저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
영상은 Marc Faber의 보고서를 인용해 인도 장기 강세장(2003년 시작)이 끝나가고 있다는 경고를 소개한다. 발언자는 니프티 50 차트에서 역헤드앤숄더 패턴 가능성을 언급하며 현재 하락 후 반등 시도 중이나 저항선(약 23,500) 돌파 여부는 불확실하다고 본다. Faber 관점으로 미국채 및 실물 금이 유리하고 AI/반도체 버블 우려가 있으며, 인도 증시는 글로벌 유동성·금리·기업실적·인도 성장률·RBI 정책에 좌우된다고 설명한다. 구체적 개별 종목 예측은 없다.
다듬은 글
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As you can see on the screen above. You will get to see the current time market live. Here you can see the price movement at the current time. Please keep this in mind here and today 's date is 21st October. You should keep this thing in mind here also. This Nifty pattern is visible to you on the top of the screen.
Ok? You will see this pattern in the Nifty 50 index. This is the pattern of every candle that you see on the screen. You will see each candle here for one day. You should keep all these things in mind here. Now a report is coming in the market which is quite negative. I will present that report to you.
But before that, does our market actually always react in the same way to every report? no way. Sometimes a lot of reports turn out to be quite accurate. So sometimes many reports prove to be completely wrong. So we should not judge the market just by looking at the report. Now look at our market, if you see it, it would be wrong to say that it is almost one way from the level of 25,000.
In between, we saw some bounces here and there. But mostly selling pressure was seen and we were seen falling from the level of 25,000 to almost around 22,200. Now for the last few days the market is trying to move upwards by taking support. Now look, as I said, here you will see each candle representing one day.
Now look, keep this pattern in mind here. Now you will ask why? So look, those who have knowledge of head and shoulders pattern will know. What am I going to say now? Head and Shoulders Pattern: The reverse of the Head and Shoulders pattern is called Inverse Head and Shoulders. So, here the market can create a similar pattern.
I am not saying that it has been made or is about to be made or will be made, it cannot be made at all. How can I make it now? Now look, first of all the market has created a slight pattern of this type here. There was a big decline. Now the market has come halfway up from here. I am saying this, suppose the market moves upwards like this from here.
It stopped at this resistance. Came down a little again. It can go down as much as it wants right now. It may come this much or it may be that it comes this much and if it forms some such pattern and breaks out upwards then there will be a hope of a good rise in the market. Because this will be considered a breakout of the inverse head and shoulders pattern if this happens.
But right now it is obvious that the market is quite down. Because you will see the resistance level here which is around 23,500. So the market has still not reached here. So it will be interesting to see what pattern the market will form. Will the market succeed in moving upwards by forming such a pattern or not, only time will tell, we will understand in the next few days, next few weeks or will the market move upwards by forming a small crooked inverse head and shoulders pattern here itself, this will also be a matter to be seen, but if the market forms this type of crooked inverse head and shoulders pattern, then that rise cannot be sustainable for long, you people will also have to keep this thing in mind here, so what type of pattern will the market form, we can get a lot of clarity in the market in the next few days.
However, the only good thing is that for the last few days the market has shown an attempt to move upwards by taking good support from the lower level. Now we will have to keep an eye on how successful this attempt will be or will not be. So now let's move ahead and take a look at the main report that is coming.
But before that please like the video. Please share the video. If you have come to the channel for the first time then do subscribe to the channel. And look, the Nifty chart that we just saw, I showed it to you on the Trading View platform. What happens in the TradingView platform is a slight delay chart.
There is a chart of 10-15 minutes back. You should also keep this thing in mind here. But obviously the closing price of the market is important for us. So I have told you the information I had to give. The patterns that are being formed in the market, price action etc. Now what report is coming out in the market?
Let us understand this. So there is a name, this name is of Mark Faber, friends. A big warning is coming out here. But what is this warning about? We have to understand this also. So first of all who is this Marc Faber ? So you will see this editor of Gloom Bloom Dum Report. Ok? You will find this particular editor and he believes that India's long term bull market, which started around 2003, is about to end.
