and not only that but because of that whole idea that there's going to be something much better which are going to generate you know far bigger mileages going from a to b you don't know whether the main competitor of tesla which is still known which is going to be they're going to be making you know the first move are actually creating that thing in their own company brand and no one else in the industry is going to have it so it's really dependent on how the industry develops but he's basically saying that you know tesla is going to go down pretty much to zero he's shorting and he's been shorting for the past two to three months and that is a clear indication by the way just a quick example you'll be able to see it on the screen tesla's stock price has already plunged more than 23 since the time that he decided to short tesla and it has not recovered yet it seems that elon musk has been keeping quiet about his development because he hasn't spoken a lot about the development of you know spacex and also of tesla but just a quick example he's been speaking a lot about other stuff such as bitcoin and dogecoin so it seems that his priorities are going left and right but michael brewery definitely knows what he's doing and just a quick tip before we end this video michael berry is also shorting something else which is super crucial that you know about and that is the governmental bonds and he's stating that the inflation is gonna be so big that the new upcoming recession is gonna hit everybody's economies every country's economy so big that it's gonna end up having a recession too which is gonna be much harder than recession one when covet hit so just bear this in mind and take this into consideration you might want to decide what are the necessary steps for you guys in order to avoid that recession and i've made many videos actually speaking about the upcoming inflation on how you can dodge that inflation how you can make money because of the upcoming recession so make sure you go and check them out there's plenty of videos here on this channel which are going to be super beneficial to you guys hopefully and that would be a wrap for today's video thank you all so much for staying up until the end if you have any questions whatsoever make sure you put them in the comment section down below make sure you check me on all social media channels we're growing exponentially and not only that but make sure you smash the like button and share with your friends and colleagues if you're new to the channel and you stayed up until the end you're awesome and make sure you subscribe and turn the notification bell and up to the next one guys see ya