저자: Fabian · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 영상은 피터 시프의 비트코인 비판을 조롱하며 비트코인 장기 낙관을 밝히지만, 1~3개월 가격 방향에 대한 구체적 예측은 없다. 시프 비판 반박: 시프가 지갑 비밀번호 분실로 비트코인을 잃었다고 주장했으나, 발표자는 이것이 기술의 문제가 아니라 시프 본인의 보안 관리 실수라고 주장한다. 보안 조언: 개인 키를 직접 소유하지 않는 중앙화된 지갑·거래소 보관은 실제 소유가 아니며, 대량 보유자는 하드웨어 지갑 사용을 권장한다. 백업 종이 보관 등 물리적 위험도 언급한다. 단기 시세: 당시 비트코인은 약 9,000달러에서 약 8,650달러로 하락했고, 24시간 약 500달러(약 34%)로 언급되지만 발표자는 이를 크게 우려하지 않는다. 과거 예측 회고: 2017년 줄리언 호스트의 5,000~6,000달러 하락 전망은 빗나갔다고 평가하고, 호스트의 스톡투플로 모델 기반 2020년 10만 달러 전망은 현재 낙관하지 않는다고 말하며 맹신은 경계한다. 장기 견해: 기술은 계속 발전하고 비트코인과 탈중앙 플랫폼은 장기적으로 확산·정착할 것이며, 가격 전망은 본질적으로 중요하지 않다고 본다. 이더리움 등 경쟁 플랫폼이 압도적 우위를 보이지 않는 한 현 플랫폼이 왕좌를 지킬 것이라고 주장한다. 가치 저장 수단: 마이너스 금리 환경에서 대규모 자산 이동·보관에 비트코인이 금보다 낫다고 주장하며, 정전 등 위험은 제한적이라고 본다. 출연자 전망: 명확한 단기(1~3개월) 방향 예측 없음. 장기 낙관만 표명.
다듬은 글
So, hello everyone, my friend Fabi here. I'm really happy you've tuned in again today. Today I want to talk about a very funny tweet from Peter Schiff. I don't know why it's being suggested to me. I don't think I know this guy. He must have retweeted it at some point. I can take a quick look, dear Street offers.
That's something else. I was just on other things there. Someone posted them. No spam. I probably clicked on this and saw the whole thing with Peter Schiff somewhere. Anyway, let's go back to the homepage. There might have been something there. I definitely replied to this trick, which is why you can see it here.
And I found it extremely, extremely funny when I read something like that. Not because I wish bad things on other people or would wish bad things on others, it's just so funny to see that people are trying to badmouth Bitcoin with incredibly stupid arguments. He wrote here, " I just lost all the Bitcoins I had so far." God costs song all my passport is just long balls so he basically said his role broke his password is no longer valid and written so my bitcoins are completely worthless it also has no market value I knew that owning bitcoin was a bad idea and now I have it more here more he can be there than ever before so unharmed the whole thing written here is of course not translated word for word but hopefully not too bad and then I posted a screenshot here I don't know what kind of role that was it it could be blog.com or something I'm actually stumped now but design-wise it could be blockchain should be but it's not even bad what kind of wallet it was because I think that it's not the wallet's fault in the actual sense but it's completely Peter Schiff's fault you might not want to see that at first glance and say this technology this crap it deleted my bitcoins main lost my fortune deleted but no it's completely his own image and why I'll tell you in a moment so in any case it's like this there are a very very specific rule And I've written that down here again, and I also posted it below under "users products most important rubikis noted." So, this basically means that if you withdraw your private keys or the price, i.e., the backup that you almost always get generated to save the backup role, it's not secure.
Accordingly, then the bitcoins don't really belong to you. You're trusting a central authority, like a wallet, a bank, or whatever, or an exchange. There are many different things where you do n't really own your bitcoins. And in the end, Peter Schiff did exactly the same thing: he loaded an open wallet onto a mobile phone.
So, I know why he does that sort of thing. I don't want to say that they're insecure; mobile wallets are certainly secure, but I have a personal hardware wallet, and I can recommend to all of you that if you have larger amounts of bitcoin that you don't want to lose, then get a hardware wallet. It's very simple; if the thing gets stolen, you won't have any problems.
In the end, it probably won't even get stolen because the thing is with a Password secured, nobody can get to it, it's really simple, and until someone gets the idea, "Oh yeah, I'll crack that thing now," and you've entered 1000 different numbers—I think it's eight digits or something—this password that you have the bid for, you have it with your backup, you've been seeing the console for a long time, Andersen calls him, so it's really very, very easy, just write down the coins, or rather, the backup, just write down the private keys if you know them.
With Ledger, it's like this: you ca n't access the private keys, then you could of course say, "That 's not really my bitcoins, but not really my groupings," noted 1. That's actually not how it is, because it's like this: you have your backup, and from this backup, the private key can be calculated.
So even if you ca n't see the original private key with your eye, you can have it calculated from your win, and with that, theoretically, if he enters it on the computer, you can have it calculated, but I would n't type it in again for you. Of course, there's always a relative security risk. Let's put it this way: if you write it down on a piece of paper, it's possible that it could be stolen.
It's not like that, of course, but let's say it's significantly less likely that someone will break into your house than that someone will somehow put a virus on your computer and read something, or that they'll fall for a phishing email or some other crap like that. That can happen, and it's not a big deal at all.
In fact, it's happened to me before. It's just possible, so nothing is unlikely. But here at my house, no one has actually broken in yet, and no one has stolen anything, let's put it that way. And that 's definitely a good thing. And if you're really paranoid, you can get several hardware wallets with different passwords, for example, or whatever— one for backup, another so you can get to the wallets even faster and don't have to enter the private key or a backup anywhere.