Now look, you have to understand this. Those who are new to this might think that we are talking about 2003. Now where are we in 2026 and on what basis are we saying this? Now look, there are many different techniques of analysis in the market. Technical Analysis: Many people know this term normally.
But there are wave patterns inside it too. Price action occurs. There are different types of theories. There are many different indicators. A lot happens. So every one of you can say is an expert in the market. Everyone uses their own method here. And in whatever analysis they might have done on their own, they have found that our long term bull market, well here we are not talking about medium term, it is a long term bull market which started in the year 2003, in between that you can see that there was a market crash in 20078 as well, there was a market crash in 2020 as well, but they believe that the long term bull market cycle which started in 2003 is somewhere about to end now and they have also given a warning about this here that there is a decline in global liquidity.
This may somehow create pressure on stock prices. And the market runs only on stocks. Be it NIFI index, Bank Nifty, Nifty Bank or ITO, how do they function ? It works according to the weight of the stocks. So the stock will fall, which means it is obvious that the index will fall, the market will fall.
So this is the scenario that's coming out here. However, the thing is that this is all his personal market view. There is no confirmed prediction. He has also clearly mentioned this in this report. Now see, he has also talked about investment strategy in the next point. Mark Favor has suggested that one should be a little cautious in equity and liquidity should also be maintained here.
Because here we are talking only about the Indian market. He is seeing that there seems to be a lot of consideration going on here in US government bonds and physical gold. Meaning, somewhere or the other, by withdrawing money from equity, especially from the Indian market, and on US government bonds, physical gold, there is a lot of focus seen increasing among investors here.
Not only this, they also believe that America's Treasury Bond can provide a very good opportunity for the next 12 to 24 months. Now look, let us try to apply some logic here. This appears to be somewhat bullish on US Treasury bonds for the next one to two years. And he has also said that the Indian market is somewhere in the last phase of the long term bull run cycle.
So if we try to apply some logic to it. Maybe this is what I want to tell them. He has not said anything but I am adding my opinion to it. They might also have to say or believe that in the next one or two years, there will be more good growth in our Indian market from here but the correction will also be quite strong.
Because if US Treasury bonds perform well from here for the next one or two years, then it is obvious that its pressure will be seen in the equity markets, both in the Asian markets and in the Indian market. Along with this, he has also given some warnings about AI stock. Speaking of Marc Faber, his current concern is the AI investment boom, which seems to be creating or could create a bubble, and he believes that a loud computing scenario is currently underway for semiconductor companies.
Weakness can be seen in this and some weakness is also being seen. Somewhere or the other, they are seeing this as a troubling signal of the times to come. However, they do not believe that every AI-connected stock will fall here. You should also keep this thing in mind here. After that, if we talk about their view on commodities and gold, then here they are seen seeing a good opportunity in oil and platinum.
They have also supported the idea that we can or should hold physical gold as a defensive asset for uncertain times. This is also his opinion coming out here. However, the prices of commodities and gold will also be seen fluctuating. We all know this too. But he has also mentioned this thing here. So what kind of expectations will our market have after this report?
So, investors will obviously have to pay attention to how global liquidity is performing. The market never moves because one person says good or bad. You all must know this and should also know it. Therefore, we have to pay attention to many factors. Like how is the global liquidity at present? How are interest rates being handled?
How are the corporate earnings of companies? This will be an important factor for our market. India's economic growth and RBI 's policies will greatly influence our market. Due to global factors, we may fall for a week or half a month. Some days may show a big drop. But our main impact here depends on the economic growth of India and the policy of RBI.
So you people will have to keep all these things in mind here. That's all I wanted to tell you through this video. All this data had to be shared with you through this video. I hope you understand the video. would have liked. So like the video and share it with your friends. If you have come to the channel for the first time then please subscribe.
And do your own study and research before investing in any stock. Be sure to seek the advice of a financial adjuster. See you in the next video. Thank you.
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