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O jeito Peter Lynch de investir - Comprei esta ação com dividendos de 14%

Mestre dos Dividendos · 2020-02-23 · 유튜브 시청 2,112 · Board Views 0 · International

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저자: MestredosDividendos · 외국인

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결론: 에너지 중류(midstream) 기업 Noble Midstream Partners를 14% 배당수익률 등을 근거로 매수했다는 개인 분석 영상으로, 특정 종목 매수 추천이 아님을 명시. 사업 개요: 미국 DJ 분지(콜로라도)와 델라웨어 분지(텍사스)에서 원유·천연가스·담수 관련 서비스를 Noble Energy 및 제3자에게 제공하는 성장형 유한파트너십이다. 재무 지표: 나스닥 상장, 시가총액 약 17억 달러, 매출총이익률 43%, 순이익률 20%, ROI 21.5%, 배당수익률 14%, 배당성향 81%, PER 5.89, PBR 1.0 수준으로 제시. 5년 추이: 자기자본 2.64억→11.54억 달러, 연매출 0.88억→7.03억 달러, 순이익 0.38억→1.46억 달러, 주당순이익 2.40→17달러로 성장했으나 순이익률은 43%→53% 등으로 일부 악화, 부채비율(부채/자본)은 0에서 상승. 주주 구조: 내부자 지분 62%, 기관 37%. 대형 기관(골드만삭스, JP모건 등)의 편입 가능성이 향후 상승 요인으로 언급. 내부자 거래: 2020년 2월까지 임원들의 매수가 이어졌으며, 발표자는 내부자 매수를 긍정적 신호로 해석. 리스크·조건: 부채 증가 추세, 에너지 업황 의존, 발표자 본인도 투자 권유가 아닌 개인 분석이라고 명시. 피터 린치 기준(PER 15 이하, 이익성장률 기준)과의 부합 여부도 논의. 출연자 전망: 발표자는 해당 자산을 이미 매수했으며 추가 매수 의향을 밝힘. 다만 대상 자산 중 본 영상에서 언급된 종목은 없음.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Hey everyone, how are you all doing? We're back with another video on the channel, and today we're featuring an excellent dividend-paying company. It's a company that isn't very big yet, and I believe that in the future it could become a Timberland giant. Those who have read Peter Lynch's book will understand what I'm saying.

02. Okay, and there might be some carnival music playing here because I live downtown, and we have kids, unfortunately, this difficult time of year is carnival, so if there's any carnival music playing, please forgive me, but it's because we live downtown here, this phase is terrible. But let's get to our investments.

03. We're starting with a company that basically works in the energy sector. It works with contracts for oil, so it works with contracts for petroleum, oil, gas, and freshwater. Okay, let's take a look at a summary of its company profile. Nubia Me Simpatias is a growth- oriented limited partnership formed by Noble Energy to own, operate, develop, and acquire midstream infrastructure assets.

04. Our assets reside in the use of the most resilient oil basins in the United States, DJ based in Colorado and DSA based in Texas. In these areas we provide crude oil, natural gas and water-related services to Noble Energy and third parties. In Denver Jonesburg, Colorado, we have dedicated areas encompassing approximately 300,000 acres, or 235,000 here within the 9M area and 65,000 from third parties.

05. We have approximately 111,000 acres dedicated in Willis County at the Delaware Basin where we will provide crude oil, natural gas and water services on a medium-term, long-term, fixed-rate basis. In addition to the changes, there are existing buildings and cultivated areas. 9M has granted us preferential rights in a combination of intermediate assets.

06. The retained assets include natural gas processing and gathering facilities serving the Stefani area in the DJ Basin and approximately 31,000 acres in Web and Denis Countryside in South Texas. 9M Limits Tree Park Lins owns and operates the Advantage Park Line, the 16-inch Common Carrier crude oil pipeline serving the southern Delaware Basin region.

07. Okay, so this is a venture with an apprentice to American Pie online. Okay, here we'll see the structure that makes up these companies. We can see that BLX, which is here in this darker blue square, belongs to the MBL group, which is also another publicly traded company. And NBRX underwent a spinoff; it left here, but it still belongs to and is part of NBR, which is publicly traded on the American stock exchange.

08. Okay, and there are other companies as well that you can see are part of this whole organizational chart or structure, let's say. Okay, now let's talk about where this company operates. So, on the North American map, we can see the DJ Basin, Fernando Pezinho. You can scroll down here; we'll click on DJ Barzinho, and here's an explanation of the basin.

09. Okay, and you can select here, for example, I want to see this growing basin. You'll click on it; it will explain the service that requires crude oil, produced water, and dedicated freshwater. Okay, the companies have a capacity of 60 million barrels of oil per day, and produced water as well. Okay, so you can see more later.

10. Okay, so you can relax and see what the capacity of each basin is. For example, here now, in the Permian basin, it will open another map. It will explain that it's a sedimentary basin largely contained in the western part of the American state of Texas and the southwestern part of the state of Mexico.

11. It extends from Sudoku, south of Medulla and Odessa, stretching westward to the southeastern part of the adjacent state of New Mexico. Okay, so here are some small details. You can click here within this basin on the PAIF line, which is the oil or gas transmission line, for example, in this case, it 's an oil pipeline service.

12. Okay, so here's the PAIF line, and its information, capacity, and the companies that work there. So if you want to see more easily where this company operates and what services they provide, you click here on operations, and then click here on this little map where we operate. It will open the map. You can click, for example, here on this basin, and it will open.

