저자: BobThomason채널—출연자소속미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
비트코인이 기존 화폐·가치저장 수단을 대체할 것이라는 낙관론을 중심으로 한 영상이다. 핵심 결론: 비트코인은 금 2.0이자 장기적으로 유망한 가치저장·거래 수단이며, 향후 10년 내 큰 가치 상승이 가능하다는 주장. 발언자는 자신이 헤지펀드와 개인 계좌에 비트코인을 보유하고 있다고 밝히며, 비트코인이 제3자 중개 없이 가치를 교환할 수 있는 최초의 분산형 수단이라고 설명한다. 시장 규모 논리: 한 분석가(Rick Falkvinge로 추정)는 비트코인이 글로벌 외환시장의 1~10%를 점유할 수 있다고 보며, 이는 비트코인당 약 1만~100만 달러에 해당한다고 주장한다. 또 다른 전망으로, 1,000~10,000달러 구간에서 추가 매수세가 붙고 1만 달러 이상에서 더 많은 참여가 있을 것이라 예상한다. 3년 내 1비트코인당 1만 달러 전망도 언급된다. 발언자는 시가총액 ÷ 유통량 방식으로 역산하면 비트코인당 200만~500만 달러가 나온다고 보며, 10년 뒤 50만~100만 달러 수준을 예상한다. 리스크 인식: 기술 초기 단계이므로 상승과 하락 변동이 있을 것이며, 과세 등 제도적 처리는 불가피하다고 본다. 기술적 가치: 블록체인 암호화 기술이 전 세계 빈곤 감소에 기여할 잠재력이 인터넷 이후 가장 중요한 발명이라고 평가한다. 권유: 시청자에게 비트코인 지갑을 만들고 직접 사용해 볼 것을 권한다. 다만 '1개만 사면 충분하다'는 등 과장된 매수 권유도 포함된다.
다듬은 글
Bitcoin and things like it is the equivalent of the red pill okay we are entering a completely world of Uncharted water right have you made any investments in Bitcoin so I mean I personally I own Bitcoin in my hedge fund I own Bitcoin in my fund I own Bitcoin in my private account uh it is a huge deal it's a huge huge huge deal because what you're talking about right now is for the next 3 to 5 years an unbelievably better store value it is gold 2.0 I think this is a currency a currency that's really going to work eventually well I think it is working um and there will be other currencies like it that may maybe even better um but in the meantime um there's a big industry around Bitcoin and um you know people have made fortunes out of Bitcoin Bitcoin there is no Bitcoin company there is no uh Bitcoin building there's even not even a Bitcoin server anywhere that you could shut down it is completely distributed um that's what's unique about Bitcoin it is for the first time way for the two of us to exchange value online without a third party intermediary until the invention of Bitcoin for you and me to exchange money online we had to employ a third party like PayPal like Visa like MasterCard right now we live in a 21st century if we want to have a video call to China we can do that for free but to send a couple hundred bucks which is essentially just ones and zeros being moved around costs 5% plus takes over a debt Bitcoin is exciting because it shows how cheap it can be uh Bitcoin is is better than currency and that uh you don't have to H be physically in the same place and of course for large transactions currency can can get pretty inconvenient you'll see Bitcoin trading at 1,000 2,000 5,000 10,000 Rick fvia does an excellent analysis he predicts that Bitcoin will capture between 1 and 10% of the Global Forex Market which implies a price of between $1 100,000 to a million dollar per Bitcoin most of the people who are on the sidelines not buying Bitcoin today will start to buy Bitcoin when it gets over a th and then a greater percentage of people will definitely plow into Bitcoin when it starts to get over 10,000 still predicting Bitcoin $10,000 per Bitcoin in three years cus he is the CEO of zapo which is a Bitcoin wallet and Bitcoin ball I think it's mostly a very positive thing I think we're going to see ups and downs like with any other emerging technology but I think Bitcoin is here to stay and it makes sense that that it be taxed and treated like any other so let's make a boat call here in 10 years what do you think Bitcoin will be worth one Bitcoin between half a million dollar and a million dollar a lot of people are just seeing the charts and thinking how high will it go what I'm doing is counting backwards I mean this is a transactional this is a transactional currency and it is a store of value as such it is a product and a service competing on a very tangible market for stores of value and for transactional currencies so what is the what is the size of that market right and this is important and how much how big a market share can Bitcoin realistically take within a uh foreseeable time frame when you ask that question then you come up with a with a market cap of Bitcoin total and then you divide that by the number of Bitcoin in circulation by that by your estimated time and seeing how Chinese are buying Bitcoin like crazy I actually had to adjust this number upwards but then you come up with a number of about 2 to five million dollars per Bitcoin I suggest that everyone go back to buy one Bitcoin uh not not too much only one is enough if everyone is this worth people uh just to go back byy one Bitcoin you know the Bitcoin value go to the $1 million and when they Bitcoin have $1 million you know the all around the world will be crazy and everyone will be the follow and other digital currency just be you know um be gr of the Bitcoin so for me I think uh for a lot of people they don't exactly understand why why is Bitcoin is Bitcoin the currency of the future or is it the payment system they're developing Bingo it's the payment system it's the blockchain encryption and there there are interesting things I think Bitcoin or the really blockchain encryption that's behind it has a greater ability to bring more of the world's population out of poverty than anything we've seen if you're new to bitcoin take your time to go out there and Google it and learn about it it truly is one of the most important inventions in the history of humankind and certainly the most important invention since the internet go out there make a Bitcoin wallet get involved start using it learn about all the positive ways in which this is going to improve the lives of every single person on the planet uh get involved do today it's going to help everybody thank you
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