저자: 미상 · 외국인
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2017년 10월 12일 기준 개별 종목 기술적 분석 영상으로, 페이스북·알리바바·바이두·치폴레·테슬라·타겟·CIA 등을 차트 패턴으로 분석한다. 페이스북: 174달러 돌파 여부가 핵심 저항선이며, 이를 넘으면 강한 상승 돌파가 기대된다. 과거 지지선 이탈 후 재돌파(허위 하락 돌파)를 근거로 강세를 주장하며 MACD 상향 교차와 RSI 50 상회를 근거로 든다. 알리바바: 추세선 저항에서 거부당했고 당일 전일 저점 아래 갭하락 마감으로 단기 하락 신호로 본다. 182~183 되돌림 후 185 부근 숏 진입을 제시하며 추세선 하단 약 5달러 아래까지 테스트할 수 있다고 본다. 폭락 예측은 아니라고 덧붙인다. 바이두: 주간 차트상 과거 최고가 약 251달러 부근 저항을 상향 돌파했고 거래량도 동반되어 매우 강세로 본다. 짧은 횡보 후 신고가를 예상한다. 치폴레: 약 302~310 박스권 횡보 후 상단 돌파 조짐으로 보며 단기 목표가 약 321달러를 제시한다. 진행자 본인은 포지션이 없다고 밝힌다. 테슬라: 이전 상승 목표가(384달러) 달성을 복기하고, 365 부근은 숏을 피할 구간, 334~335 또는 304 부근은 롱 매수 매력 구간으로 제시한다. 3월부터 이어진 추세선 이탈 후 반등에 따른 혼조 신호를 언급한다. 타겟: 이전 하락 전망이 틀렸음을 인정하고, 허위 하락 돌파 후 추세선 상향 회복을 근거로 단기 상승을 전망하며 목표가 약 63달러를 제시한다. CIA(종목 불명확, 자막상 'a CIA'): 1년 반 이상 하락 추세이며 추세선·이평선 지지 여부가 핵심이다. 추세선 이탈 시 숏 후보로 보고, 약 45.61 이하 갭다운 시 하락 신호로 본다. 전반적으로 개별 종목 기술적 신호에 집중하며, 리스크 관리(손실은 작게, 수익은 크게)를 강조한다.
다듬은 글
nu money the firs once again that level is right around 170 4 you can see it was this big gap up level that we got rejected at again almost here right there here just a couple of days ago right there and then today we hit it right on the head the high of today was 173 85 pretty much hit it right on the head right there so you can clearly see that this is a level here that you want to be paying attention to so to me looks like we could definitely see a breakout on Facebook number one because well this is just a very bullish stock and it's been going up for basically almost two years now with very little retracements all right so another thing that I want to point out too is we pointed out in the last video we did on Facebook is this false breakdown all right so we had this false breakdown you can clearly see there's a support level it's getting bounced off of many times so you can clearly see this is a key support level we break that support right here on heavy volume there and then we had a sideways trading day and then a gap up right there that was the long signal light there on Facebook when we gapped up back above the support level and now that we see that Facebook has gone higher we can assume this was buying balling we sell a lot of buying volume right there so what I want to focus on too is we've got mac D which is crossed bullish right here we've got RSI which is back above the 50 line right there so what you want to look for is if we can get clear of 174 so if we can clear 174 then we can see a very nice breakout on this stock similar to what we saw over here after breaking out of this sideways trading range we went from 155 all the way up to 175 that was a big time breakout for that stock and right here we traded sideways for pretty much two months just over two months and right here we've traded sideways for about two and a half months all right so we've got even more energy built up on this stock so this is a big if okay it's a big if if we clear 174 so until that happens you know this is still a big-time resistance and we really got to pay attention to that so to me 174 that's the main level really got to focus on that level the next one we're going to take a look at is Alibaba and Alibaba to me today is a little bit of a short-term reversal signal because we clearly got rejected here at this trendline you can see right there and then today we had a gap down in close below the previous day's low to me this is a short signal I think that Alibaba is going to come down and test the lower rail of this trend line which is about $5 below us so you know not call them for any kind of a crash or anything this short-term play right here the best entry would be you know if we got to move up into about 182 to 183 right there on the retrace and then you get an even better entry for that short down to that 185 which is totally possible because we're closed pretty much at the lows of the day and normally when that happens you see some kind of a retrace up so we do get some kind of Rory trace you know that's going to be a good short entry so definitely be looking for something along those lines on Baba the next morning take a look at is Baidu another Chinese name and the Ainu looks much better than Alibaba and that's because we broke over this resistance you know if you back up the chart here I'm gonna go to the weekly timeframe you can clearly see this is previous all-time highs right there at about 251 and we broke over that level here with convincing fashion the other day earlier in the week and on some pretty decent volume as well and then the next couple of days right here very small sideways trading days right there which is to me very bullish because we're just digesting these gains and it just needs a little at a time and a little bit of a break before eventually bouncing and making new highs so very bullish here before Baidu I think it's gonna head higher the next one want to take a look at is Chipotle in Chipotle is looking like it wants to move here head higher I think it's going to at least tag 321 you know we closed over this resistance and we hit it right there later right here right here finally we closed over that resistance right there very compressed look right here I think it's gonna head higher