저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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시장 변동성 속 선별 매수 강조. 과열 고점 추격 매수 지양, 하락 시 분할 매수 권장. JP모건은 저평가 but CEO 신중 발언으로 단기 조정 우려. 크라우드스트라이크는 급락 후 매수 기회로 제시, 마이크로소프트·브로드컴·엔비디아도 저점 매수 관점. P&G는 배당 매력 기반 장기 분할 매수 권장. AeroVironment는 국방예산 확대 기대로 상승 언급. Celsius는 목표가 70 제시하며 인수 완료 긍정 평가.
다듬은 글
[a. other people , to teach hen the market flies like it's been doing, at least until today, you need to be selective. You have to get more choosy because you don't want to start your buying near the highs. And that is often a license to lose money. So in a day where the Dow tumbled 466 points, the S&P shed.34% but the Nasdaq advanced.16%.
I want to show you how a professional comes up with ideas in a tape that's roaring and does so without taking on too much risk that we have a quick downturn while attempting to get the maximum reward. You know that sometimes stock picking is all about not coming in on a stock that's already up 30 or 40% this year.
Instead, you have to accept that you missed it. Not easy. I'm sure you all I'm sure that all of you have one time or another come in on top of a monster move, maybe a seagate yesterday, sand disc earlier today, and wish you would exercise some patience because you would have been better off waiting for your pitch.
And sometimes it just doesn't happen. Pass. Let's go over first the wrong way to do it. You might have decided Monday that it was time to own an oil producer because our government now seems to be in control of Venezuela or at least in control of its petroleum. That was a mistake, an error. You came in near the high.
And more important, if Venezuela boosts its production dramatically over the next 18 months, the price of crude is going to get slaughtered. [crying] At the same time, the banks are starting to bother me. Now, look, don't me wrong. You know, this group is chronically underval. I I have praised it many times to you.
These are tremendous franchises, but we're headed into earnings season. Do you know that in six days JP Morgan reports? I think this the biggest bank is it's cheap. Stocks way too cheap. Actually, 16 times earnings. So, why not buy it now? I am worried short-term because even though CEO Jamie Diamond is a fantastic banker, he's also a really cautious person.
He's not going to get on his conference call and crow that his stocks undervalued. He's far more likely to talk about the potential landmines out there. Jaime is a straight shooter. There's nothing bad about that. When things look ugly, he tends to tell you what could potentially go right. When things look good, as they do now, he tends to tell you what could go wrong.
The House of Fame. I love that. But the media will take the comments out of context and the and they're going to present him as an extreme pessimist who's worried about the next credit crisis. Remember his comments last quarter about the blow up of a subprime lender Tricolor and the collapse of First Brands, the giant auto parts conglomerate.
Both casualties within the same month of September last year. JP Morgan took $170 million loss on Tricore. Not his finest moment, although it's barely more than a rounding error for the company. Then Jamie on the call lowered the boom telling us, and I'm going to quote, "I probably shouldn't say this, but when you see one cockroach, there are probably more.
everyone should be forewarned on this one. End quote. He acknowledged he was tightening his lending policies and with that admonition, he crushed his own stock. JP Morgan stock dropped from $37 to $294 in a couple days. Many people who bought it in the 300s then dumped it. They panicked. They bought high and they sold low.
And that's not what we want here. And it turns out, frankly, the there really have only been those two cockroaches. But he's a cautious man. You know what? He probably doubled down on the cockroach commentary. maybe lob a bomb or two about the future of the Federal Reserve's independence or the lack thereof.
Now, that's when you want to buy after he lowers the boom, not up here after you run, even after it did get hammered today on a note of caution by an analyst. So, what do you do? You wait for the reaction to Jaime's cautious commentary to give you a better entry point. And if it doesn't happen, pass.
The amazing thing about this stock market is that it's a neverending source of incredible ideas that could make you grow rich. Now look, the ideas don't grow on trees, but they're readily available. You just need to know where to look. Take my morning show, Spoke on the Street. Today, my co-host Carl Cintia turned to me and asked what looked interesting after so many stocks have run.
Now, before I go out there at 9:00 a.m., I always like to scrutinize the charitable trust portfolio that I run in conjunction with the CBC Investing Club, which I wish you joined. As I went down the list, and I literally go down company by company, I was astounded to see the stock of Crowd Strike, the best cyber security outfit run by George Curts, had fallen almost 100 points from its no its highs in November.
The House of I read the most recent research and went over what George told us when he reported last time when he was on our show. I went over what Nvidia's Jensen Wong said about the company, its keynote address and CSC on Mon CES on Monday. Do you know that Jensen's been talking about this 10 trillion dollar transformation, the modernization of enterprise computing via AI and accelerate computing?
Do you know what he said? He said that Crowd Strike is the secure foundation of this revolution. He praised it several times. You know what? Stock didn't do anything. I think that's wrong. So, I told Carl, this is the kind of stock that rarely comes down this much and is almost never this far from its high.
