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Hello friends, you are watching your channel Share Bazaar with Ayush and friends, whenever we hear a word called crash right, then only one thing comes to mind that the current market scenario is going on where the market tries to rise one day and shows decline for the rest of the week. In the last few times, our markets have been seen continuously correcting friends and now we can say that the correction is going on in such a way that there is no strong wave in the market.
We can definitely say that in the last one and a half weeks, the market tried to control itself a bit, but still Nifty is still not able to do much. Same with global markets, you are still seeing a decline in global markets, in fact, we can say that the last week has been very bad. Now, in the meantime, friends, you can call it a veteran investor or a veteran market person who comments on the market, a big statement has come out and who is it friends, this is Mark Faber, yes, Mark Faber, his name is first of all.
Let me tell you who he is. He's a Swiss investor, currently based in Thailand. He's the publisher of the Gloom, Boom, and Doom Report newsletter. It's a fairly famous newsletter, friends. He's the director of Marc Faber Limited. He's also an investment advisor and fund manager. Faber is another director and advisor, and a shareholder in a number of investment funds.
The biggest question is why he gets credit. So, friends, he gets credit because he advised his clients to get out of the stock market before the October 1987 crash. He had already predicted the 1987 crash. Furthermore, in 2005-06, he wrote extensively about a potential crash in home prices, which was the 20078 financial crisis.
He also predicted this in advance, and he advised his investors to get out of the market. So, you can understand why, friends. He's a well-known investor. He is also known as Doctor Doom, he is famous by this name as well and this time friends, the warning that has come from him, the alarm that has come is basically for Indian investors, he has said that you should exit before it's too late, yes, he has said that you should exit before it's too late, that is, get out of the market before too much time passes, so friends, he is basically talking about exiting from equities and he feels that a prolong, that is, a global downturn can be seen for a very long time, that is, the possibility of a recession, friends, he is seen expressing this, he said that if you see a rebound in the market, that is, if you see a little boom in the market, then get out, that is, get out, he also told that he believes that a bear market can come worldwide and it can persist for several years, that is, for a very long time, you can see a bear market for quite a few years and due to this The reason given by him is that inflation creates an illusion of rising returns, that is, inflation may appear to be increasing your returns, but it is an illusion, an illusion because the real value is deteriorating, it is eroding.
Friends, this is being said by him. See, Faber said that last year, a rally was seen in the stock market in the US or India. In this boom, an incorrect retail participation was seen. He has warned that all the investors who have come may have to face huge losses now. He said that last summer there was high participation of retail investors in the US market, that is, there was a lot of participation of retail investors in the US market and the same thing happened in India too.
He said that there are a lot of such investors here who have no clue, that is, who have no understanding. Friends, this has been clearly said by him that when there is a boom in the market, see, a lot of people have come along with the boom. But now those people have come into the market who do not have knowledge of the market, they are saying this.
They pointed out that the speculative frenzy that has happened, that is, the way people have made guesses or the way in which Asia, Tesla and Bitcoin have shown such gains in the market, but they have admitted that these assets have recently suffered significant declines, that is, these three have faced a big decline recently and last month you can understand that Tesla has declined to 30, Asia to 17 and we have recorded a decline in Bitcoin to 13, so they are telling that the selling, the decline in all these has started.
They said that this decline has been seen in the last two months, but they have told Indian investors that you too may see a similar setback. However, if seen correctly, small There are many such shares in the mid-caps which are down to 30, 40, 50 today. There are many such shares in the mid-caps which may be down to 30-40.
Even in the large-caps, if you look at the example of Tata Motors, it has corrected from its top to close to 40-50. So, if you look at the correction in the larger Indian markets, it is obvious that you will see a lot of decline. He also talked about where you can invest. He told that he also has a reputation for how he invests in contrarian ways, that is, he invests in a different way.
He has consistently said that there should be diversification, particularly in precious metals like gold, silver, platinum, right in these places. He has said that the Indian rupee will decline against the price of gold, silver, and platinum, making them a safer bet for Indian investors. Meaning, he believes that if an Indian investor So, they should invest in gold, silver, and platinum.
Money can be seen being made here. He even said that when asked whether global markets are in a bubble, he gave a very skeptical answer. He said that the long-term prospects of the equity market, especially in the US, are described as the biggest bubble in history. He believes that the US market is currently experiencing the biggest bubble and will become the biggest bubble in history.
When he said this, comparing it to the real economy, his warning aligns with his broader investment philosophy. He is advising investors that if they want to take positions, they should look at market sentiment and prepare for the worst-case scenario. In fact, he even criticized Donald Trump, saying that the tariffs he is considering imposing are basically the worst economic intervention you can imagine.
His view is so bad, looking at it currently. So now the question arises whether to believe their predictions and what will come out. Look, it's a simple thing, no doubt, whatever they have done in the past, look, today we can say that everyone is reading about it, understanding it, and whatever they are saying is also being heard, but again, you should always keep in mind that the markets will never move in a straight line, that you are seeing only one thing in the market, which is bullish, bullish and bullish.
It is not like that, look at the markets, sometimes there will be very good buying, sometimes there will be a lot of selling. Currently, you can say that friends, the market is tilted more towards the selling side, that is, it is tilted towards the downside. You are seeing selling in the market, the markets are trying to bring the shares which were not valued correctly to the correct value.
Look, we should always keep one thing in mind, if you are in the market, then obviously there is a risk of both things. First thing is that you may lose a lot of the money you invested. Second thing is that even if you do not lose, it is possible that There are many people who remain stuck for a long time.
Look, there are many people who do not sell their shares, they wait for the value of whatever share they have to come down before withdrawing the money. There is a risk of both these things. So, look, the risk is there in the markets, it is obvious. Look, risk evolves in the stock market, so you should plan accordingly.
Secondly, you will have to check your own portfolio. Which companies do you have? Friends, there are two-three things in that company. First, you have to see whether its revenue is increasing continuously. Second, you have to see whether its profit is increasing. Third, you have to see whether its margins are increasing.
Look, if a company's revenue is increasing but profit is decreasing, then that is an issue in itself. It is possible that this is due to a one-off event. But if this is seen happening continuously in the long term, then there is a problem. Secondly, the company's revenue is increasing, profit is also increasing, but the company's margins are decreasing.
Keep this in mind. If the company's operating profit margin is decreasing, then it is possible that the company is not sustainable. If you are doing this type of work, then also keep this in mind: the markets don't like it very much. The third thing you have to look at is what management is saying, what is the future forecast, are they seeing the current market conditions?
If your company's revenues are continuously declining, profits are declining, and this is not happening for one quarter but for two, three, or four quarters, then one thing you can understand is that some issue or the other is being seen in your company. Right, when a bad market comes, you should understand that when there is a recession, every company will face a recession, but it is not that there will be a decline, after some time the company should recover.
If it is not able to recover, then look at the issue within itself. You will have to understand what kind of portfolio you have, what kind of companies and what kind of shares you have. Only then will you be able to take the right decision. When there is a decline, keep one thing in mind: good shares will also fall, bad shares will also fall.
It is not that good shares survive during the decline, the decline and bad shares are wiped out. Let's go, bad shares may fall more but good shares will also see a fall, so you can understand that if all these things happen then fall will always be part and parcel, just like the rise in the market, there will be a fall as well, the only question that arises is whether you have that company which if it is falling in the fall, can perform double in the rise, you will have to decide that, you will have to look at your company, you will have to understand it, so friends, that was all in this video, hopefully you must have liked the video, tell me what you think, will his prediction come true or not, told in the comment section, that was all in this video, thank you friends for watching this video.
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