저자: jonluc · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라(TSLA)는 주간 차트상 200일 이평선 부근에서 반복적으로 반등해 온 종목이며, 공매도 세력이 번번이 실패해 왔다는 점을 강조한다. 발표자는 현재 주가가 상승 추세의 '버스가 떠난 상태'라 추격 매수는 피해야 한다고 본다. 대신 200일 이평선 부근인 약 228~217달러까지 눌림을 기다렸다가 진입하겠다는 입장이다. 차트 흐름 설명: 2016년 말 이후 주가는 291달러 고점 부근까지 상승했으며, 이번 분기 실적 발표(2월 22일 전후) 이후 하락해 50일 이평선 위에 걸쳐 있다고 설명한다. 발표자의 기본 시나리오는 주가가 237~236달러 부근까지 한 번 더 내려와 테스트한 뒤 반등하는 것이다. 다만 이것이 붕괴로 이어질지, 아니면 291달러 재도전 후 325달러까지 갈지는 불확실하다고 언급한다. 핵심 매수 구간은 180~220달러 범위로 제시된다. 그 구간에 도달하면 자금이 있을 경우 보고 매수하겠다는 입장이다. 리스크: 실적 발표에서 어닝 서프라이즈와 가이던스가 엇갈릴 수 있어 방향 예측이 어렵다. 발표자 본인도 조심할 것을 당부한다. 출연자 전망: 단기적으로는 눌림 후 반등 가능성을 보지만, 명확한 방향 확신은 드러내지 않았다.
다듬은 글
hey what's up YouTube what's up Facebook still got more update for you guys I'm going try to squeeze probably one more in I think I'm going to end it with apple tonight but um I'm going to try to squeeze this one in and we're going to take a look at ticket symbol TSLA a for Tesla Motors Inc all right now this is a stock now you know I've traded this stock a few time all right few time I'm in and out of Tesla in and out of Tesla and so far as you can see this is Tesla on weekly chart the last 3 years you can see every time Tesla come down here all right 200 moving average you have a lot of scary talk then you got earnings then it pops up okay then it pulls back down it go sideways pulls back down it comes to this 2008 moving average and then boom it pops back uh back up all right so Tesla is looking just like the regular overall Market it had a big run right here it came to test this High I don't know why it didn't break this High over here this high was the high of 291 okay we see why it look like by the eyes it came close and this is a high from a few years ago I remember this high right here see 29142 this is where Tesla have to come back in and touch and this is the low right here all right so looking at Tesla Tesla is a is a stock that people have been trying to short this stock trying to bet against the stock and it just haven't worked all right if you know what I'm talking about with Tesla all right analyst say one thing stock have earnings and Miss earnings but have a good outlook okay and the stock move the stock had you know great Outlook bad earnings or vice versa it just there's no way to just stop this stock right here so what do I expect for Tesla to do cuz as you can see this range right here is narrowing down all right either Tesla is soon to collapse or it's going to make another leg higher and come test this uh this 291 right here this Gray Line once it test this high and you can see it can go the stock can run up to 325 easy all right so what am I expecting for Tesla this is a weekly chart let's uh go in and look at the daily chart to see what Tesla's been up to day by day and this is the last couple of days in Tesla like I said I'm not trying to this is the beginning of the year right here as you can see from here from going back to like December 5th all right right after the stock had earnings right here the stock you know they had probably I don't know I can't I don't remember if it beat but it looked like it at a 71 cents I don't remember what the estimate uh was for it to go against but what I know is the stock collaps after after earnings just for a couple of weeks later for this to start to happen once the stock went across the 20-day moving average you see it just powered itself right across the 50 just you know just went right through the the the the the 200 they kind of stag a little bit small little flag pattern and then boom it kept on moving all right this is Tesla this is how powerful this Tesla trade would have been down here once Tesla came back down to test this 184 180 level so me every time you know if my funds are available Tesla come anywhere near this 180 level what's my range 180 to 220 those basically my range where you know if Tesla's in that in those range I don't really don't care I don't even look at anything I just buy it at those at those levels normally all right so right now it's like what I normally would call the bus have left terminal so I would not be trying to chase it up here I would wait for a pullback onto this 200 200 moving average and this is around the 228 2117 like I said my sweet spot 220 180 these These are around these are around my my my price range CU once it comes down to this 220 normally it doesn't hold normally penetrate right through it and goes down to 180 normally with Tesla if you if you traded Tesla a few times all right or if you're used to T trading Tesla so that's why people don't short the stock so if you're trading Tesla you know I told you I would make the video so you know giving you my little take in the last 20 days as you can see it look like it's going to collapse back down to to to the 236 237 level all right so this is my take when Tesla right here cuz 2008 moving averag is right here so it's going to come down here and test this before it moves up cuz I think all the good news is out in Tesla until we have the next earning coming up I'm not sure when but you know this is kind of like my take on what I think is about to happen on Tesla uh just had earnings before just had earnings it look like February 22nd so bad news is off the bag it collapsed after earning as you can see in the charts so now you know it might make another leg up because the news is out it collapsed after earnings and in pop up and now it's sitting on the 50-day moving average so I expect it it's going to come down here like I said before so we'll see how this play out so if you're trading Tesla this is my take on it be careful like I said be careful I'm looking for it to come down to these 220 levels before I jump back in Tesla so if you have any question please feel free to send me the email the number three the letter D consult me at gmail peace
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