And when it trades like this, what do you have to do? YOU HAVE TO POUNCE. BUY BY. THE STOCK WAS AT $464 at the time. And I said it finished the day at just under $479. Now, they got a nice price if you bought. I'm definitely, by the way, not telling you to sell it. I'm saying that when you can get a good cost basis like you did in Crowd Strike this morning, you're playing with a very strong hand.
Now, if we're let's say we're playing Jin, this kind of like you're dealt a straighten three of a kind. You got two nines with the dealer showing six. If we're talking about blackjacks, it's a terrific way to push the odds in your favor. How about Microsoft? Right? This company's been doing very well, but it stocks been punished by the fact that management wants to spend a fortune on AI.
Ever since Microsoft reported it latest quarter, the stock's going pretty much straight down. How often do you get to buy the stock of Microsoft at $485 after it traded at $555 last summer? I know the answer. Not very often. I can go over how Nvidia Broadcom are down huge too much then they're way away from their highs but well then again I've been recommending them consistently for club members so there's no real revelation there so let me give you another one that's on my radar screen that might intrigue you one that is hated despised one that I wrote up in how to make money in any market as a tremendous company that's become a complicated unloved stock because it's not tech and it doesn't have great growth right now I'm talking about Proctor and gamble.
The Cincinnati Colossus has seen its stock tumble remarkably from $180 in March to $138 today. This is PNG. It doesn't usually have that kind of move. It's a dividend aristocrat. Some people call it a dividend king because it's increased its payout for 69 consecutive years. You're now getting the stock with a 3% yield.
I'm not calling the bottom, but it does have a new co as the opportunity to shake things up. Proctor's already pre-announced a nasty quarter, and it's one of the few consumer package good companies that doesn't have a GOP-1 problem. I got no illusions. I don't think it will necessarily stop at 3%. That's not that high a yield.
Many of the packaged goods companies feel four, five, 6%. Those are mostly food related. How do you approach it? Okay, let's say you want to buy 100 shares tomorrow. Don't only buy 25 shares, then you wait for it to to fall to another level. We yield three and a quarter and then you buy another 25. It gets down low to say 4%.
Be extremely uh that would be a big big move for that be a big dividend big dividend yield. Well, then you can have 50 shares. You have a very nice size position slowly but surely, not at one price. Okay? It's not crowd. It's not Microsoft. It's not broken in Nvidia. But you can't just have all tech.
The bottom line, what you really want are companies with stocks that allow you to take advantage of the magic of compounding and make longer term gains, not trading gains. Longer term. by all means on some unloved tech names, but save room for a quality consumer like company like Proctor and Gamble.
It's momentarily down on sluck. Fantastic franchise, amazing dividend that can after compounding create great value for you and your portfolio. House of pleasure, Mary in California. Mary, hi Jim. This is Mary from Santa Barbara. How you doing, Mary? What's going on? Well, I have inherited um an IRA and um it's doing really great.
My husband was a longtime listener and follower of you and so everything's doing really great as um expected and hoped for. But there's one stock that's a little weird and that's Aervironment AVAV. And I just wonder what you think about the stock. It loses money like crazy and then it gains money and
that's true. But I got to tell you, you got a lucky break after the close. We we heard from President Trump said he wants to make the defense budget go up dramatically. I had like $500 billion. And I got to tell you something. The stock, which went out at $318 at 4:00, is trading right now at 335. And there's nothing funky about that.
That's a terrific company. We have them all the time. All I can say is congratulations. Think about how much money Mary just made. Justin in Pennsylvania. Justin, hey Jim, how are you doing? I am doing well. Justin, how about you? You're from the east coast, east part of Pennsylvania or west? Uh, east coast.
All right, good. Go birds. What's up? Um, so recently I've been watching Celsius closely. Um, the stock has been got getting hammered over the last three months. Um, dropping from the mid60s down to low 40s as investors, you know, are worried about inventory reset and integration risk, right? with a price target of $70.
Is the current price around $50 a screening buy or is that PE ratio still a little too rich for you? Jim, I write this memo in the morning about 10 things I'm watching. It goes to uh anyone who's interested in the investing club and I read I put I read this need piece. That's the one you're talking about with the price target of 70.
I thought it was a little bit aggressive, but you know what? I think it could put 10 points on because the company's doing quite well and it just closed that acquisition. And um, by the way, I always welcome Celsius on the show. They tell a great story. Right. Listen, by all means, own some unloved tech names if you want to.
But what we really want are the stocks that give you tremendous longterm capital gains. Well, everybody tonight, as we head into the new year, I'm taking stock of some of the buzziest IPOs of 2025 and seeing where they are. Like these days, it's not that great a story, but then there's plenty of potential new names in store for 2026, and they could be huge.
I'm going to give you the rundown of the ones I'm watching and how to play them. And with all the uncertainty surrounding oil companies in Venezuela and crude supply, I'm turning to the experts and getting a picture of what to do next when we speak to RBN's Rusty Brazil. S .
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