저자: TheChartGuys · 외국인
요약 보기
5G 관련 종목 기술적 분석 영상으로, 단기 약세 가능성과 일부 종목의 강세 지속 가능성을 함께 제시함. 5G ETF는 일일 상승추세가 깨지고 헤드앤숄더 패턴이 나타났으며, 2504 돌파 여부가 일봉 추세 전환의 핵심 기준이라고 봄. 2500 하회 시 일봉 하락추세 확정, 2454 저항 확인 시 통제된 숏 기회로 제시. AVGO는 309달러 지지선 이탈 여부가 핵심이며, 2688 이하 마감 시 일봉 하락 전환을 예상. 310대 회복 시 중요 저항으로 봄. MRVL은 2577 이탈로 일봉 추세 약화, 2688 돌파 전까지 갭 구간 등락 관찰. 상단 저항 2577, 하단 지지 2391 제시. SWKS는 9529 지지 이탈 시 하방 지지가 거의 없어 큰 숏 기회로 언급. 시장 전반이 약세일 때 유효하다는 조건부 시나리오. ADI는 일봉 상승추세 유지 중이나 107.52까지 열려 있으며, 108.67 상단 회복 여부를 확인하라고 함. 단기 방향은 중립적 관점. INSG는 일봉 상승 깃발형 조정 가능성을 언급하며, 6.30달러 부근 지지 테스트 후 강세 재개를 기대. 이탈 시에도 깃발형이면 추가 하락 제한적이라는 시각. 출연자는 기술적 분석 중심이며 장기 전망은 제시하지 않음. 모든 전망은 차트 패턴과 가격 레벨에 근거한 단기 시나리오이며 조건부 표현이 많음.
다듬은 글
alright guys let's take a look at the 5g sector starting off with our ETF 5g today was a big red day that turned into a green day for a lot of the tickers the SP and 5g really reflected that the key thing today we've lost 24 54 and we've lost 24 27 so we have lost our daily uptrend we're seeing an execution this head and shoulders now the question is how far do we go in this execution and at what point if and when do we establish that lower low on the daily timeframe and start heading back up to our key level which we're now watching 2504 on the daily for 5g and the reason we're watching that is we need to determine have we changed from his daily up train of higher highs higher lows to a daily downtrend of lower lows and lower highs if we get anything under 2500 for that is gonna be confirmation of our daily downtrend and we will be playing that accordingly but we'll be pleasantly surprised if we break over 2504 in which case we'll still need to establish a higher low on the daily and we'll be watching very closely to see what happens there right now bearish breaks some key levels lost we may get another attempt to see if we have any support at 24 24 27 tomorrow we also have low of day support 24 15 I'm curious to see what's going to happen this is a lot of volume and there's a big lower wick here both definitely close strong today on the 5 minute timeframe let's take a look at that here's that big lower open bulls pretty much owned the day a lot of momentum heading into tomorrow so let's see what happens if we get underneath 24 54 and it acts as a resistance that is going to be bearish on the daily timeframe and something that we could look for would be an open right around here come up to hit 24 54 maybe even a couple times and then hit a slow and methodical daily downtrend or a 5-minute downturn inside the daily period a lot of speculation but that's what we do technical analysis we take a look at the evidence that we have and try to come up with some game plans so if I see rejection from 2454 I'll be looking for a controlled short opportunity on 5g if we open above it I'm gonna see if we can back test that level and have the momentum that the Bulls have carried forward today carry forward into tomorrow's trading action let's take a look at AVG oh this one is interesting we talked to this yesterday a big strong dominant close by the Bears driving the price down we opened glow we saw a spinning top and what's really key is that we had that low 90 or $309 we're gonna get 90 from $309 and that was our low support must need must hold level for us and we actually came up test level to the penny today as our high a day so absolute clear line in the sand we need to watch that through your nine level that will come into play again in the future so be keeping a close eye on that we've lost the Bailey uptrend on AVG oh we have an indecision candlestick so the same thing applies we need to see it we're gonna change this daily uptrend into a daily downtrend we need to carve out our basis support see if we can't get the reversal and then the daily level that we are going to try and get over it's three 2018 anything under that it's going to be daily low or high and a continuation of this pattern so on the 15-minute timeframe a lot of indecision today here's that lower open big push by the Bears a lot of volatility in both directions and bulls closed the day off with a little bit of strength but nothing really to write home about 309 if we get back up there will be an important level for us to test tomorrow Mr VL in the daily timeframe very similar setup a loss of 25 77 same story we're gonna look for that lower high and see if we are in a daily downtrend our