13. You can click on Mustang, and there's a whole explanation. Basically, this company works with... oil. Okay folks, great, so we've covered a bit of this company's business, which operates in the areas of crude oil, natural gas, and fresh water. Okay, we have a bit of the business of what it supplies or what it sells.

14. Now let's move on to the financial part of this company. Okay, here are the 2019 figures: the stock exchange is on Nasdaq, the base is in Texas, the sector is energy, the oil and gas industry, its IP address is 2016, but it's a company from 2014. Currently, it has 160 employees, its market capitalization is $1.7 billion, its gross margin is 43 percent, its net margin is 20 percent, its ROI is 21.5 percent, its dividend yield (which people like, and I do too) is 14 percent, very good, very good.

15. The payout ratio is currently 81 percent, meaning it's paying dividends with a certain margin. Its price-to- book ratio is 1.0, and its price-to-earnings ratio is 5.89. Peter Lynch would like this, and below is the website: display.com. So basically, what Peter Lynch talks about in his book is that, among many things, he always has a price-to- earnings ratio below 15 or 10 and an earnings growth rate above 5 or 10 percent until 20,000.

16. This is a possible delivery, but that will be for another video, okay? Moving on, to the balance sheet, here we can see the evolution of this asset's equity. It went from $264 million in December 2015 to currently $1 billion and 154 million. Annual revenue went from $88 million to $703 million, so it's close to one billion.

17. The net profit margin is 43 percent, it fell to 20, but 20 is still an acceptable rate. Its annual net profit went from $38 million to $146 million, very good. Its annual earnings per share went from $2.40 to $17, so it shows strong growth. And the crazy heart also went up from $1 to $3.8, and earnings per share increased by 300 percent, very good.

18. The dividend per share started paying dividends in 2017, and as we can see, it almost doubled; currently it's at 2.51 cents. The dividend payout ratio for earnings per share, we can see, went from 42 to 1 percent, meaning it's increasing its payout ratio. The cash flow is excellent. The debt-to-equity ratio is also increasing; this is a point we need to be aware of because it's still under control, but for it to grow, it's having to raise money.

19. 1.8 is still acceptable; let's see the next steps. But the debt-to-equity ratio also grew, but it 's still within the acceptable range, meaning the debt is growing, but the IBDA is also growing, so it's still below 3. Speaking of the evolution of the indicators in the last five years, it followed 300 percent.

20. It improved annual revenue; it increased by 700 percent in the last five years. Net profit also increased by 284 percent, but the net margin also decreased. 53 percent was 43, according to a worsening of the fundamentals, the dividend per share rose forty-three percent considering that it started paying in 2017, if I'm not mistaken, in 2015 it was 0, the payout also with the same criteria as in 2017, if I'm not mistaken, from forty -three percent to 81, it rose 88 percent, and the two debt indicators went from zero to values ​​of 84 and 2.8 times, so in both cases a worsening considering that it had no debt, it is now taking on debt to grow legally here, regarding the figures, the shares in circulation in 2014 were 36 million, currently it is 41 million, the biggest roundabouts here is that we have 62 percent of the shares are secured by the "sim sabes," that is, people who are inside the company, that is, people who are inside the company have privileged information and do not release the information, currently 62 percent of the shares are so coveted, it is interesting information, thirty- seven percent The shares are insured by institutions here.

21. Another interesting thing that Peter Lynch says is that we're looking for decorations that the big ones haven't entered yet because the day these funds enter the market, it will go up. Here below we have other information about the funds, right? And they hold these files. So we can see that there are funds here that aren't very large or well-known.

22. Actor Toys has 10 percent of the shares, LPS has 4 percent, FMR has 2 percent, Agrofield, the first one here that's already entering, has 2 percent of the shares, and Whitehead has 87 percent of the shares. So, just to conclude this part about the funds, what I call large funds are Blackhawk, Goldman Sachs, and JP Morgan.

23. You can see that the five largest institutional funds aren't them. The day these funds enter the market, if they do, there's a great possibility of appreciation. That's right, in line with Peter Lynch's analysis, I studied the insights of this company, right? So I used the Guru Focus website, which has a video on the channel; I'll leave the link in the description.

24. This is a great site for analyzing American stocks, so we can come here and see that up until 2020, the insiders here, from the boss or director to you, are buying. I just responded to news on sites here, they states here, they are buying. Bye bye bye bye. So, for example, this guy bought 1,000 shares on February 14th, that is, this month.

25. Now, with privatizations, more people bought Christian. Christian with 1,050 shares. Salinas bought 1,700. What does that mean? Peter Lynch, he said he had a... you know, if I'm selling, it doesn't mean much. He might be selling to make a future purchase of another asset, a trip, etc. But it's different when the insider is buying.

26. The insider buying can be indicative that the board believes in the operation and what is currently planned for the future. It 's not very common to see a list of stocks that you'll only have. It's going to be interesting, so this is information here, remembering that this is not a buy recommendation.

27. I am not an analyst. I am doing an analysis of this asset from the perspective of PT Link and why I bought... And I have and will buy more of this asset, so it's a personal analysis. In conclusion, the movement of the trials in the last two years is 100 percent buy. Okay, that seems like a good thing.

28. That's it for today. Here's a picture of the guy. If you haven't read his book, it's worth it. Did you like the analysis? Leave a like, leave a comment, and if possible, share this video and spread it with your friends because that's why we continue. So that's it for today. A hug, good investments, and until next time, bye bye. Hey, hey!

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