It's all a great thing. I think it's really, really cool what Bitcoin brings us here. Peter Schiff seems to have bought some Bitcoins to profit from the prices because, quite honestly, he certainly didn't see the advantages of Bitkom. If I don't believe that a central party trusting his wallet provider doesn't have much to do with Bitcoins and hasn't really noticed much, and has basically just been speculating on the prices, then the price has dropped a bit again in the last few days.
Well, what do I mean by "the last few days"? A few hours ago, Bitcoin was still over $9,000, and as you can see up here at the bakery, Bitcoin is currently at $8,653. So that's definitely dropped quite a bit. I think $500 in the last 24 hours, that's about 34 percent. It's not exactly earth-shattering; we've seen significant increases before, so I'm not feeling particularly negative about it.
I think Julian also made a video recently. I found it kind of funny. In 2017, he said either Bitkom would go under... $60,000 or $5,000 or both, maybe they'll reach $ 5,000 first, then $60, and I thought to myself, that's complete nonsense. Bitkom will never fall that far, not even $5,000. And what did we see?
We saw $3,500. And Julian Horst just said with the stock-to-flow model that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by 2020. I almost said 2009/10. I'm not bullish on it now, and of course I don't blindly trust Julian Horst. Yes, completely logical, but he sometimes says cool things, and he also says things that are often true.
Of course, not everything he says is always true, especially blind trust. If you look at what he's done in the past, then maybe you shouldn't blindly follow him, but you shouldn't do that with anyone in general. So I still like Julian Horst for what he brought to this German Crossbase, for all the conferences he's spoken at.
He's probably introduced so many people to the whole topic. Introduced, one can have Julian Haspa for me what he does. Of course, one can say and critically question whether the projects he relies on are good or bad, but the water in general on his YouTube channel, this education he conveys, that's definitely good and that makes me happy.
And these videos, whether Bitcoin makes hundreds of thousands rich in 2020 or whether Bitcoin only reaches 100,000 in five years or maybe only in ten years, is ultimately completely irrelevant because nothing will change in the technology, only the price changes. Of course, the technology does advance a bit, cool things are added, but features don't actually get lost, they say that's always the case, so Bitcoin only ever gets better.
So I think it's great, I think Bitcoin is really, really great, and Peter Schiff does n't see it. And I know that even in the dot-com bubble, many people couldn't have seen that people used to laugh at Bill Gates and say that the internet will never catch on. There were some people who said that the whole world might have a need for five Computers, and nowadays everyone has a high-performance computer in their pocket compared to before.
I do n't even know how much RAM my smartphone has now. Back then, my first laptop, about ten years ago, had one gigabyte of RAM and a 1.7 gigahertz dual-core processor. I think my phone now has an octa-core or hexa-core processor and maybe 12 GB of RAM or something like that. So you can just see how far technology has come.
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, veritable empires, and other decentralized platforms will certainly continue to spread and bring a lot of value to this space. To say that cryptocurrencies will never amount to anything is complete nonsense. We will never forget what this technology offers and its advantages.
It's just like riding a bike or driving a car, or whatever. You won't forget it. You certainly wo n't forget it once you've mastered it, and that's very, very important. That means we will never forget this technology. That's why it's also nonsense to say this technology won't prevail. Eventually, it will all prevail.
I ask whether it will be Bitcoin, or something else, or something we don't even know about yet. But it will prevail, one hundred percent. I would bet all my money on it if there were a way to invest in decentralized technologies. Of course, we have the option to invest in Bitcoin and hope it goes up, but we can't just say, "Yes, I'm investing in Italy." The idea simply doesn't work.
You have to invest in products, and I 'm skeptical whether Bitcoin is really forever. I wonder if someone will eventually replace Bitkom. But right now, it just doesn't look like it, and it doesn't look like anyone will replace the holidays either. Who would that even be? I can't imagine that it will continue to run smoothly for four years without any problems, without any strange bugs where people lose their money and who knows what else.
Just switching people to a nearby platform or something... I can't I can't imagine it. Neo would have to be vastly superior to me. To be honest, it's not about this smart contract platform. Another platform would have to be significantly better than another; a little bit is pointless. They have to be substantially better to dethrone the current platform.
Currently, look at call market cap; it's deep in second place, and many people are developing for i4i. Especially since it has the highest acceptance, very few would say, "Yes, we're going to a smaller platform." That would be shooting the projects in the foot. It's quite simple: as long as it works and other platforms aren't significantly better, they probably won't dethrone it.
That's just how it is. And it's the same with Bitcoin. Bitcoin is extremely secure and very decentralized. The next few years will be completely different, but it's definitely still very secure and very decentralized, and certainly still relatively cheap when you compare it to what might come in the future.
Negative interest rates... I think Bitcoin is definitely the best choice if you're moving larger sums of money, or if you want to store your money. Gold has the disadvantage of being relatively immobile. Sure, I could put gold bars in my pocket, but theoretically, you could memorize 12 words, or you could create some kind of mnemonic device to learn them from.
That works. You can always take Bitcoin with you somewhere, or I could put a piece of paper in my pocket. That works too, but is it really that simple to just put a piece of paper in your pocket instead of a gold bar? And yes, you have various advantages because of this, and Bitcoin is completely decentralized.
I also believe that power outages wo n't significantly affect Bitcoin. Honestly, how likely is it that the internet will experience a major outage? There are plenty of people with solar panels or solar power banks, and water... So, I just do n't think that Bitcoin will be significantly affected by a power outage.
Maybe some people won't be able to make transactions for a while. But the chain definitely won't be deleted, and we can definitely continue living with it afterward. So much chatting and lots of content as always, all clear. Hopefully, we'll see each other in the next video. Thanks to all the viewers, and I wish you a wonderful day. See you then!
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