daily level that we need to break is 2688 so we're currently expecting a lower height underneath that level to lock in this daily downturn we have filled this gap by creating another gap let's see if we can get a little bit of strength tomorrow to the upside key resistance level 25 77 in today's high am day he is 25 38 and if we continue to the downside our next support in the Daley's 2391 and today's low of day 24 52 SW KS a little bit of strength we still held 95 29 so if bulls can pull things together and the other 5g ETF or 5g stocks and the 5g ETF of wish SW KS is a large component then we have the possibility of seeing some very positive moves in SW KS the bulls are holding on much stronger than they are and the other tickers we've maintained our support in 95 29 and today's the low of day 95 63 we also have EMA 26 support on the daily looks right where we opened so we need to establish are we gonna continue this daily equilibrium of our high are low or lower high higher low are we gonna break a ninety five twenty nine tomorrow if everyone else is moving up strongly tomorrow morning we see some optimism in the markets during pre market I'm gonna be looking for an upswing and see if we can't get a lower high underneath what was that key level 101 twelve if we break 95 twenty nine I'm going to be looking for a daily downtrend and in the case of s wks we still have a key level of a break and we don't have very much support underneath that at all so if a red market shows up tomorrow and our r5g etf and our 5 g stocks are all showing red as well big short opportunity at s w KS loss of 95 29 no support for quite a ways that little closest support is in the hein anyone's adi on the daily timeframe similar to the other setups a little bit stronger we are still in this daily uptrend we could go all the way down to 107 52 however I would like this to see a bounce above that level and hold the low of today 108 67 a little bit of a crapshoot right in the middle of some ranges here so I would look at the four hour time frame and the hour let's see if we were oversold and look for some sort of change in direction right now we've got a new high on the hourly but we have quite a ways to go to establish a higher high overtop of 111 86 so far we were just in the hourly downturned currently looking for resistance and as what has been historically an important level at EMA 26 which would be right around 110 93 so going back to the daily timeframe very close to the low of a resistor long day support from candlestick on a second yesterday I and SG the Beast continues to show some strength and in this case resilience everyone else is very red except where of course our friend SW KS but we are looking at some important consolidation we are way overdue for daily consolidation on I n SG still at 70 to 28 for our timeframe just getting back to 70 and an hourly were happy at 50 to 49 so what are we looking for I NSG we need more daily consolidation we can do that just fine going sideways and if we have another day like today it will be looking a lot like a bull flag with a couple of red candles nice and tight setting up that consolidation that we need so we're watching this very very closely so far I will be looking for us to stay very close to love day under at six hours thirty cents if we get some break of that level so let's say we lose 6:30 and we no get a lot of follow-through that's perfectly fine that's the sort of thing we expect to see when we're looking at at both legs did you yeah both flag situation and what I mean by that is we can come down break that level and just oscillate continually setting these lower lows the lack of follow-through and the lack of commitment by the Baris will show us that there is still some bullish pressure here and they are willing to buy these little dips and the inability of those bears to sustain the attack and drive the price down adds credence to the idea that we're going to be in a bull flag so watch for weak breaks of the lows on these potential bull flag swings right now we'd be looking for a test at 6:30 just below that let's see what sort of follow-through we can get and let's see how this day of the consolidation rides out we are in blue sky territory so all we need is the Bulls to resume their attack and we will see some good upside potential
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