저자: Jack · 한국인
요약 보기
3배 레버리지 반도체 ETF(SOXL, 자막상 XXL/XOX로 표기)는 큰 폭 하락 후에도 반도체 슈퍼사이클 기대로 매력적이라는 주장. 개별 종목 상승여력 수치(인텔 5%, 브로드컴 14%, 엔비디아 39% 등)를 제시하며 TSMC만 -2.1%라고 언급. 텍사스 한파로 인한 공장 가동 중단 리스크와 FOMC 변수를 짚으면서도 저점 매수 관점을 긍정. 결론적으로 올인은 위험하며 3배 레버리지 대신 다른 대안(xxx, 자막 불명) 및 장기 분할매수, 포트폴리오 5% 비중을 권고. 과거 상승 이후 시점의 영상이므로 현재 가격 판단과 무관.
다듬은 글
Hello, this is Jack from "I Should Have At Least Bought Stocks." Today, I would like to address the XOX situation directly. Yesterday, in my f-ngu video, I discussed the risks associated with a 3x leverage scenario. XXL showed a significant decline, falling by as much as 15% to 94%. However, since this semiconductor sector is not yet in a supercycle trend and shows ample growth potential, it seems you believe that buying now is the right time.
I could also gauge your significant interest in XXL through the volume of Google searches. As you can see, the search volume for XXL is surging, showing a much larger difference compared to the period between March and September, which was referred to as the "first movement." It seems you are considering XXL as the answer to recover your losses.
Therefore, I would like to summarize what XXL is, the upside potential of the stocks within it, and the risk factors we need to check. I am confident that watching this video until the end will be of great help in making that decision. Subscribing and liking give me great strength, so please make sure to do so.
First, since there may be some who are unfamiliar with XOX, I will briefly explain it before moving on. XXL is an ETF that tracks the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. The semiconductor industry encompasses fields such as design, manufacturing, and supply; this index reflects the collective stock prices related to this industry.
You can see 3x leveraged stocks behind it that have achieved significant returns since the COVID-19 lows, consisting mostly of representative semiconductor companies listed in the U.S. Therefore, while you can expect a major rise, these stocks also carry the risk of a significant decline. Trying to guess your mindset, you have likely heard talk of a "semiconductor supercycle" until you are sick of hearing it.
If this trend continues to grow for another two years, it seems undeniable that these semiconductor companies are guaranteed hits. Consequently, you likely believe this is a complete trend and a golden opportunity to recover your losses. In that case, we intend to delve into whether this XOX situation is indeed a solution to recover our losses, examining each stock one by one from the perspective of the individual stocks.
Excluding 2D G-X and FTI phones, we will look at the individual I have investigated the upside potential based on the 5 votes for the stocks. In the case of Intel, there is a 5% upside potential, with the buy-sell ratio split 12 to 7. Please bear in mind the laughter from the buy-sell ratio. Broadcom has a 14% upside potential, showing a dominant performance with a 20-point dominance.
Texas Instruments has a 14% upside potential, with a buy-to-sell ratio of 9 to 3. As you all know, Nvidia has a 39% upside potential, with the buy-to-sell ratio being dominant at 3 to 0. Qualcomm is likely to rise by 30%, with the large-cap Micron Technology rising by over 30%. Applied Materials is 16%, with a 19 to 0 ratio.
TSMC is the only one showing a gain of -2.1%, and Remy Scheme is 19%. As such, other semiconductor sectors also possess significant upside potential. TSMC, which has risen sharply recently... With the exception of [specific company], it can be estimated that all semiconductor stocks have significant upside potential.
However, a risk factor we must check is the recent negative news related to semiconductors. A representative example is the " semiconductor windfall" caused by production disruptions at companies like Samsung Electronics, NXP, and Infineon due to the cold wave in Texas. You might think that if semiconductor prices rise because of this windfall, it would be of great help to these companies.
However, as seen in the file regarding Texas, operations have been suspended. In the case of these semiconductor factories, it takes a very long time for operations to resume once they are shut down. It is currently difficult to predict, and assuming they resume operations around May, a loss of approximately 1 trillion won would occur.
Furthermore, because the semiconductor industry is interconnected with massive fluid dynamics, the closure of a single factory results in a blow to the entire semiconductor sector due to the ripple effect. However, there are not many negative factors. Following long-term investment in semiconductors and batteries, semiconductors are always considered promising stocks, and it is certain that they are currently entering a super cycle.
Yoo Seung-min, Head of Global Investment Strategy at Samsung Securities, has stated through the media that the semiconductor sector holds value for long-term investment. So far... We have examined XOX and assessed the potential for individual stocks to gauge how much the XOX will rise, while also looking into both risk and positive factors.
To summarize, as I mentioned earlier, the bottom is like the realm of the gods—unpredictable. Therefore, since we are currently at a low point, I believe that investing aggressively by going all-in is risky. Second, we can confirm that the prices of semiconductor stocks are attractive. With the exception of TSMC, all stocks have upside potential and have been dominant during the "rock" phase, so I judge that semiconductor stocks have value.
However, regarding variables such as the US Texas stock not selling and the upcoming FOMC " Four Witches' Rebellion," we need to check these variables. Therefore, as an alternative, I recommend xxx rather than calling for a 3x return. Also, since xxx is currently recording a significant decline, X O X X, which has less credibility, is considered a viable alternative.
Finally, I hope you will refrain from thinking about taking large losses on XS Eloy. I recommend staggered buying from a long-term perspective, and if you do purchase, the portfolio's approximately I recommend adding a 5% weighting to use this as a hatchback. In this bear market, I am also suffering significant losses.
Due to the inherent human psychology of trying to break even, people are seeking alternatives that can surge. Among these, as you can see, we observed a significant increase in the search volume for EXO X. However, I believe that a safer, more protective investment is the alternative. Therefore, rather than focusing on these rapidly rising stocks, I hope you will reorganize your portfolio with a safer, longer-term perspective and take a rest.
Today, I examined the potential for a significant rise in XXL, considering the risk factors and the "positive woman" (a term used to describe small stocks). If this was helpful, please be sure to subscribe, like, and turn on notifications. Thank you.
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