저자: JimCramer · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 시장은 여전히 불안하며, 메가테크의 안정화가 필요하다는 입장. 시장 전반: 크레이머는 현재 시장을 '위험한(treacherous)' 상태로 보며 메가테크 안정화를 요구함. 금융과 에너지만 상승 중이라고 언급. 금융주: 은행주는 금리 상승(10년물 금리 하락→주가 상승 흐름 언급)에 따라 기대가 높아졌으나, 실적으로 증명해야 하는 부담이 있음. 뱅크오브아메리카는 과장 발언을 하지 않는 기업으로 평가. 웰스파고는 2018년 수준으로 회복하는 과정이라 추가 상승 여력이 있다고 봄. 카드·핀테크: 아멕스를 상위 추천 종목으로 언급하며 올해 카드 소비 증가를 전망. 페이팔은 스테이블코인 관련 발언 이후 하락 가능성을 언급하며, 핀테크 주식은 규제 문제로 골칫거리라고 평가. 반도체·엔비디아: 엔비디아는 4% 하락. 기본 펀더멘털은 양호하나 다수의 주목을 받지 못함. 마이크론은 양호한 흐름. 엔비디아는 장기 성장주지만 단기 매도 압력이 있을 수 있다고 봄. 빅테크: 알파벳과 메타는 밸류에이션이 낮아 매력적이며, 가치주에서 성장주로의 순환매가 다시 나타날 가능성을 언급. 알파벳은 연초 대비 7% 하락. 리스크: 오미크론 영향이 불확실하고 금리 흐름에 따라 시장 방향이 좌우됨. 크레이머 본인은 지금 당장 매도를 권하지는 않음. 출연자 전망: 크레이머는 금융·카드주에 긍정적, 핀테크에 부정적, 빅테크(알파벳·메타)에 기회 요인을 본다는 입장.
다듬은 글
i just find that this market is treacherous uh we need to see some stabilization in megatech and we've not by the way at the big board this morning uh fintech company and vestnet at the nasdaq it is the jpmorgan healthcare conference we are going to get um jpm and city and wells and blackrock on friday how much is riding on it well i think a great deal but i also think that uh this is one where every single day that the the tenure goes uh down price up up yield people get excited about this group now they have to deliver incredible numbers david the expectations being created by the tenure is going to make it so a bank of america has to say on the conference call we are going to make a ton of money this year and i don't know they're a responsible company i don't know if they're going to do that um you don't you don't know that they're going to actually articulate it or you don't know that they're actually going to hit no why would their prime winning hand is so not a hype artist i think we've all come to know that brian moynihan straight shooting guy yeah and the one thing he doesn't do is say you know what 10 years doing perfect for us that's just not his style the name that has benefited the most so far this year it yeah fargo oh my god 16 wells is different because charlie scharf can say look i've now completed i've fired everyone there's no one left i mean it would shock me if if there was anyone in the senior team that is now left so that's charlie sharp ceo has a very compelling story to say at the same time the expectations you have to remember that in 2018 this stock wasn't 60 before janet yellen took the would do it said that a regulatory problem so all it's doing is getting back to where it was in 2018.
all the rest of the banks have soared so it's a possibility he's playing catch-up by the way speaking of all this it is the same old story this morning financials and energy the only two sectors that are green opie does name amex a top pick uh today they say it's going to be a good year for card issuers relative to the s p i think it is i think that that was a spend call that spending will be up this year i think that that's a good call uh stocks had a decent run but it's it's kind of like fintech light but bank heavy the fintechs themselves when i saw paypal at we ran a headline i don't know like at 4 30 which just said uh paypal discussing whether it might even do crypto i mean a stable coin and you know you can't put out that carl i mean you're either going to do it or you're not and i knew paypal was going to be down paypal was strong on thursday week on friday these stocks the fintech stocks they are a nightmare problem and gensler's comments this morning about everything being regulated if it's being sold to individuals that just made everything even more fraught yeah wow look at that uh nvidia's given up another four percent today jim you know we've been talking a lot about cloud and software semis relative to that have held up as far as fundamentals go but more of the commodities semis i mean micron has been really good uh nvidia uh david you know nvidia still has not declared that the uh arm deal is over but they had a great presentation monday last week a great presentation tuesday completely ignored by both the investors and the analysts and they were throughout and i watched them and they were quite collect cress at the conference last week the cfo said listen things are going much better expect it doesn't matter people are now high multiple again uh is this going to be something we're talking about three months six four months from now is it gonna going to be something we're talking about at the end of the year is this has been a very difficult year is it all dependent on rates or do we hit some sort of point at which earnings come through i think that once again this rotation from value from growth to value reverses so in that sense we should be looking at alphabet and uh meta platform because those are the two that actually are cheap you know they have i know david their multiples are well under a lot of consumer product companies yeah and with incredible top-line growth at least as of the last couple of quarters um i mean alphabet which had a very good year last year very strong in terms of the stock is down over seven percent so far this year but you know carl let's say rates were uh back to 175 or jpal said something on tenure j-pal said something saying look uh omicron we really don't know the damage it's doing so we're going to keep looking then you're going to get a big reversal so i don't want to tell people look it's time to sell nvidia i mean nvidia is a great secular growth name but i think a lot of people just say i'm not waiting for the call i just get me out
Comments 0