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we are actually 48 hours away from understanding what the FED is set to do and the consequences that it's going to have at the markets and in this video we're going to be addressing this so welcome to the channel everyone my name is Nick for the ones of you new to the channel hopefully via the stop of this video you do come to be a subscriber if we take a brief have a look at what is happening yes the fory meeting is right here it starts off evolved on September 17th but the 18th is in which we get all of those fundamental decisions and this could truly have vast results at the markets in fact this complete week is going to be filled with a ton of volatility in truth right now if we go over right here we will see that the Federal Reserve now probable to reduce interest fees by 50 BPS at this week's FY meeting now in my opinion I would love to see 25 I senses even though this is quite diffused 50 it absolutely shows that something is broken which might suggest a bad effect on the general Marketplace but outside of Simply the phonec meeting we also have some Key activities to awareness in this week which include a route the August retail sales statistics the building allows statistics the building allows statistics the FED hobby feature Choice which does appear on Wednesday like I said the FED press convention which additionally does take place on Wednesday fairly fed Manufacturing Index on Thursday Company by using the prevailing home income information as properly it is formally fed weak and sure it does come with enormous volatility the exceptional manner to prepare FC meetings or fomc weeks is to have stable cash at the sidelines and I usually like to buy you know an afternoon or after the duster settled so you know if we do start to see a few important swings within the marketplace simply type A it again attempt to relax and try and maintain emotions at the neutral territory but past this let's surely speak about some things to Cognizant on number one Warren Buffett we've been listening to plenty approximately Warren Buffett selling a ton of shares around apple as an instance and now additionally Bank of America he bought any other billiona Bank of America and that is you understand making people think that oh banks are done banks are completed they are screwed again one component that I truly sort of take from this is we're starting to witness drama building up round markets worry constructing up around markets everyone is at that factor in time where they may be much like nothing is going to store us we're simply going to keep the promote off we are actually officially in a recession that's it we're carried out I want absolutely everyone to apprehend that I individually consider that we're already in a Richie in a recession what we're witnessing right now could be capitulation of the markets earlier than one in all the biggest swings to things to the upside in my opinion over right here we've got JP Morgan Chief Jamie Diamond has warned US economy faces and final results worse than a recession I would say the worst outcome is stack inflation recession higher inflation now numerous people are going to say nicely JP JP Morgan Jamie Diamond they have pushed nonsense within the past wherein if we did the other we would make a ton of cash I absolutely do agree with that Jamie Diamond is 100% accurate in this but the trouble is is the time of this proper when is this definitely going to appear and anyone proper now could be nonetheless pushing some bullish charts around what the FED is doing but additionally we're seeing some worry mongering in truth I trust that we see more fear than bullish you already know information and bullish outlooks with regards to what the FED is ready to do over here we have the FED is about to reduce 50 BPS in 4 days from now again recall what I stated 50 BPS is technically bearish due to the fact it's Spotlight something going incorrect remember the closing time they reduced charges the ball Marketplace began this is incredible bullish for Bitcoin now the problem here is absolutely everyone is looking at this and they're looking at it in a way where it is only one path forward this means that we have to crash or we need to pump difficult I want to reveal you guys a chart actual short here we've got the Federal Reserve and financial crisis this indicates us the entirety round recessions the federal funds effective charge the FED budget exponential growth Trend the sp500 and also fee Cuts break cuts are in crimson and if we have a look at this we ought to see the first legit charge cut in this chart going all the way lower back to like kind of 1981 and we may want to see what happened proper after we noticed a good size promoe off at the sp500 you might not say that it's that significant however it became tremendous but from that Factor on it did begin to jump but recall this is a lagging issue it started out to bounce up until 1985 or 1984 Technically when we saw the next predominant cut again markets went up in cost instead of selling off this time then we get every other charge cut it truly is round kind of like 1989 we have a bit bit of a flat line at the S500 and then we sell off after which we go crazy at some stage in the.com bubble and this takes place all the way until more or less like 200 three rate Cuts in between there nothing too sizable till the remaining one wherein a recession hits and it became a moderate recession we sold off heavy in terms of the sp500 one of the worst promote offs in records as you guys are possibly all conscious and then we pump into the 2008 crisis here we have like 2007 after which boom we crash there with the credit score crisis sp500 crashes heavily everyone's panicking and so on then we move all the Mana to 2020 wearing we did see another price reduce but do you guys see what happened we get the charge reduced and they technically stated that became a recession going off of this chart from actual funding recommendation however we bought off heavily at the sp500 after which we rebounded so while we consider bullish or bearish sure we can be in a territory wherein we're about to pump closely however do not Overlook the fast term a Max AK max8 that may want to appear everyone reputedly wishes the FED to cut costs there is a broadly famous idea that a Fed pivot is right for markets is patently fake after the FED pivot to charge cuts the marketplace nearly usually crashes and corrects and let's take a look at history yield curve inversion then normalization blue fed pivot purple recession IND dual Marketplace and bottom black maybe this time is specific maybe not and here we've the pivot we have the location of pivot We additionally have the yield curve inversion and then Additionally the recession as you guys can see so the pivots are in Crimson we have one right here returned in kind of like 2000 or so back in 2007 just like I mentioned we also have one in 2020 and if we are approximately to peer all over again every other one right here it is questionable on what takes place next are we going to have a promote off or are we going to pump because what may want to appear now as a First Rate correction then we pump everyone is simpl as watching for up that is a massive hassle even over here we've got 4 days till the fomc meeting where power will likely Reduce by using 0.25 odds odds are currently 50% for 0.25 and 50% for 0.5 the similarities between 2007 and 2024 are wild charts and comments and yeah that is simply a very good Insight now this is quite bearish technically we have this submit isn't calling for a 2007 crash I'm sincerely stating the Intriguing similarities in timing and economic signs and yes it's far very comparable I will say that proper now but the huge component to focus on here is what took place leading as much as 2007 and what came about up to now main as much as in which we're at currently in reality the primary issue that I want to take from all of that is just how parabolic things went leading as much as the crash in 07 into 08 we have not begun to genuinely see that occur around these markets and I recognize that you men are likely going to mention well what approximately stocks yeah technically shar's had a pleasant run up but we have not surely seen something lupy occur where it justify a huge crash and prefer a 07 08 like big flow to the disadvantage but over here we have this week goes to get exciting Powell is predicted to announce a rate reduced throughout Wednesday's 4mc meeting with a 5050 danger of either 250.50 discount get ready for the Mega crash everyone is almost waiting for a main crash that's why I do accept as true with that we probably accurate a bit bit and then we pump and the purpose why I say this due to the fact once more I recognize which you men are going to mention nicely Nick I do not understand what you're calling for you mentioned a couple of areas in time where and we did correct and crashed yes I did but the trouble right here is that there's a number of negativity around the FED reducing charges if we do have a crash in my opinion it is going to be a correction that everybody will call for tons lower rate motion a much larger crash they're going to be calling for 2008 like crash or a 2000 like crash I assume this time in relation to a Fed reduce we can possibly correct barely everyone will overreact and then we are able to go parabolic and I want to go returned over here to what Jamie Jame
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