we can look for about 321 in the near term it's very very compressed just sideways trading sideways trading you know kind of the same thing and the reason I think this is going to be the move higher here for Chipotle is because you know if you these other times we didn't trade sideways here like we did like we're doing right now all right we didn't trade sideways right there before eventually moving higher we just kind of trade it up and down and up and then went up there but nothing like this where we traded sideways for about two weeks straight when we're just trading sideways within this range and I'll show you right here with this box I'm going to draw right there then we traded within this what is this range about 302 to about 310 so on the $8 range right there and you can't really draw a box on here or right here before we move higher so got a lot of energy built up and we're breaking out of that box I think Chipotle is going to head higher from we got a couple of things going on here really getting some mixed signals here on this stock I don't personally have a position on it but I thought I'd throw out my analysis for you guys just so you could see we got a couple of things here so first let's review we like Tesla for a long right here we called it out with confidence right there and we hit our target up here near 384 obviously it superseded that target by a few bucks but you know we've pretty much nailed that one right on the right on the head and since then we didn't really call for a short or anything at this level we just exited our position right there and as you can see it broke back below this trendline that started right here in March you can clearly see it's reacting to this level there there here several times here recently one two three and then we broke below that level right here and we called for a short against that term line right here and we headed lower but this day really messed things up for our theory here because you know this is quite the reversal you know we traded lower right there but then this day gapped up and closed over the previous day's high and so I'm gonna go ahead and draw that resistance right here right about 3:58 right there so if you're looking at a short Tesla this is the place to do it you know if we break if we hit about 365 to mean that's gonna be where you don't want to be short on this stock but as far as long as I'd rather get long down here near about 335 even better area to get long in my opinion is right around 3 o 4 so 3 or 4 you can clearly see it reacting there there's a lot of sideways trading right in that 3 or 4 range here on Tesla the next one we're going to take a look at is target and target to me if you have been watching these videos we did on target you know that we thought Tessa I'm sorry target was going to head lower we were wrong on that and you won't hear many people admitting to that saying they were wrong it's just part of trading you're not right every time what you have to do is keep your risk versus reward at a favorable spot so that your losers are small and your winners are big and that you have more winners than losers so we have both of those things so it's really no big deal when you end up being wrong so what I do think now on target is that target is going to head higher because we had this false breakdown okay we broke below this trend line right here and then we had a swift reversal up and back and right here and we've gotten rejected out of each time and now we're over that resistance here we also had some pretty decent volume as well nothing crazy but I definitely think that target is going to head higher up to this resistance I'll lower that long to make it simple right there at about 63 bucks is going to be that near-term target for target the next one we're going to take a look at is a CIA and a CIA we've got a couple of things here this is a must bounce zone for a CIA and we hav here we are bouncing against it so it's really really important to hold this trendline not only in the trendline but we also hav moving average and this trendline and we're gonna see you know is this going to be a continuation of the move lower you know it could definitely be that because you know if you look at the stock it's been in the downtrend since about a year and a half for about a year and a half it's been in the downtrend and right here this could just be a consolidation move to the upside before continuing to move down I really don't know but I'm watching it for tomorrow if we break this trendline then that's gonna be a good short candidate you can see the MACD already crossed bearish and another thing too is we made a lower high on the MACD as well so you're that high on the price and then here's that lower high on the MACD and we've also got our aside back below the 50 line so really got a really got a bounce here on on on this stock so we'll see what happens but really got to watch it tomorrow because this is a very very key level if we gap below about let's call it the loan this day 45 61 we got below 45 61 to me that's going to be a short signal and this one's gonna head lower then get to know us if when you join
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