저자: StockBookie · 외국인
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결론: 엔비디아·AMD·테슬라는 실적 발표를 앞두고 방향성이 불확실하며, 과도한 포지션보다 가벼운 진입 또는 무포지션으로 대응하라는 취지의 차트 분석 영상. 엔비디아: 일봉상 20일선 위로 올라섰으나 최고가 근처에서 횡보 중이며 실적 전 박스권 흐름 예상. 현재 주가 약 810달러. 구글·페이스북·아마존 등 빅테크 실적 발표가 이어지며 차익실현 가능성 언급. 엔비디아 기술적 레벨: 20일·50일·200일선 아래로 다소 스트레스 받았지만 상승 추세 유지로 봄. 실적 결과에 따라 위아래 모두 열려 있다는 입장. AMD: 추세선 저항에서 거부당해 하락 전환, 채널 내 움직임 지속. 실적 발표 당일 방향은 50:50으로 판단. 주요 저항은 15.55달러 부근 피벗, 17.76달러 및 20달러(갭 메움 구간). 지지는 10달러 부근, 9.42~8.66달러 구간 갭 메움 자리 언급. AMD 대응: 대량 매수 금지, 가벼운 포지션 또는 무포지션 권고. 상단 돌파 시 숏, 하락 시 저점 매수 관점 제시. 테슬라: 하락 추세선 돌파 후 20일·50일선 상회로 단기 강세 신호. 실적은 다음 주 8월 2일 예정. 400~410달러 부근 숏 관심 구간 언급, 조정 시 롱 대응 가능성. 전체 시장: S&P500(SPY) 약세 전환 시 관련주 동반 하락, 강세 유지 시 상승 지속 가능성 언급. 실적 전후 과도한 베팅 경계. 리스크: 실적 발표 후 급락 가능성, 빅테크 실적 연쇄 영향, 거래량 얇은 시장에서의 반전 위험 강조. 출연자 전망: 엔비디아 단기 횡보 후 방향 미정, AMD 50:50, 테슬라 단기 중립~강세 시사.
다듬은 글
l right guys Nvidia daily chart 16 million that's pretty much been the uh volume uh for a while now still grinding guys we got above the 20 got Above This pivot we talked about it just kind kind of stalling out at the pivot high and just going sideways into earnings guys so Nvidia is on 810 so we got a couple weeks away still on this one but we had Google on Deck today it was down about 30 bucks it did drag a lot of these names down this one was a $1.95 r on the day or 1.65% no great shakes guys just coming off a double top here in the all-time high just pulling back and possible some profit taking before Google goes off Facebook goes off Amazon goes off and all those big names so right now guys Nvidia just okay just chopping around at the all-time highs still a little bit stressed from the 20 and the 50 and the 200 but in a bullish stance still okay chopping sideways let's see what happens uh the rest of the week with earnings if this cranks up cranks down we will see what happens 5050 shot at the casino guys let's go into AMD guys tomorrow this one's on Deck it was up 28 cents or 2.02% and uh went right into the trend line guys got rejected and straight back down still okay still in this channel tomorrow is the day guys 50/50 shot will it rip up hit these areas up here we had you know let's go into these areas a little bit closer here so we had the Gap fill that's where it stopped in the first place right there if it will come in we have this pivot High here around 1555 okay that's going to be a little more resistance that was the big area before when we got up there and it got rejected down in this area and then we had the nice pullback then let's go back a little further we might have to go back we're going to go to the weekly chart on this one a little bit easier to see so on the weekly chart yeah we got uh that pivot High here then you got to go all the way back gosh even further to 29 you got it so you have this pivot top here right at around 1613 and you have some gaps to fill in here this is the area around here around 1776 that's going to be a big area then as well as the $20 even number too so if you are bullish this one let's go back to the Daily so I can show this a little bit better here's your areas zoom in here we're in this channel remember we're in this channel going up like a big megaphone it's been going up and down up and down here's your areas right here 1776 and the $20 even number which is right up in this area which is a gap fill I believe too if you go back on the daily chart 1776 as well so those are the areas if this thing goes up look for those and of course you're looking at 18 19 and then 20 as it goes up 17 will be natural resistance as well so if this thing pops watch for those areas guys just tighten the stops you don't want this thing to pop and everyone gets excited oh my gosh I'm making all this money and then all a sudden it turns around this drops in your face so just watch out for these guys it has been in this Zone if it does pop above there you have a great chance of going higher if it drops below this trend line and starts hitting these uh the 200 Ma and stuff like that then you better watch out and step aside on these charts here guys because this thing could get um not ugly but if you crack below the trend line here or 1249 we're definitely going 1129 and possibly double bottom I'm going to stick this one in here too so watch for the $10 area and watch for you know around the7 $18 area if it goes up it's about the same way either or 14 to 18 is four bucks 14 to 10 is four bucks so you got a 50/50 shot going either way or maybe we just have a pause day and doesn't do anything but it's AMD everyone's hyped up everyone thinks it's going skyrocketing for me I don't care either way no position if it pops I'm going to short it if it drops I'll look for areas to go long cuz people will buy the dip I like this area here down around 866 you have a gap fill and also I like the $10 area and maybe a little bit lower like right in here around 942 if it does come in this down here it goes up we'll be looking for 18 1776 or wherever it might pop up and then we'll we we'll decide if we're going to take a position in AMD but guys 50/50 shot don't load the house don't don't get your buck kicked on earnings been there plenty of times and now I would just go in with a light position or no position at all and then play it as as you see it pops we're shorten drops we're going to find some place to go long and that's the bottom line on AMD good luck guys tomorrow May the force be with you let's go into Tesla so Tesla had a good little rip session today guys they had to get it above this trend line we talked about this for weeks it's been down sideways Bulls can't handle it guys by the dip here we go going into earnings earnings on Tesla's 82 so it's the following week let's see what happens with that one but right now guys got above the 20 got above the 50 ma Here We Go Again same thing buy the dip go straight up light volume markets this is how it works guys so we got back above the main trend line that's number one we got to see a little more follow through tomorrow maybe fill the Gap Gap window see if it stalls out or do we go sideways and uh continue staying above the trend line if we just come in and reverse right back down then we're going to have to see what kind of a pattern it gives us right now though we're still down and sideways in a bearish pattern even though we're below or above the moving average is in a strong more of a bullish stance still a little bit weak still can still can turn and just go right back down so just keep an eye on this trade if you're in it just don't load the boat like I always say make sure it's small enough so if it does pop the 400 405 410 you have area to short it and if it does drop in you're uh uh short then cover it and go long there'll be great areas to go long there'll be great areas to go short but again 50 50 going into earnings and right now it's oh it's getting a little bit that today was a good day for Tesla we did close above the ma so that's a little bit bullish but down sideways on this uh big three-day down drop you got to watch out for that because uh this can easily click and then go straight down on some news remember Google had okay earnings everything was down a little bit after hour so keep an eye on that and again this one goes off on the uh second watch for those earnings and then we have the am you know Amazon the AMD of course tomorrow the Facebook the Nvidia coming up the apple on the first Tesla CMG tomorrow big earnings guys so just keep an eye on the overall markets if the markets tend to sell off or the Spy starts to go red a lot of these stocks will continue to go down because it will be a market trade if the markets grind higher and stay green these will continue grinding higher I mean markets were down a little bit this one grinded so people just you know buy the dip mentality guys it's still involved I would love for this one to fall or all of them to fall then we can have buy the dip mentality and just ride these things back up so all right guys just stay alive in these markets don't go too heavy in your trades especially going into earning stay buoyant and uh just keep trading guys
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